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We use a deterministic model to study two competing viruses spreading over a two-layer network in the Susceptible--Infected--Susceptible (SIS) framework, and address a central problem of identifying the winning virus in a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Mengbin Ye , Brian D. O. Anderson , Axel Janson , Sebin Gracy , Karl H. Johansson

Developing robust, quantitative methods to optimize resource allocations in response to epidemics has the potential to save lives and minimize health care costs. In this paper, we develop and apply a computationally efficient algorithm that…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Edwin C. Yuan , David L. Alderson , Sean Stromberg , Jean M. Carlson

We study a well mixed SIR epidemic model with heterogeneous susceptibility and infectivity, allowing for an arbitrary joint distribution of these traits. Using an exact final size formulation and a branching process approximation for early…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-06 Mohamed El Khalifi

Two powerful and complementary experimental approaches are commonly used to study the cell cycle and cell biology: One class of experiments characterizes the statistics (or demographics) of an unsynchronized exponentially-growing…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-02-02 Dean Huang , Teresa Lo , Houra Merrikh , Paul A. Wiggins

We study an individual-based stochastic spatial epidemic model where the number of locations and the number of individuals at each location both grow to infinity. Each individual is associated with a random infection-age dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Guodong Pang , Etienne Pardoux

In this paper we study some mathematical models describing evolution of population density and spread of epidemics in population systems in which spatial movement of individuals depends only on the departure and arrival locations and does…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Shangbin Cui , Meng Bai

What is the long term dynamics of the Covid-19 pandemic? How will it end? Here we constructed an infectious disease model with testing and analyzed the existence and stability of its endemic states. For a large parameter set, including…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-16 Bo Deng , Chayu Yang

The duration, type and structure of connections between individuals in real-world populations play a crucial role in how diseases invade and spread. Here, we incorporate the aforementioned heterogeneities into a model by considering a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-05 Rosanna C Barnard , Istvan Z Kiss , Luc Berthouze , Joel C Miller

In this paper, we analyze dynamic switching networks, wherein the networks switch arbitrarily among a set of topologies. For this class of dynamic networks, we derive an epidemic threshold, considering the SIS epidemic model. First, an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-08-03 Mohammad Reza Sanatkar , Warren N. White , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Caterina Scoglio , Karren A. Garrett

Our chances to halt epidemic outbreaks rely on how accurately we represent the population structure underlying the disease spread. When analyzing global epidemics this force us to consider metapopulation models taking into account intra-…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-10 Alexei Vazquez

We consider a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model in which a large group of individuals decide whether to adopt partially effective protection without being aware of their individual infection status. Each individual…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Urmee Maitra , Ashish R. Hota , Philip E. Paré

We propose a deterministic compartmental model of infectious disease which considers the test-kits as an important ingredient for the suppression and mitigation of epidemics. A rigorous simulation (with analytical argument) is provided to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-28 Subrata Ghosh , Abhishek Senapati , Joydev Chattopadhyay , Chittaranjan Hens , Dibakar Ghosh

We consider the simple epidemiological SIS model for a general heterogeneous population introduced by Lajmanovich and Yorke (1976) in finite dimension, and its infinite dimensional generalization we introduced in previous works. In this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt

This paper studies the endemic behavior of a multi-competitive networked susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model. In particular, we focus on the case where there are three competing viruses (i.e., the tri-virus system). First, we show…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-24 Sebin Gracy , Mengbin Ye , Brian DO Anderson , Cesar A. Uribe

An SEIRS epidemic with disease fatalities is introduced in a growing population (modelled as a super-critical linear birth and death process). The study of the initial phase of the epidemic is stochastic, while the analysis of the major…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-29 Tom Britton , Désiré Ouédraogo

Using a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) meta-population model of disease transmission, we present analytical calculations and numerical simulations dissecting the interplay between stochasticity and the division of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-17 Philip Bittihn , Ramin Golestanian

This paper deals with the spread of diseases over both a population network and an infrastructure network. We develop a layered networked spread model for a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) pathogen-borne disease spreading over a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-21 Philip E. Pare , Axel Janson , Sebin Gracy , Ji Liu , Henrik Sandberg , Karl H. Johansson

Many models of epidemic spread have a common qualitative structure. The numbers of infected individuals during the initial stages of an epidemic can be well approximated by a branching process, after which the proportion of individuals that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 A. D. Barbour , Gesine Reinert

Epidemic spreading often occurs in spatially heterogeneous environments, yet how quenched heterogeneity reshapes its onset and critical dynamics remains poorly understood. The diffusive epidemic process, a minimal reaction-diffusion model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-24 Valentin Anfray , Hong-Yan Shih

We study the dynamics of the Stochastic Sandpile Model on finite graphs, with two main results. First, we describe a procedure to exactly sample from the stationary distribution of the model in all connected finite graphs, extending a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Concetta Campailla , Nicolas Forien
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