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In Bayesian machine learning, conjugate priors are popular, mostly due to mathematical convenience. In this paper, we show that there are deeper reasons for choosing a conjugate prior. Specifically, we formulate the conjugate prior in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-05-04 Arvind Agarwal , Hal Daume

We discuss Bayesian inference for a known-mean Gaussian model with a compound symmetric variance-covariance matrix. Since the space of such matrices is a linear subspace of that of positive definite matrices, we utilize the methods of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Zachary M. Pisano

The unified skew-t (SUT) is a flexible parametric multivariate distribution that accounts for skewness and heavy tails in the data. A few of its properties can be found scattered in the literature or in a parameterization that does not…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-01 Kesen Wang , Maicon J. Karling , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle , Marc G. Genton

Ordinal categorical data are routinely encountered in many practical applications. When the primary goal is to construct a regression model for ordinal outcomes, cumulative link models represent one of the most popular choices to link the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Emanuele Aliverti

Inference in expressive probabilistic models is generally intractable, which makes them difficult to learn and limits their applicability. Sum-product networks are a class of deep models where, surprisingly, inference remains tractable even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-14 Abram L. Friesen , Pedro Domingos

Exploration of the intractable posterior distributions associated with Bayesian versions of the general linear mixed model is often performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo. In particular, if a conditionally conjugate prior is used, then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-03 Tavis Abrahamsen , James P. Hobert

We investigate predictive densities for multivariate normal models with unknown mean vectors and known covariance matrices. Bayesian predictive densities based on shrinkage priors often have complex representations, although they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-08 Michiko Okudo , Fumiyasu Komaki

In multivariate spline regression, the number and locations of knots influence the performance and interpretability significantly. However, due to non-differentiability and varying dimensions, there is no desirable frequentist method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Junhui He , Ying Yang , Jian Kang

Specialized classifiers, namely those dedicated to a subset of classes, are often adopted in real-world recognition systems. However, integrating such classifiers is nontrivial. Existing methods, e.g. weighted average, usually implicitly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Zhizhong Li , Dahua Lin

We propose a flexible class of models based on scale mixture of uniform distributions to construct shrinkage priors for covariance matrix estimation. This new class of priors enjoys a number of advantages over the traditional scale mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-10-07 Hao Wang , Natesh S. Pillai

A fundamental task in numerical computation is the solution of large linear systems. The conjugate gradient method is an iterative method which offers rapid convergence to the solution, particularly when an effective preconditioner is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Ilse Ipsen , Mark Girolami

For the family of multivariate probability distributions variously denoted as unified skew-normal, closed skew-normal and other names, a number of properties are already known, but many others are not, even some basic ones. The present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle , Adelchi Azzalini

We introduce two classes of multivariate log skewed distributions with normal kernel: the log canonical fundamental skew-normal (log-CFUSN) and the log unified skew-normal (log-SUN). We also discuss some properties of the log-CFUSN family…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-04 Marina M. de Queiroz , Rosangela H. Loschi , Roger W. C. Silva

In the Bayesian analysis of contingency table data, the selection of a prior distribution for either the log-linear parameters or the cell probabilities parameter is a major challenge. Though the conjugate prior on cell probabilities has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jinnan Liu , Helene Massam

We advocate for a new statistical principle that combines the most desirable aspects of both parameter inference and density estimation. This leads us to the predictively oriented (PrO) posterior, which expresses uncertainty as a…

A desired closure property in Bayesian probability is that an updated posterior distribution be in the same class of distributions --- say Gaussians --- as the prior distribution. When the updating takes place via a statistical model, one…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Bart Jacobs

We propose a Bayesian approach to estimating parameters in multiclass functional models. Unordered multinomial probit, ordered multinomial probit and multinomial logistic models are considered. We use finite random series priors based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-03 Xiuqi Li , Subhashis Ghosal

Bayesian simulation-based inference (SBI) methods are used in statistical models where simulation is feasible but the likelihood is intractable. Standard SBI methods can perform poorly in cases of model misspecification, and there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Wang Yuyan , Michael Evans , David J. Nott

The Bayesian probit regression model (Albert and Chib (1993)) is popular and widely used for binary regression. While the improper flat prior for the regression coefficients is an appropriate choice in the absence of any prior information,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Kshitij Khare

The multivariate extended skew-normal distribution allows for accommodating raw data which are skewed and heavy tailed, and has at least three appealing statistical properties, namely closure under conditioning, affine transformations, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-19 Mathieu Gerber , Florian Pelgrin