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Focusing on a specific crowd dynamics situation, including real life experiments and measurements, our paper targets a twofold aim: (1) we present a Bayesian probabilistic method to estimate the value and the uncertainty (in the form of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Alessandro Corbetta , Adrian Muntean , Federico Toschi , Kiamars Vafayi

Two aspects of improvements are proposed for the OpenCL-based implementation of the social field pedestrian model. In the aspect of algorithm, a method based on the idea of divide-and-conquer is devised in order to overcome the problem of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-03-19 Bin Yu , Ke Zhu , Kaiteng Wu , Michael Zhang

In the context of the evacuation of populations, some citizens/volunteers may want and be able to participate in the evacuation of populations in difficulty by coming to lend a hand to emergency/evacuation vehicles with their own vehicles.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Ngoc Luyen Le , Jinfeng Zhong , Elsa Negre , Marie-Hélène Abel

In this paper, we present a computational modeling approach for the dynamics of human crowds, where the spreading of an emotion (specifically fear) has an influence on the pedestrians' behavior. Our approach is based on the methods of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-19 Daewa Kim , Kaylie O'Connell , William Ott , Annalisa Quaini

A typical scenario-based evaluation framework seeks to characterize a black-box system's safety performance (e.g., failure rate) through repeatedly sampling initialization configurations (scenario sampling) and executing a certain test…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Bowen Weng , Linda Capito , Umit Ozguner , Keith Redmill

The advent of wearable and sensor technologies now leads to functional predictors which are intrinsically infinite dimensional. While the existing approaches for functional data and survival outcomes lean on the well-established Cox model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Rahul Ghosal , Marcos Matabuena , Sujit K. Ghosh

An intense research on financial market microstructure is presently in progress. Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are general models capable to capture the small-scale properties that high frequency data series show. The use of CTRW…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero , Jaume Masoliver

Fare evasion is a problem for public transport companies, with LSTM models this issue can help companies get an analytical insight into where this issue occurs the most, to prevent capital loss. In addition to the financial burden this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Johannes van der Vyver

When deployed in the real world, safe control methods must be robust to unstructured uncertainties such as modeling error and external disturbances. Typical robust safety methods achieve their guarantees by always assuming that the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-05 Ryan K. Cosner , Preston Culbertson , Aaron D. Ames

This paper presents a new simulator for dynamic modelling of interactions between flooding and people in crowded areas. The simulator is developed in FLAMEGPU (a Flexible Large scale Agent-based Modelling Environment for the GPU), which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Mohammad Shirvani , Georges Kesserwani , Paul Richmond

Current regulations demand that at least two exits should be available for a safe evacuation during a panic situation. Although the "faster is slower" effect is expected to take place near the exits, the evacuation time will improve because…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-08 I. M. Sticco , G. A. Frank , C. O. Dorso

Global pandemics, such as the recent COVID-19 crisis, highlight the need for stochastic epidemic models that can capture the randomness inherent in the spread of disease. Such models must be accompanied by methods for estimating parameters…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-13 Vincent Wieland , Nils Wassmuth , Lorenzo Contento , Martin Kühn , Jan Hasenauer

To investigate an effect of social interaction on the bystanders' intervention in emergency situations we introduce a rescue model which includes the effects of the victim's acquaintance with bystanders and those among bystanders. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Hang-Hyun Jo , Woo-Sung Jung , Hie-Tae Moon

This contribution describes efforts to model the behavior of individual pedestrians and their interactions in crowds, which generate certain kinds of self-organized patterns of motion. Moreover, this article focusses on the dynamics of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-09 Dirk Helbing , Anders Johansson

A mathematical model for the COVID-19 pandemic spread, which integrates age-structured Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Deceased dynamics with real mobile phone data accounting for the population mobility, is presented. The dynamical…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-24 Ritabrata Dutta , Susana Gomes , Dante Kalise , Lorenzo Pacchiardi

We shortly review the statistical properties of the escape times, or hitting times, for stock price returns by using different models which describe the stock market evolution. We compare the probability function (PF) of these escape times…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Bernardo Spagnolo , Davide Valenti

Extreme geophysical events are of crucial relevance to our daily life: they threaten human lives and cause property damage. To assess the risk and reduce losses, we need to model and probabilistically predict these events. Parametrizations…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-09-04 Guannan Hu , Tamás Bódai , Valerio Lucarini

Many users are confronted multiple times daily with the choice of whether to take the stairs or the elevator. Whereas taking the stairs could be beneficial for cardiovascular health and wellness, taking the elevator might be more convenient…

Walking is a fundamental activity of human life, not only for moving between places but also for interacting with surrounding environments. While walking to destinations, pedestrians may acquaint themselves with attractions such as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-22 Jaeyoung Kwak