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The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the livelihoods of people worldwide prompted the implementation of a range of preventive measures at local, national, and international levels. Early in the outbreak, before the vaccine became…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-03 Pranav Verma , Viney Kumar , Samit Bhattacharyya

The COVID-19 pandemic is largely caused by airborne transmission, a phenomenon that rapidly gained the attention of the scientific community. Social distancing is of paramount importance to limit the spread of the disease, but to design…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-18 M. E. Rosti , S. Olivieri , M. Cavaiola , A. Seminara , A. Mazzino

Recent literature has suggested that climate conditions have considerably significant influences on the transmission of coronavirus COVID-19. However, there is a lack of comprehensive study that investigates the relationships between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-19 Siyu Huang , Ji Liu , Haoyi Xiong , Jizhou Huang , Haozhe An , Dejing Dou

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has spread rapidly across the world, leading to enormous amounts of human death and economic loss. Until definitive preventive or curative measures are developed, policies regarding testing,…

The COVID-19 pandemic has hit different parts of the world differently: some regions are still in the rise of the first wave, other regions are now facing a decline after a first wave, and yet other regions have started to see a second…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-12 Tom Britton , Pieter Trapman , Frank Ball

COVID-19 is now a global pandemic, and an effective vaccine may be many months away. Over 100 years ago, Spanish flu fatalities were attenuated when doctors began treating patients with blood plasma donated by recovered (or convalesced)…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-15 Pamela K. Douglas , Farzad V. Farahani , David B. Douglas , Susan Bookheimer

The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, is currently spreading rapidly throughout the world, causing many deaths and severe economic damage. It is believed that hot and humid conditions do not favor the novel…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Eitan Asher , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin , Alon Sela

The COVID-19 disease spreads swiftly, and nearly three months after the first positive case was confirmed in China, Coronavirus started to spread all over the United States. Some states and counties reported high number of positive cases…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Samira Ziyadidegan , Moein Razavi , Homa Pesarakli , Amir Hossein Javid , Madhav Erraguntla

This study explored how population mobility flows form commuting networks across US counties and influence the spread of COVID-19. We utilized 3-level mixed effects negative binomial regression models to estimate the impact of network…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-16 Christopher Seto , Aria Khademi , Corina Graif , Vasant G. Honavar

The process of infection of a host is complex, influenced by factors such as microbial variation within and between hosts as well as differences in dose across hosts. This study uses dose-response and within-host microbial infection models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-10 Francisco J. Perez-Reche

Household size impacts the spread of respiratory infectious diseases: Larger households tend to boost transmission by acquiring external infections more frequently and subsequently transmitting them back into the community. Furthermore,…

This paper presents a critical analysis of the literature and perspective research ideas for modeling the epidemics caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. It goes beyond deterministic population dynamics to consider several key complexity features…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-24 Giulia Bertaglia , Andrea Bondesan , Diletta Burini , Raluca Eftimie , Lorenzo Pareschi , Giuseppe Toscani

Evidence-informed policy on infections requires estimates of their effects on health. However, pathogenic variation, whereby occurrence of adverse outcomes depends on the infecting strain, might complicate the study of many infectious…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Bronner P. Gonçalves

The COVID-19 pandemic led to widespread interest in epidemiological models. In this context the role of vaccination in influencing the spreading of the disease is of particular interest. There has also been a lot of debate on the role of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Aytül Gökçe , Burcu Gürbüz , Alan D. Rendall

COVID-19 is a new pandemic disease that is affecting almost every country with a negative impact on social life and economic activities. The number of infected and deceased patients continues to increase globally. Mathematical models can…

The spread of diseases has been studied for many years, but it receives a particular focus recently due to the outbreak and spread of COVID-19. Studies show that the spread of COVID-19 can be characterized by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Xiaoxu Zhong , Yukun Ye

This work introduces a new markovian stochastic model that can be described as a non-homogeneous Pure Birth process. We propose a functional form of birth rate that depends on the number of individuals in the population and on the elapsed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-12 Nestor R. Barraza , Gabriel Pena , Verónica Moreno

The SARS-CoV-2 virus and COVID-19 disease have posed unprecedented and overwhelming demand, challenges and opportunities to domain, model and data driven modeling. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the challenges, tasks,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Longbing Cao , Qing Liu

Epidemic models describe the evolution of a communicable disease over time. These models are often modified to include the effects of interventions (control measures) such as vaccination, social distancing, school closings etc. Many such…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Heejong Bong , Valérie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

It is hypothesized that short-term exposure to air pollution may influence the transmission of aerosolized pathogens such as COVID-19. We used data from 23 provinces in Italy to build a generalized additive model to investigate the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-13 Laura Albrecht , Paulina Czarnecki , Bennet Sakelaris