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Multivariate dynamic time series models are widely encountered in practical studies, e.g., modelling policy transmission mechanism and measuring connectedness between economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-06 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

We consider hundreds of thousands of individual economic transactions to ask: how predictable are consumers in their merchant visitation patterns? Our results suggest that, in the long-run, much of our seemingly elective activity is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-07 Coco Krumme , Alejandro Llorente , Manuel Cebrián , Alex , Pentland , Esteban Moro

Understanding collective mobility patterns is crucial to plan the restart of production and economic activities, which are currently put in stand-by to fight the diffusion of the epidemics. In this report, we use mobile phone data to infer…

Data from social media are providing unprecedented opportunities to investigate the processes that rule the dynamics of collective social phenomena. Here, we consider an information theoretical approach to define and measure the temporal…

In their response to the COVID-19 outbreak, governments face the dilemma to balance public health and economy. Mobility plays a central role in this dilemma because the movement of people enables both economic activity and virus spread. We…

We review the research literature investigating systems in which mobile entities can carry data while they move. These entities can be either mobile by nature (e.g., human beings and animals) or mobile by design (e.g., trains, airplanes,…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-06-01 Benjamin Baron , Prométhée Spathis , Marcelo Dias de Amorim , Yannis Viniotis , Mostafa H. Ammar

The ability to constantly monitor urban changes is of significant socio-economic interest, like detecting trends in urban expansion or tracking the vitality of urban areas. Especially in present conflict zones or disaster areas, such…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Georg Zitzlsberger , Michal Podhoranyi

Human mobility describes physical patterns of movement of people within a spatial system. Many of these patterns, including daily commuting, are cyclic and quantifiable. These patterns capture physical phenomena tied to processes studied in…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Michael J. Kane , Owais Gilani , Simon Urbanek

The COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of social distancing policies have rapidly changed people's visiting patterns, as reflected in mobility data that tracks mobility traffic using location trackers on cell phones. However, the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Prajindra Sankar Krishnan , Chai Phing Chen , Gamal Alkawsi , Sieh Kiong Tiong , Luiz Fernando Capretz

In this work, we develop a mathematical model to describe the local movement of individuals by taking into account their return to home after a period of travel. We provide a suitable functional framework to handle this system and study the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Arnaud Ducrot , Pierre Magal

Monitoring urban structure and development requires high-quality data at high spatiotemporal resolution. While traditional censuses have provided foundational insights into demographic and socioeconomic aspects of urban life, their pace may…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-20 Gezhi Xiu , Jianying Wang , Thilo Gross , Mei-Po Kwan , Xia Peng , Yu Liu

This paper addresses statistical modelling and forecasting of key indicators describing the severity of a developing pandemic, using routinely reported daily counts of infections, hospitalizations, deaths (both in and out of hospital), and…

People's daily activities in the urban environment are complex and vary by individuals. Existing studies using mobile phone data revealed distinct and recurrent transitional activity patterns, known as mobility motifs, in people's daily…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Junjun Yin , Guangqing Chi

Among the realistic ingredients to be considered in the computational modeling of infectious diseases, human mobility represents a crucial challenge both on the theoretical side and in view of the limited availability of empirical data. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-02-04 Duygu Balcan , Vittoria Colizza , Bruno Goncalves , Hao Hu , Jose J. Ramasco , Alessandro Vespignani

For robots to be a part of our daily life, they need to be able to navigate among crowds not only safely but also in a socially compliant fashion. This is a challenging problem because humans tend to navigate by implicitly cooperating with…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Anirudh Vemula , Katharina Muelling , Jean Oh

Human migration exhibits complex spatiotemporal dependence driven by environmental and socioeconomic forces. Modeling such patterns at scale requires methods that accommodate many random effects while remaining feasible when raw data or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Lida Chalangar Jalili Dehkharghani , Li-Hsiang Lin

Attempts to control the epidemic spread of COVID19 in the different countries often involve imposing restrictions to the mobility of citizens. Recent examples demonstrate that the effectiveness of these policies strongly depends on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-10 Alejandro Carballosa , Mariamo Mussa-Juane , Alberto P. Muñuzuri

Rapid identification and response to breaking events, particularly those that pose a threat to human life such as natural disasters or conflicts, is of paramount importance. The prevalence of mobile devices and the ubiquity of network…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Ekin Ugurel , Steffen Coenen , Minda Zhou Chen , Cynthia Chen

This paper studies forecasting of the future distribution of events in human action sequences, a task essential in domains like retail, finance, healthcare, and recommendation systems where the precise temporal order is often less critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Egor Surkov , Dmitry Osin , Evgeny Burnaev , Egor Shvetsov

Advances in GPS telemetry technology have enabled analysis of animal movement in open areas. Ecologists today are utilizing modern analytic tools to study animal behaviors from large quantity of GPS coordinates. Analytic tools with…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-01-31 Wei Li , Mathias Funk , Jasper Eikelboom , Aarnout Brombacher