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The dynamics of political opinion are a critical component of modern society with large-scale implications for the evolution of intra- and international political discourse and policy. Here we utilize recent high-resolution survey data to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-15 David Sabin-Miller , Christopher Harding

We have established a novel mathematical model that considers various aspects of the spreading of the virus, including, the transmission based on being in the latent period, environment to human transmission, governmental decisions, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-31 Kamran Soltani , Ghader Rezazadeh

The identification of urban mobility patterns is very important for predicting and controlling spatial events. In this study, we analyzed millions of geographical check-ins crawled from a leading Chinese location-based social networking…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-03 Zimo Yang , Defu Lian , Nicholas Jing Yuan , Xing Xie , Yong Rui , Tao Zhou

Epidemic dynamics in a stochastic network of interacting epidemic centers is considered. The epidemic and migration processes are modelled by Markov's chains. Explicit formulas for probability distribution of the migration process are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-05 Igor Sazonov , Mark Kelbert

Health-policy planning requires evidence on the burden that epidemics place on healthcare systems. Multiple, often dependent, datasets provide a noisy and fragmented signal from the unobserved epidemic process including transmission and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-11 Alice Corbella , Anne M Presanis , Paul J Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

Human mobility is one of the key factors at the basis of the spreading of diseases in a population. Containment strategies are usually devised on movement scenarios based on coarse-grained assumptions. Mobility phone data provide a unique…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-06-20 Antonio Lima , Manlio De Domenico , Veljko Pejovic , Mirco Musolesi

Human knowledge is largely implicit and relational -- do we have a friend in common? can I walk from here to there? In this work, we leverage the combinatorial structure of graphs to quantify human priors over such relational data. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Gecia Bravo-Hermsdorff

We use a well known model (T. Vicsek et al. Phys Rev Lett 15, 1226 (1995)) for flocking to test mutual information as a tool for detecting order-disorder transitions, in particular when observations of the system are limited. We show that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 R. T. Wicks , S. C. Chapman , R. O. Dendy

Migration plays a crucial role in urban growth. Over time, individuals opting to relocate led to vast metropolises like London and Paris during the Industrial Revolution, Shanghai and Karachi during the last decades and thousands of smaller…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-03 Rafael Prieto-Curiel , Carmen Cabrera-Arnau

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

With growing numbers of intelligent autonomous systems in human environments, the ability of such systems to perceive, understand and anticipate human behavior becomes increasingly important. Specifically, predicting future positions of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Andrey Rudenko , Luigi Palmieri , Michael Herman , Kris M. Kitani , Dariu M. Gavrila , Kai O. Arras

This paper goes into depth on the effect that US News Sentiment from national newspapers has on US interstate migration trends. Through harnessing data from the New York Times between 2010 and 2020, an average sentiment score was…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Benjamin Lane , Simeon Sayer

Identifying and quantifying factors influencing human decision making remains an outstanding challenge, impacting the performance and predictability of social and technological systems. In many cases, system failures are traced to human…

Human mobility regularity is crucial for understanding urban dynamics and informing decision-making processes. This study first quantifies the periodicity in complex human mobility data as a sparse identification of dominant positive…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Xinyu Chen , Qi Wang , Yunhan Zheng , Nina Cao , HanQin Cai , Jinhua Zhao

We construct a data-driven model of flows in graphs that captures the essential elements of the movement of workers between jobs in the companies (firms) of entire economic systems such as countries. The model is based on the observation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-22 Eduardo López , Omar Guerrero , Robert L. Axtell

Understanding how people move within a geographic area, e.g. a city, a country or the whole world, is fundamental in several applications, from predicting the spatio-temporal evolution of an epidemics to inferring migration patterns. Mobile…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-27 Manlio De Domenico , Joan T. Matamalas , Alex Arenas

Human mobility has a significant impact on several layers of society, from infrastructural planning and economics to the spread of diseases and crime. Representing the system as a complex network, in which nodes are assigned to regions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-14 Gabriel Spadon , Andre C. P. L. F. de Carvalho , Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr , Luiz G. A. Alves

Urban segregation refers to the physical and social division of people, often driving inequalities within cities and exacerbating socioeconomic and racial tensions. While most studies focus on residential spaces, they often neglect…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Yue Yu , Yifang Wang , Yongjun Zhang , Huamin Qu , Dongyu Liu

Recent availability of geo-localized data capturing individual human activity together with the statistical data on international migration opened up unprecedented opportunities for a study on global mobility. In this paper we consider it…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-22 Alexander Belyi , Iva Bojic , Stanislav Sobolevsky , Izabela Sitko , Bartosz Hawelka , Lada Rudikova , Alexander Kurbatski , Carlo Ratti

This paper introduces an algorithm for discovering implicit and delayed causal relations between events observed by a robot at arbitrary times, with the objective of improving data-efficiency and interpretability of model-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-05 Junchi Liang , Abdeslam Boularias