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We establish strong invariance principles for sums of stationary and ergodic processes with nearly optimal bounds. Applications to linear and some nonlinear processes are discussed. Strong laws of large numbers and laws of the iterated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Wei Biao Wu

In the paper we study dependence of long run functionals and limit characteristics assuming that Borel measurable Markov controls converge pointwise. We consider two kinds of functionals: average cost per unit time and long run risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Lukasz Stettner

This paper addresses the prediction of stationary functional time series. Existing contributions to this problem have largely focused on the special case of first-order functional autoregressive processes because of their technical…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-01 Alexander Aue , Diogo Dubart Norinho , Siegfried Hörmann

Let $(X_t, Y_t)_{t\in T}$ be a discrete or continuous-time Markov process with state space $X \times R^d$ where $X$ is an arbitrary measurable set. Its transition semigroup is assumed to be additive with respect to the second component,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-27 Deborah Ferre , Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

Semi-Markov processes play an important role in the effective description of partially accessible systems in stochastic thermodynamics. They occur, for instance, in coarse-graining procedures such as state lumping and when analyzing waiting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-19 Alexander M. Maier , Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of linear processes having as innovations mean zero, square integrable functions of stationary reversible Markov chains. In doing so we shall preserve the generality of coefficients assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-05 Magda Peligrad

This paper considers functional central limit theorems for stationary absolutely regular mixing processes. Bounds for the entropy with bracketing are derived using recent results in Nickl and P\"otscher (2007). More specifically, their…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-27 Guido M. Kuersteiner

We establish a central limit theorem and an invariance principle for stationary random fields, with projective-type conditions. Our result is obtained via an m-dependent approximation method. As applications, we establish invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Yizao Wang , Michael Woodroofe

We study functional limit theorems for linear type processes with short memory under the assumption that the innovations are dependent identically distributed random variables with infinite variance and in the domain of attraction of stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-20 Marta Tyran-Kaminska

We develop entropy and variance results for the product of independent identically distributed random variables on Lie groups. Our results apply to the study of stationary measures in various contexts.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Samuel Kittle , Constantin Kogler

Ordinal pattern dependence is a multivariate dependence measure based on the co-movement of two time series. In strong connection to ordinal time series analysis, the ordinal information is taken into account to derive robust results on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Ines Nüßgen , Alexander Schnurr

In this paper, we survey some recent results on statistical inference (parametric and nonparametric statistical estimation, hypotheses testing) about the spectrum of stationary models with tapered data, as well as, a question concerning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-17 Mamikon S. Ginovyan , Artur A. Sahakyan

We give rates of convergence in the strong invariance principle for stationary sequences satisfying some projective criteria. The conditions are expressed in terms of conditional expectations of partial sums of the initial sequence. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Jérôme Dedecker , Paul Doukhan , Florence Merlevède

\noindent The paper establishes weak convergence in $C[0,1]$ of normalized stochastic processes, generated by Toeplitz type quadratic functionals of a continuous time Gaussian stationary process, exhibiting long-range dependence. Both…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-30 Shuyang Bai , Mamikon S. Ginovyan , Murad S. Taqqu

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

For a class of stationary regularly varying and weakly dependent time series, we prove the so-called complete convergence result for the corresponding space-time point processes. As an application of our main theorem, we give a simple proof…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Bojan Basrak , Azra Tafro

We study time-changed Markov processes to speed up the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. The time-changed process is defined by adjusting the speed of time of a base process via a user-chosen, state-dependent…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-08 Andrea Bertazzi , Giorgos Vasdekis

We consider empirical processes generated by strictly stationary sequences of associated random variables. S. Louhichi established an invariance principle for such processes, assuming that the covariance function decays rapidly enough. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-28 Vadim Demichev

We propose a compression-based version of the empirical entropy of a finite string over a finite alphabet. Whereas previously one considers the naked entropy of (possibly higher order) Markov processes, we consider the sum of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-04-05 Paul M. B. Vitányi

Constraint based causal structure learning for point processes require empirical tests of local independence. Existing tests require strong model assumptions, e.g. that the true data generating model is a Hawkes process with no latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Nikolaj Thams , Niels Richard Hansen