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This paper proposed a methodology to forecast electoral outcomes using the result of the combination of a fundamental model and a model-based aggregation of polls. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical structure for the fundamental model that…

In many real world elections, agents are not required to rank all candidates. We study three of the most common methods used to modify voting rules to deal with such partial votes. These methods modify scoring rules (like the Borda count),…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-02 Nina Narodytska , Toby Walsh

We study a sequential decision-making model where a set of items is repeatedly matched to the same set of agents over multiple rounds. The objective is to determine a sequence of matchings that either maximizes the utility of the least…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Eugene Lim , Tzeh Yuan Neoh , Nicholas Teh

The strategy for selecting candidate sets -- the set of items that the recommendation system is expected to rank for each user -- is an important decision in carrying out an offline top-$N$ recommender system evaluation. The set of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Ngozi Ihemelandu , Michael D. Ekstrand

Ranking a vector of alternatives on the basis of a series of paired comparisons is a relevant topic in many instances. A popular example is ranking contestants in sport tournaments. To this purpose, paired comparison models such as the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-15 Guido Masarotto , Cristiano Varin

This paper focuses on "tracing player knowledge" in educational games. Specifically, given a set of concepts or skills required to master a game, the goal is to estimate the likelihood with which the current player has mastery of each of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-08-16 Pavan Kantharaju , Katelyn Alderfer , Jichen Zhu , Bruce Char , Brian Smith , Santiago Ontañón

We introduce and study isomorphic distances between ordinal elections (with the same numbers of candidates and voters). The main feature of these distances is that they are invariant to renaming the candidates and voters, and two elections…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Piotr Faliszewski , Piotr Skowron , Arkadii Slinko , Krzysztof Sornat , Stanisław Szufa , Nimrod Talmon

The selection of an appropriate competition format is critical for both the success and credibility of any competition, both real and simulated. In this paper, the automated parallelism offered by the RoboCupSoccer 2D simulation league is…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-06-27 David Budden , Peter Wang , Oliver Obst , Mikhail Prokopenko

Predicting the winner of an election is of importance to multiple stakeholders. To formulate the problem, we consider an independent sequence of categorical data with a finite number of possible outcomes in each. The data is assumed to be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy , Shubhabrata Das

Tournament organisers supposedly design rules such that a team cannot be strictly better off by exerting a lower effort. However, the European qualification tournaments for recent FIFA soccer World Cups are known to violate this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-28 László Csató

As the world's democratic institutions are challenged by dissatisfied citizens, political scientists and also computer scientists have proposed and analyzed various (innovative) methods to select representative bodies, a crucial task in…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Manon Revel , Niclas Boehmer , Rachael Colley , Markus Brill , Piotr Faliszewski , Edith Elkind

Rating systems play an important role in competitive sports and games. They provide a measure of player skill, which incentivizes competitive performances and enables balanced match-ups. In this paper, we present a novel Bayesian rating…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Aram Ebtekar , Paul Liu

Many classification problems require decisions among a large number of competing classes. These tasks, however, are not handled well by general purpose learning methods and are usually addressed in an ad-hoc fashion. We suggest a general…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Yair Even-Zohar , Dan Roth

Qualifications for several world championships in sports are organised such that distinct sets of teams play in their own tournament for a predetermined number of slots. Inspired by a recent work studying the problem with the tools from the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-07 László Csató , László Marcell Kiss , Zsombor Szádoczki

Integrity of elections is vital to democratic systems, but it is frequently threatened by malicious actors. The study of algorithmic complexity of the problem of manipulating election outcomes by changing its structural features is known as…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Andrew Estornell , Sanmay Das , Edith Elkind , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Electronic voting systems have significant advantages in comparison with physical voting systems. One of the main challenges in e-voting systems is to secure the voting process: namely, to certify that the computed results are consistent…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Tamir Tassa , Lihi Dery , Arthur Zamarin

Given a mapping from a set of players to the leaves of a complete binary tree (called a seeding), a knockout tournament is conducted as follows: every round, every two players with a common parent compete against each other, and the winner…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Juhi Chaudhary , Hendrik Molter , Meirav Zehavi

How does targeted advertising influence electoral outcomes? This paper presents a one-dimensional spatial model of voting in which a privately informed challenger persuades voters to support him over the status quo. I show that targeted…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-01 Maria Titova

The roulette wheel selection is a critical process in heuristic algorithms, enabling the probabilistic choice of items based on assigned fitness values. It selects an item with a probability proportional to its fitness value. This technique…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Koji Nakano

We model dynamically changing candidate positions in the face of a dynamic electorate. To formulate our equations, we use a space-time-continuous Hegselmann-Krause equation, which we solve using a particle method. We use the combined…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-21 Christoph Borgers , Natasa Dragovic , Arkadz Kirshtein
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