English
Related papers

Related papers: Kernel-based Prediction of Non-Markovian Time Seri…

200 papers

Autonomous systems often must predict the motions of nearby agents from partial and noisy data. This paper asks and answers the question: "can we learn, in real-time, a nonlinear predictive model of another agent's motions?" Our online…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Stella Kombo , Masih Haseli , Skylar X. Wei , Joel W. Burdick

In the light of regularized dynamic time warping kernels, this paper re-considers the concept of time elastic centroid for a setof time series. We derive a new algorithm based on a probabilistic interpretation of kernel alignment matrices.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Pierre-François Marteau

Differential equations containing memory terms that depend nonlinearly on past states model a variety of non-Markovian processes. In this study, we present a Markovian embedding procedure for such equations with distributed delay by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Divya Jaganathan , Rahil N. Valani

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a foundational tool in machine learning, with recent work emphasizing its connections to neural networks. However, existing theory primarily addresses the i.i.d. setting, while real-world data often exhibits…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-20 Dechen Zhang , Zhenmei Shi , Yi Zhang , Yingyu Liang , Difan Zou

Multi-scale decomposition architectures have emerged as predominant methodologies in time series forecasting. However, real-world time series exhibit noise interference across different scales, while heterogeneous information distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Changning Wu , Gao Wu , Rongyao Cai , Yong Liu , Kexin Zhang

Traditional hidden Markov models have been a useful tool to understand and model stochastic dynamic data; in the case of non-Gaussian data, models such as mixture of Gaussian hidden Markov models can be used. However, these suffer from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-16 Carlos Puerto-Santana , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga , Gustav Eje Henter

Fueled by applications in sensor networks, these years have witnessed a surge of interest in distributed estimation and filtering. A new approach is hereby proposed for the Distributed Kalman Filter (DKF) by integrating a local covariance…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-17 Ye Yuan , Ling Shi , Jun Liu , Zhiyong Chen , Hai-Tao Zhang , Jorge Goncalves

We consider the prediction problem of a continuous-time stochastic process on an entire time-interval in terms of its recent past. The approach we adopt is based on functional kernel nonparametric regression estimation techniques where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anestis Antoniadis , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

Predicting the near-future delay with accuracy for trains is momentous for railway operations and passengers' traveling experience. This work aims to design prediction models for train delays based on Netherlands Railway data. We first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Jin Xu , Weiqi Wang , Zheming Gao , Haochen Luo , Qian Wu

Modeling non-stationary processes, where statistical properties vary across the input domain, is a critical challenge in machine learning; yet most scalable methods rely on a simplifying assumption of stationarity. This forces a difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Sawan Kumar , Souvik Chakraborty

Here, we propose a new reconstruction method of smooth time-series signals. A key concept of this study is not considering the model in signal space, but in delay-embedded space. In other words, we indirectly represent a time-series signal…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-21 Tatsuya Yokota

Unlinked regression, in which covariates and responses are observed separately without known correspondence, has recently gained increasing attention. Deconvolution, on the other hand, is a fundamental and challenging problem in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Antonio Di Noia , Cécile Durot

In this paper, we consider modeling missing dynamics with a nonparametric non-Markovian model, constructed using the theory of kernel embedding of conditional distributions on appropriate Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS), equipped…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Shixiao W. Jiang , John Harlim

Many of the tools available for robot learning were designed for Euclidean data. However, many applications in robotics involve manifold-valued data. A common example is orientation; this can be represented as a 3-by-3 rotation matrix or a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-15 P. C. Lopez-Custodio , K. Bharath , A. Kucukyilmaz , S. P. Preston

Traditional linear methods for forecasting multivariate time series are not able to satisfactorily model the non-linear dependencies that may exist in non-Gaussian series. We build on the theory of learning vector-valued functions in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-28 Magda Gregorová , Alexandros Kalousis , Stéphane Marchand-Maillet

Image denoising is a fundamental challenge in computer vision, with applications in photography and medical imaging. While deep learning-based methods have shown remarkable success, their reliance on specific noise distributions limits…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Dongjin Kim , Jaekyun Ko , Muhammad Kashif Ali , Tae Hyun Kim

A long-standing topic in artificial intelligence is the effective recognition of patterns from noisy images. In this regard, the recent data-driven paradigm considers 1) improving the representation robustness by adding noisy samples in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Shuren Qi , Yushu Zhang , Chao Wang , Tao Xiang , Xiaochun Cao , Yong Xiang

The rapid progress in the development of quantum devices is in large part due to the availability of a wide range of characterization techniques allowing to probe, test and adjust them. Nevertheless, these methods often make use of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-12-07 Pedro Figueroa-Romero , Kavan Modi , Min-Hsiu Hsieh

We propose a kernel regression method to predict a target signal lying over a graph when an input observation is given. The input and the output could be two different physical quantities. In particular, the input may not be a graph signal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-02 Arun Venkitaraman , Saikat Chatterjee , Peter Händel

In this paper we utilize techniques from the theory of non-linear dynamical systems to define a notion of embedding threshold estimators. More specifically we use delay-coordinates embeddings of sets of coefficients of the measured signal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 D. Napoletani , C. A. Berenstein , T. Sauer , D. C. Struppa , D. Walnut