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The quasi-maximum likelihood estimation is a commonly-used method for estimating GARCH parameters. However, such estimators are sensitive to outliers and their asymptotic normality is proved under the finite fourth moment assumption on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Hang Liu , Kanchan Mukherjee

We develop two new estimators for a general class of stationary GARCH models with possibly heavy tailed asymmetrically distributed errors, covering processes with symmetric and asymmetric feedback like GARCH, Asymmetric GARCH, VGARCH and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Jonathan B. Hill

We propose a panel ARMA-GARCH model to capture the dynamics of large panel data with $N$ individuals over $T$ time periods. For this model, we provide a two-step estimation procedure to estimate the ARMA parameters and GARCH parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Bing Su , Ke Zhu

We propose a class of estimators for the parameters of a GARCH(p,q) sequence. We show that our estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal under mild conditions. The quasi-maximum likelihood and the likelihood estimators are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in a high-dimensional generalized linear model. Spectral methods obtained via the principal eigenvector of a suitable data-dependent matrix provide a simple yet surprisingly effective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Yihan Zhang , Hong Chang Ji , Ramji Venkataramanan , Marco Mondelli

In a mixed generalized linear model, the goal is to learn multiple signals from unlabeled observations: each sample comes from exactly one signal, but it is not known which one. We consider the prototypical problem of estimating two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Yihan Zhang , Marco Mondelli , Ramji Venkataramanan

We consider the problem of parameter estimation from a generalized linear model with a random design matrix that is orthogonally invariant in law. Such a model allows the design have an arbitrary distribution of singular values and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Yihan Zhang , Hong Chang Ji , Ramji Venkataramanan , Marco Mondelli

We study the algorithmic problem of estimating the mean of heavy-tailed random vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$, given $n$ i.i.d. samples. The goal is to design an efficient estimator that attains the optimal sub-gaussian error bound, only assuming…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Zhixian Lei , Kyle Luh , Prayaag Venkat , Fred Zhang

Estimation of the four generalized lambda distribution parameters is not straightforward, and available estimators that perform best have large computation times. In this paper, we introduce a simple two-step estimator of the parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Dilanka S. Dedduwakumara , Luke A. Prendergast , Robert G. Staudte

In this paper, we develop spectral and post-spectral estimators for grouped panel data models. Both estimators are consistent in the asymptotics where the number of observations $N$ and the number of time periods $T$ simultaneously grow…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-02 Denis Chetverikov , Elena Manresa

This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of financial time series when the stationarity assumption is violated. Our general local parametric approach particularly applies to general varying-coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-27 P. Čížek , W. Härdle , V. Spokoiny

We consider likelihood-based two-step estimation of latent variable models, in which just the measurement model is estimated in the first step and the measurement parameters are then fixed at their estimated values in the second step where…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Jouni Kuha , Zsuzsa Bakk

The computation of Gaussian orthant probabilities has been extensively studied for low-dimensional vectors. Here, we focus on the high-dimensional case and we present a two-step procedure relying on both deterministic and stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-03 Dario Azzimonti , David Ginsbourger

In this paper, we introduce a new single model maneuvering target tracking approach using stochastic differential equation (SDE) based on GARCH volatility. The traditional input estimation (IE) techniques assume constant acceleration level…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-14 Ehsan Hajiramezanali , Seyyed Hamed Fouladi , Hamidreza Amindavar

Spectral estimators are fundamental in lowrank matrix models and arise throughout machine learning and statistics, with applications including network analysis, matrix completion and PCA. These estimators aim to recover the leading…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Hao Yan , Keith Levin

We propose a one-step procedure to estimate the latent positions in random dot product graphs efficiently. Unlike the classical spectral-based methods such as the adjacency and Laplacian spectral embedding, the proposed one-step procedure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

We consider a class of M-estimators of the parameters of a GARCH (p,q) model. These estimators involve score functions and, for adequate choices of the score functions, are asymptotically normal under milder moment assumptions than the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-13 Marc Hallin , Hang Liu , Kanchan Mukherjee

This paper presents enhancement strategies for the Hermitian and skew-Hermitian splitting method based on gradient iterations. The spectral properties are exploited for the parameter estimation, often resulting in a better convergence. In…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-08 Qinmeng Zou , Frederic Magoules

Range-measured return contains more information than the traditional scalar-valued return. In this paper, we propose to model the [low, high] price range as a random interval and suggest an interval-valued GARCH (Int-GARCH) model for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-11 Yan Sun , Guanghua Lian , Zudi Lu , Jennifer Loveland , Isaac Blackhurst

Stochastic variational inference algorithms are derived for fitting various heteroskedastic time series models. We examine Gaussian, t, and skew-t response GARCH models and fit these using Gaussian variational approximating densities. We…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-30 Hanwen Xuan , Luca Maestrini , Feng Chen , Clara Grazian
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