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The estimation of multivariate GARCH time series models is a difficult task mainly due to the significant overparameterization exhibited by the problem and usually referred to as the "curse of dimensionality". For example, in the case of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-01-31 Stéphane Chrétien , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Projected gradient descent and its Riemannian variant belong to a typical class of methods for low-rank matrix estimation. This paper proposes a new Nesterov's Accelerated Riemannian Gradient algorithm by efficient orthographic retraction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Hongyi Li , Zhen Peng , Chengwei Pan , Di Zhao

In this paper we consider the stacking of isotonic regression and the method of rearrangement with the empirical estimator to estimate a discrete distribution with an infinite support. The estimators are proved to be strongly consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Vladimir Pastukhov

We construct and analyze an estimator of association between random variables based on their similarity in both direction and magnitude. Under special conditions, the proposed measure becomes a robust and consistent estimator of the linear…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Ilya Archakov

Stochastic optimization naturally appear in many application areas, including machine learning. Our goal is to go further in the analysis of the Stochastic Average Gradient Accelerated (SAGA) algorithm. To achieve this, we introduce a new…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Luis Fredes , Bernard Bercu , Eméric Gbaguidi

An algorithm is presented which generates pairs of oscillatory random time series which have identical periodograms but differ in the number of oscillations. This result indicate the intrinsic limitations of spectral methods when it comes…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. G. Rossberg

This paper introduces an integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (INGARCH) model based on the novel geometric distribution and discusses some of its properties. The parameter estimation problem of the models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Divya Kuttenchalil Andrews , N. Balakrishna

We give a novel spectral approximation algorithm for the balanced separator problem that, given a graph G, a constant balance b \in (0,1/2], and a parameter \gamma, either finds an \Omega(b)-balanced cut of conductance O(\sqrt(\gamma)) in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2011-11-08 Lorenzo Orecchia , Sushant Sachdeva , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

A wide range of problems in computational science and engineering require estimation of sparse eigenvectors for high dimensional systems. Here, we propose two variants of the Truncated Orthogonal Iteration to compute multiple leading…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Hexuan Liu , Aleksandr Aravkin

Orthogonal Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity model (OGARCH) is widely used in finance industry to produce volatility and correlation forecasts. We show that the classic OGARCH model, nevertheless, tends to be too…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-27 Yufan Li

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal exponential generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (spatiotemporal E-GARCH) model, extending traditional spatiotemporal GARCH models by incorporating asymmetric volatility…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-10 Ariane Nidelle Meli Chrisko , Philipp Otto , Wolfgang Schmid

In the first part of these notes, we review some of the recent developments in the study of the spectral properties of Wigner matrices. In the second part, we present a new proof of a Wegner estimate for the eigenvalues of a large class of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-03-09 Anna Maltsev , Benjamin Schlein

GARCH models are useful tools in the investigation of phenomena, where volatility changes are prominent features, like most financial data. The parameter estimation via quasi maximum likelihood (QMLE) and its properties are by now well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-07 László Varga , András Zempléni

We propose a Bayesian approach, called the posterior spectral embedding, for estimating the latent positions in random dot product graphs, and prove its optimality. Unlike the classical spectral-based adjacency/Laplacian spectral embedding,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

In this work, we analyze the variance of a stochastic estimator for computing Schatten norms of matrices. The estimator extracts information from a single sketch of the matrix, that is, the product of the matrix with a few standard Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Ya-Chi Chu , Alice Cortinovis

In network analysis, developing a unified theoretical framework that can compare methods under different models is an interesting problem. This paper proposes a partial solution to this problem. We summarize the idea of using separation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Huan Qing

We propose a new approach to volatility modeling by combining deep learning (LSTM) and realized volatility measures. This LSTM-enhanced realized GARCH framework incorporates and distills modeling advances from financial econometrics, high…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-18 Chen Liu , Chao Wang , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn

Markov expanding maps, a class of simple chaotic systems, are commonly used as models for chaotic dynamics, but existing numerical methods to study long-time statistical properties such as invariant measures have a poor trade-off between…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Caroline L. Wormell

We analyse and explain the increased generalisation performance of iterate averaging using a Gaussian process perturbation model between the true and batch risk surface on the high dimensional quadratic. We derive three phenomena…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Diego Granziol , Xingchen Wan , Samuel Albanie , Stephen Roberts

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator of a stationary GARCH process with heavy-tailed innovations. This means that the innovations are regularly varying with index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Thomas Mikosch , Daniel Straumann