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Estimating nonlinear functionals of probability distributions from samples is a fundamental statistical problem. The "plug-in" estimator obtained by applying the target functional to the empirical distribution of samples is biased.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Florian Schäfer

Inference for functional linear models in the presence of heteroscedastic errors has received insufficient attention given its practical importance; in fact, even a central limit theorem has not been studied in this case. At issue,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Hyemin Yeon , Xiongtao Dai , Daniel John Nordman

Deep neural networks have shown great success in representation learning. However, when learning with noisy labels (LNL), they can easily overfit and fail to generalize to new data. This paper introduces a simple and effective method, named…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Yuyin Zhou , Xianhang Li , Fengze Liu , Qingyue Wei , Xuxi Chen , Lequan Yu , Cihang Xie , Matthew P. Lungren , Lei Xing

Optimization of convex functions under stochastic zeroth-order feedback has been a major and challenging question in online learning. In this work, we consider the problem of optimizing second-order smooth and strongly convex functions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Qian Yu , Yining Wang , Baihe Huang , Qi Lei , Jason D. Lee

The inherent complexity of biological agents often leads to motility behavior that appears to have random components. Robust stochastic inference methods are therefore required to understand and predict the motion patterns from time…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-11-14 Jan Albrecht , Manfred Opper , Robert Großmann

We present a second-order estimator of the mean of a variable subject to missingness, under the missing at random assumption. The estimator improves upon existing methods by using an approximate second-order expansion of the parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 Iván Díaz , Marco Carone , Mark J. van der Laan

We investigate popular resampling methods for estimating the uncertainty of statistical models, such as subsampling, bootstrap and the jackknife, and their performance in high-dimensional supervised regression tasks. We provide a tight…

For the problem of multi-class linear classification and feature selection, we propose approximate message passing approaches to sparse multinomial logistic regression (MLR). First, we propose two algorithms based on the Hybrid Generalized…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-21 Evan Byrne , Philip Schniter

In this paper, we develop a simulation-based framework for regularized logistic regression, exploiting two novel results for scale mixtures of normals. By carefully choosing a hierarchical model for the likelihood by one type of mixture,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

It has been proved that direct bootstrapping of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the distribution function in the current status model leads to inconsistent confidence intervals. We show that bootstrapping of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-21 Piet Groeneboom , Kim Hendrickx

Neural posterior estimation (NPE) and neural likelihood estimation (NLE) are machine learning approaches that provide accurate posterior, and likelihood, approximations in complex modeling scenarios, and in situations where conducting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 David T. Frazier , Ryan Kelly , Christopher Drovandi , David J. Warne

The recent emergence of reinforcement learning has created a demand for robust statistical inference methods for the parameter estimates computed using these algorithms. Existing methods for statistical inference in online learning are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-29 Pratik Ramprasad , Yuantong Li , Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang , Will Wei Sun , Guang Cheng

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

Auto-regressive sequence generative models trained by Maximum Likelihood Estimation suffer the exposure bias problem in practical finite sample scenarios. The crux is that the number of training samples for Maximum Likelihood Estimation is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-14 Yuxuan Song , Ning Miao , Hao Zhou , Lantao Yu , Mingxuan Wang , Lei Li

This paper addresses the problem of providing robust estimators under a functional logistic regression model. Logistic regression is a popular tool in classification problems with two populations. As in functional linear regression,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-16 Graciela Boente , Marina Valdora

Asymptotic efficiency of targeted maximum likelihood estimators (TMLE) of target features of the data distribution relies on a a second order remainder being asymptotically negligible. In previous work we proposed a nonparametric MLE termed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Mark van der Laan , Zeyi Wang , Lars van der Laan

Zou [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 101 (2006) 1418-1429] proposed the Adaptive LASSO (ALASSO) method for simultaneous variable selection and estimation of the regression parameters, and established its oracle property. In this paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-09 A. Chatterjee , S. N. Lahiri

The motivation of this work is to improve the performance of standard stacking approaches or ensembles, which are composed of simple, heterogeneous base models, through the integration of the generation and selection stages for regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-31 Roberto Aldave , Jean-Pierre Dussault

While widely used as a general method for uncertainty quantification, the bootstrap method encounters difficulties that raise concerns about its validity in practical applications. This paper introduces a new resampling-based method, termed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-30 Yiran Jiang , Chuanhai Liu , Heping Zhang

The bootstrap is a popular and powerful method for assessing precision of estimators and inferential methods. However, for massive datasets which are increasingly prevalent, the bootstrap becomes prohibitively costly in computation and its…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-06 Srijan Sengupta , Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao