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The accurate estimation of scaling exponents is central in the observational study of scale-invariant phenomena. Natural systems unavoidably provide observations over restricted intervals; consequently a stationary stochastic process (time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-17 K. H. Kiyani , S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins

We present a novel model Graph Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (Graph Neural SDEs). This technique enhances the Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Graph Neural ODEs) by embedding randomness into data representation using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Richard Bergna , Felix Opolka , Pietro Liò , Jose Miguel Hernandez-Lobato

Statistical and structural modeling represent two distinct approaches to data analysis. In this paper, we propose a set of novel methods for combining statistical and structural models for improved prediction and causal inference. Our first…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-11 Jiaming Mao , Jingzhi Xu

We consider stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by small L\'evy noise with some unknown parameters, and propose a new type of least squares estimators based on discrete samples from the SDEs. To approximate the increments of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yasutaka Shimizu

In this paper, we propose a stochastic optimization method that adaptively controls the sample size used in the computation of gradient approximations. Unlike other variance reduction techniques that either require additional storage or the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Raghu Bollapragada , Richard Byrd , Jorge Nocedal

An important class of spatio-temporal models is constructed by leveraging the hierarchical structure of dynamical (or, state-space) models. This paper proposes a new statistical dynamical model for spatio-temporal processes motivated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Yutong Zhang , Xiao Liu

This work presents a data-driven approach to the identification of spatial and temporal truncation errors for linear and nonlinear discretization schemes of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). Motivated by the central role of truncation…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Stephan Thaler , Ludger Paehler , Nikolaus A. Adams

Stochastic differential equations describe well many physical, biological and sociological systems, despite the simplification often made in their derivation. Here the usage of simple stochastic differential equations to characterize and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-07-27 Daniel Pumpe , Maksim Greiner , Ewald Müller , Torsten A. Enßlin

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most important representations of dynamical systems. They are notable for the ability to include a deterministic component of the system and a stochastic one to represent random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Noura Dridi , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

Automated analysis of complex systems based on multiple readouts remains a challenge. Change point detection algorithms are aimed to locating abrupt changes in the time series behaviour of a process. In this paper, we present a novel change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Artem Ryzhikov , Mikhail Hushchyn , Denis Derkach

Moment estimation for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) is fundamental to the formal reasoning and verification of stochastic dynamical systems, yet remains challenging and is rarely available in closed form. In this paper, we study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Shenghua Feng , Jie An , Naijun Zhan , Fanjiang Xu

Increasingly larger data sets of processes in space and time ask for statistical models and methods that can cope with such data. We show that the solution of a stochastic advection-diffusion partial differential equation provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

We propose a new numerical method for one dimensional stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The main idea of this method is based on a representation of a weak solution of a SDE with a time changed Brownian motion, dated back to Doeblin…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Masaaki Fukasawa , Mitsumasa Ikeda

We introduce a guided stochastic sampling method that augments sampling from diffusion models with physics-based guidance derived from partial differential equation (PDE) residuals and observational constraints, ensuring generated samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Andrew Millard , Fredrik Lindsten , Zheng Zhao

In this paper, we consider numerical approximation to periodic measure of a time periodic stochastic differential equations (SDEs) under weakly dissipative condition. For this we first study the existence of the periodic measure $\rho_t$…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-08 Chunrong Feng , Yu Liu , Huaizhong Zhao

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to constructing unbiased estimators when computing expectations of path functionals associated with stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Our randomization idea is closely related to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-11 Chang-han Rhee , Peter W. Glynn

We propose a novel framework for adaptively learning the time-evolving solutions of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) using score-based diffusion models within a recursive Bayesian inference setting. SPDEs play a central…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-12 Toan Huynh , Ruth Lopez Fajardo , Guannan Zhang , Lili Ju , Feng Bao

Uncertainty quantification appears today as a crucial point in numerous branches of science and engineering. In the past two decades, a growing interest has been devoted to stochastic finite element method (SFEM) for the propagation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Zhibao Zheng

In this paper a novel stochastic optimization and extremum seeking algorithm is presented, one which is based on time-delayed random perturbations and step size adaptation. For the case of a one-dimensional quadratic unconstrained…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Naum Dimitrieski , Michael Reyer , Mohamed-Ali Belabbas , Christian Ebenbauer

The truncated Euler-Maruyama (EM) method is proposed to approximate a class of non-autonomous stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with the H\"older continuity in the temporal variable and the super-linear growth in the state variable.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Wei Liu , Xuerong Mao , Jingwen Tang , Yue Wu