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This paper proposes an approach, Spectral Dynamics Embedding Control (SDEC), to optimal control for nonlinear stochastic systems. This method reveals an infinite-dimensional feature representation induced by the system's nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Zhaolin Ren , Tongzheng Ren , Haitong Ma , Na Li , Bo Dai

This paper focuses on deriving optimal-order full moment error estimates in strong norms for both velocity and pressure approximations in the Euler-Maruyama time discretization of the stochastic Navier-Stokes equations with multiplicative…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Xiaobing Feng , Liet Vo

Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

The paper establishes the strong convergence rates of a spatio-temporal full discretization of the stochastic wave equation with nonlinear damping in dimension one and two. We discretize the SPDE by applying a spectral Galerkin method in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Meng Cai , David Cohen , Xiaojie Wang

We describe a method to extract from experimental data the important dynamical modes in spatio-temporal patterns in a system driven out of thermodynamic equilibrium. Using a novel optical technique for controlling fluid flow, we create an…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2011-05-03 Adam C. Perkins , Roman O. Grigoriev , Michael F. Schatz

Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs) driven by random noise play a central role in modeling physical processes with rough spatio-temporal dynamics, such as turbulence flows, superconductors, and quantum dynamics. Although…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Yuantu Zhu , Zheyan Li , Dai Shi , Luke Thompson , Oliver Nash , Jose Miguel Lara Rangel , Siran Li , Bingguang Chen , Rongchan Zhu , Qi Meng , Hao Ni

If an experimentalist observes a sequence of emitted quantum states via either projective or positive-operator-valued measurements, the outcomes form a time series. Individual time series are realizations of a stochastic process over the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-14 A. Venegas-Li , J. P. Crutchfield

Delattre et al. (2013) investigated asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the population parameters of the random effects associated with n independent stochastic differential equations (SDEs) assuming that the SDEs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-12 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

System identification in scenarios where the observed number of variables is less than the degrees of freedom in the dynamics is an important challenge. In this work we tackle this problem by using a recognition network to increase the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Constantino A. Garcia , Paulo Felix , Jesus M. Presedo , Abraham Otero

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

Predictive queries over spatiotemporal (ST) stream data pose significant data processing and analysis challenges. ST data streams involve a set of time series whose data distributions may vary in space and time, exhibiting multiple distinct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 Anderson Chaves , Eduardo Ogasawara , Patrick Valduriez , Fabio Porto

It is proposed to use stochastic differential equations with state-dependent switching rates (SDEwS) for sampling from finite mixture distributions. An Euler scheme with constant time step for SDEwS is considered. It is shown that the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-08 M. V. Tretyakov

Minimax optimization problems have attracted a lot of attention over the past few years, with applications ranging from economics to machine learning. While advanced optimization methods exist for such problems, characterizing their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Enea Monzio Compagnoni , Antonio Orvieto , Hans Kersting , Frank Norbert Proske , Aurelien Lucchi

We introduce a novel paradigm for learning non-parametric drift and diffusion functions for stochastic differential equation (SDE). The proposed model learns to simulate path distributions that match observations with non-uniform time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Cagatay Yildiz , Markus Heinonen , Jukka Intosalmi , Henrik Mannerström , Harri Lähdesmäki

We propose a unified mixture sampler (UMS) that provides a universal estimation framework for nonlinear state-space models with "exp-exp" likelihood kernels. Unlike existing methods that require deriving new mixture approximations for each…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Daichi Hiraki , Yasuhiro Omori

We consider a class of dissipative stochastic differential equations (SDE's) with time-periodic coefficients in finite dimension, and the response of time-asymptotic probability measures induced by such SDE's to sufficiently regular, small…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Michal Branicki , Kenneth Uda

Perception of time from sequentially acquired sensory inputs is rooted in everyday behaviors of individual organisms. Yet, most algorithms for time-series modeling fail to learn dynamics of random event timings directly from visual or audio…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Hengguan Huang , Hongfu Liu , Hao Wang , Chang Xiao , Ye Wang

We develop a new continuous-time stochastic gradient descent method for optimizing over the stationary distribution of stochastic differential equation (SDE) models. The algorithm continuously updates the SDE model's parameters using an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Ziheng Wang , Justin Sirignano

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) were originally devised by It\^o to provide a pathwise construction of diffusion processes. A less explored approach to represent them is through Time Change Equations (TCEs) as put forth by Doeblin.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Miriam Ramírez , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo