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Purpose: This paper proposes a methodology and a computational tool to study the COVID-19 pandemic throughout the world and to perform a trend analysis to assess its local dynamics. Methods: Mathematical functions are employed to describe…

The COVID-19 pandemic is one of the most challenging healthcare crises during the 21st century. As the virus continues to spread on a global scale, the majority of efforts have been on the development of vaccines and the mass immunization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Meysam Effati , Yu-Chen Sun , Hani E. Naguib , Goldie Nejat

To manage the COVID-19 epidemic effectively, decision-makers in public health need accurate forecasts of case numbers. A potential near real-time predictor of future case numbers is human mobility; however, research on the predictive power…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-02 Amray Schwabe , Joel Persson , Stefan Feuerriegel

The COVID-19 pandemic offers an unprecedented natural experiment providing insights into the emergence of collective behavioral changes of both exogenous (government mandated) and endogenous (spontaneous reaction to infection risks) origin.…

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

In this work we present a spatial-temporal convolutional neural network for predicting future COVID-19 related symptoms severity among a population, per region, given its past reported symptoms. This can help approximate the number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Itamar Ben Ari , Amitai Armon

The COVID-19 disease has forced countries to make a considerable collaborative effort between scientists and governments to provide indicators to suitable follow-up the pandemic's consequences. Mathematical modeling plays a crucial role in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-29 Patricio Cumsille , Oscar Rojas-Díaz , Pablo Moisset de Espanés

Commuting is an important part of daily life. With the gradual recovery from COVID-19 and more people returning to work from the office, the transmission of COVID-19 during commuting becomes a concern. Recent emerging mobility services…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-09 Baichuan Mo , Peyman Noursalehi , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

COVID-19 is not a universal killer. We study the spread of COVID-19 at the county level for the United States up until the 15$^{th}$ of August, 2020. We show that the prevalence of the disease and the death rate are correlated with the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-01 Ayan Paul , Philipp Englert , Melinda Varga

Recent outbreak of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 has affected all of our lives in one way or the other. While medical researchers are working hard to find a cure and doctors/nurses to attend the affected individuals, measures such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Arkaprava Roy , Sayar Karmakar

COVID-19 continues to spread across the country and around the world. Current strategies for managing the spread of COVID-19 include social distancing. We present VERA, an interactive AI tool, that first enables users to specify conceptual…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-04-02 William Broniec , Sungeun An , Spencer Rugaber , Ashok K. Goel

The COVID-19 pandemic has challenged authorities at different levels of government administration around the globe. When faced with diseases of this severity, it is useful for the authorities to have prediction tools to estimate in advance…

The infectious coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a serious global pandemic. Different studies have shown that increasing temperature can play a crucial role in the spread of the virus. Most of these studies were limited to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Fadhah Amer Alanazi

While COVID-19 is rapidly propagating around the globe, the need for providing real-time forecasts of the epidemics pushes fits of dynamical and statistical models to available data beyond their capabilities. Here we focus on statistical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-08 Tommaso Alberti , Davide Faranda

Socio-economic disparities quite often have a central role in the unfolding of large-scale catastrophic events. One of the most concerning aspects of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemics is that it disproportionately affects people from Black and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-09 Aleix Bassolas , Sandro Sousa , Vincenzo Nicosia

The outbreak of COVID-19 highlights the need for a more harmonized, less privacy-concerning, easily accessible approach to monitoring the human mobility that has been proved to be associated with the viral transmission. In this study, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Xiao Huang , Zhenlong Li , Yuqin Jiang , Xiaoming Li , Dwayne Porter

This study explored how population mobility flows form commuting networks across US counties and influence the spread of COVID-19. We utilized 3-level mixed effects negative binomial regression models to estimate the impact of network…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-16 Christopher Seto , Aria Khademi , Corina Graif , Vasant G. Honavar

COVID-19 pandemic has an unprecedented impact all over the world since early 2020. During this public health crisis, reliable forecasting of the disease becomes critical for resource allocation and administrative planning. The results from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Xiaoyong Jin , Yu-Xiang Wang , Xifeng Yan

The COVID-19 pandemic has magnified an already existing trend of people looking for healthcare solutions online. One class of solutions are symptom checkers, which have become very popular in the context of COVID-19. Traditional symptom…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-02 Anitha Kannan , Richard Chen , Vignesh Venkataraman , Geoffrey J. Tso , Xavier Amatriain

The novel Corona Virus COVID-19 arrived on Australian shores around 25 January 2020. This paper presents a novel method of dynamically modeling and forecasting the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia with a high degree of accuracy and in a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-27 Ali Eshragh , Saed Alizamir , Peter Howley , Elizabeth Stojanovski