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In low-resource settings, prevalence mapping relies on empirical prevalence data from a finite, often spatially sparse, set of surveys of communities within the region of interest, possibly supplemented by remotely sensed images that can…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-27 Peter J. Diggle , Emanuele Giorgi

Planet formation models are now often considering the formation of planetary systems, with more than one planet per system. This raises the question of how to represent planetary systems in a convenient way, (e.g. for visualisation purpose)…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-10 Yann Alibert

The LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA catalog has been analyzed with an abundance of different population models due to theoretical uncertainty in the formation of gravitational-wave sources. To expedite model exploration, we introduce an efficient and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-30 Matthew Mould , Noah E. Wolfe , Salvatore Vitale

Focusing on a specific crowd dynamics situation, including real life experiments and measurements, our paper targets a twofold aim: (1) we present a Bayesian probabilistic method to estimate the value and the uncertainty (in the form of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Alessandro Corbetta , Adrian Muntean , Federico Toschi , Kiamars Vafayi

Population dynamics models play an important role in a number of fields, such as actuarial science, demography, and ecology, as they help explain past fluctuations and predict future population. The accuracy of these models is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Paolo Onorati , Sofia Ruiz-Suarez , Radu Craiu

We present an algorithm to efficiently sample the full space of planetary interior density profiles. Our approach uses as few assumptions as possible to pursue an agnostic algorithm. The algorithm avoids the common Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-18 Stefano Wirth , Luca Morf , Ravit Helled

Spatially misaligned data can be fused by using a Bayesian melding model that assumes that underlying all observations there is a spatially continuous Gaussian random field process. This model can be used, for example, to predict air…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Ruiman Zhong , André Victor Ribeiro Amaral , Paula Moraga

We develop a new method which measures the projected density distribution w_p(r_p)n of photometric galaxies surrounding a set of spectroscopically-identified galaxies, and simultaneously the projected correlation function w_p(r_p) between…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-17 Wenting Wang , Y. P. Jing , Cheng Li , Teppei Okumura , Jiaxin Han

Current astrophysical models of the interstellar medium assume that small scale variation and noise can be modelled as Gaussian random fields or simple transformations thereof, such as lognormal. We use topological methods to investigate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-22 Robin Henderson , Irina Makarenko , Paul Bushby , Andrew Fletcher , Anvar Shukurov

We present pop-cosmos: a comprehensive model characterizing the galaxy population, calibrated to $140,938$ ($r<25$ selected) galaxies from the Cosmic Evolution Survey (COSMOS) with photometry in $26$ bands from the ultra-violet to the…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2024-09-06 Justin Alsing , Stephen Thorp , Sinan Deger , Hiranya Peiris , Boris Leistedt , Daniel Mortlock , Joel Leja

In many biological processes heterogeneity within cell populations is an important issue. In this work we consider populations where the behavior of every single cell can be described by a system of ordinary differential equations.…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2010-02-25 J. Hasenauer , S. Waldherr , M. Doszczak , P. Scheurich , F. Allgower

Effectively modeling phenomena present in highly nonlinear dynamical systems whilst also accurately quantifying uncertainty is a challenging task, which often requires problem-specific techniques. We present a novel, domain-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Thomas M. McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Shortly after a new class of objects is discovered, the attention shifts from the properties of the individual sources to the question of their origin: do all sources come from the same underlying population, or several populations are…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-07 Salvatore Vitale , Davide Gerosa , Will M. Farr , Stephen R. Taylor

Population annealing is a powerful sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed to study the equilibrium behavior of general systems in statistical physics through massive parallelism. In addition to the remarkable scaling capabilities of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-19 Paul L. Ebert , Denis Gessert , Martin Weigel

Coadded astronomical images are created by stacking multiple single-exposure images. Because coadded images are smaller in terms of data size than the single-exposure images they summarize, loading and processing them is less…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-18 Mallory Wang , Ismael Mendoza , Cheng Wang , Camille Avestruz , Jeffrey Regier

In stellar astrophysics, the technique of population synthesis has been successfully used for several decades. For planets, it is in contrast still a young method which only became important in recent years because of the rapid increase of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-05 Christoph Mordasini

The Ariel Space Mission aims to observe a diverse sample of exoplanet atmospheres across a wide wavelength range of 0.5 to 7.8 microns. The observations are organized into four Tiers, with Tier 1 being a reconnaissance survey. This Tier is…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-14 Andrea Bocchieri , Lorenzo V. Mugnai , Enzo Pascale , Quentin Changeat , Giovanna Tinetti

Space-based photometry has substantially increased the number of pulsating stars found in binary systems by more than four orders of magnitude. Combined with high-resolution spectroscopy, high-precision photometry offers model-independent…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-18 Ema Šipková , Alex Kemp , Dario Fritzewski , Andrew Tkachenko , Dominic M. Bowman , Conny Aerts , Jasmine Vrancken

Survey sampling plays an important role in the efficient allocation and management of resources. The essence of survey sampling lies in acquiring a sample of data points from a population and subsequently using this sample to estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jonne Pohjankukka , Sakari Tuominen , Jukka Heikkonen

Employing multiple pulsars and using an appropriate algorithm to establish ensemble pulsar timescale can reduce the influences of various noises on the long-term stability of pulsar timescale, compared to a single pulsar. However, due to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-24 Feng Gao , Ming-Lei Tong , Yu-Ping Gao , Ting-Gao Yang , Cheng-Shi Zhao