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The properties of black-hole and neutron-star binaries are extracted from gravitational-wave signals using Bayesian inference. This involves evaluating a multi-dimensional posterior probability function with stochastic sampling. The…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-09-29 Virginia D'Emilio , Rhys Green , Vivien Raymond

We present a probabilistic formulation of the classical problem of synthesizing spectral properties of a galaxy using a base of star clusters. The problem consists of estimating the population vector x, composed by the contributions of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 Roberto Cid Fernandes , Laerte Sodre , Henrique Schmitt , Joao Leao , .

Ordinary differential equations (ODE) have been widely used for modeling dynamical complex systems. For high-dimensional ODE models where the number of differential equations is large, it remains challenging to estimate the ODE parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Muye Nanshan , Nan Zhang , Xiaolei Xun , Jiguo Cao

We present DisPerSE, a novel approach to the coherent multi-scale identification of all types of astrophysical structures, and in particular the filaments, in the large scale distribution of matter in the Universe. This method and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 Thierry Sousbie

Multi-person pose estimation is fundamental to many computer vision tasks and has made significant progress in recent years. However, few previous methods explored the problem of pose estimation in crowded scenes while it remains…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Jiefeng Li , Can Wang , Hao Zhu , Yihuan Mao , Hao-Shu Fang , Cewu Lu

We investigate a Poisson sampling design in the presence of unknown selection probabilities when applied to a population of unknown size for multiple sampling occasions. The fixed-population model is adopted and extended upon for inference.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 Kyle Vincent , Saman Muthukumarana

Aeroengine performance is determined by temperature and pressure profiles along various axial stations within an engine. Given limited sensor measurements both along and between axial stations, we require a statistically principled approach…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Pranay Seshadri , Andrew Duncan , George Thorne , Geoffrey Parks , Raul Vazquez Diaz , Mark Girolami

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

This paper addresses the challenge of obtaining precise demographic information at a fine-grained spatial level, a necessity for planning localized public services such as water distribution networks, or understanding local human impacts on…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-17 Anis Pakrashi , Arnab Hazra , Sooraj M Raveendran , Krishnachandran Balakrishnan

Transmission spectroscopy, which consists of measuring the wavelength-dependent absorption of starlight by a planet's atmosphere during a transit, is a powerful probe of atmospheric composition. However, the expected signal is typically…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 N. P. Gibson , S. Aigrain , S. Roberts , T. M. Evans , M. Osborne , F. Pont

We discuss, from a statistical point of view, some leading issues that deal with the study of stellar populations in fully or partially unresolved aggregates, like globular clusters and distant galaxies. A confident assessment of the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alberto Buzzoni

Narrowband galaxy surveys have recently gained interest as a promising method to achieve the necessary accuracy on the photometric redshift estimate of individual galaxies for stage-IV cosmological surveys. One key advantage is the ability…

Extracting Times of Arrival from pulsar radio signals depends on the knowledge of the pulsars pulse profile and how this template is generated. We examine pulsar template generation with Bayesian methods. We will contrast the classical…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 M. Imgrund , D. J. Champion , M. Kramer , H. Lesch

Parametric density estimation, for example as Gaussian distribution, is the base of the field of statistics. Machine learning requires inexpensive estimation of much more complex densities, and the basic approach is relatively costly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Jarek Duda

The problem of estimating cosmological parameters such as $\Omega$ from noisy or incomplete data is an example of an inverse problem and, as such, generally requires a probablistic approach. We adopt the Bayesian interpretation of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-04-06 Guillaume Evrard , Peter Coles

A generative diffusion model is used to produce probabilistic ensembles of precipitation intensity maps at the 1-hour 5-km resolution. The generation is conditioned on infrared and microwave radiometric measurements from the GOES and DMSP…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-26 Clement Guilloteau , Gavin Kerrigan , Kai Nelson , Giosue Migliorini , Padhraic Smyth , Runze Li , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

Dense crowd counting aims to predict thousands of human instances from an image, by calculating integrals of a density map over image pixels. Existing approaches mainly suffer from the extreme density variances. Such density pattern shift…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Chenfeng Xu , Kai Qiu , Jianlong Fu , Song Bai , Yongchao Xu , Xiang Bai

I discuss an issue arising in analyzing data from astronomical surveys: accounting for measurement uncertainties in the properties of individual sources detected in a survey when making inferences about the entire population of sources.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Thomas J. Loredo

We describe the Bayesian-based signal-to-noise eigenmode method for cosmological parameter estimation, show how it can be used to optimally compress large CMB anisotropy data sets to manageable sizes, and apply it to the DMR 4-year, South…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Richard Bond , Andrew H. Jaffe

This paper shows how measures of uncertainty can be applied to existing population forecasts using Estonia as a case study. The measures of forecast uncertainty are relatively easy to calculate and meet several important criteria used by…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-12 David A. Swanson , Jeff Tayman