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Related papers: Reliability Correction is Key for Robust Kepler Oc…

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We extend the statistical analysis of Lissauer et al. (2012, ApJ 750, 112), which demonstrates that the overwhelming majority of Kepler candidate multiple transiting systems (multis) represent true transiting planets, and develop therefrom…

One of the primary mission goals of the Kepler space telescope was to detect Earth-like terrestrial planets in the habitable zone around Sun-like stars. These planets are at the detection limit, where the Kepler detection and vetting…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-25 Jakob Robnik , Uroš Seljak , Jon M. Jenkins , Steve Bryson

Inconsistent values are commonly encountered in real-world applications, which can negatively impact data analysis and decision-making. While existing research primarily focuses on identifying the smallest removal set to resolve…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Haoda Li , Jiahui Chen , Yu Sun , Shaoxu Song , Haiwei Zhang , Xiaojie Yuan

The Kepler mission has to date found almost 6,000 planetary transit-like signals, utilizing three years of data for over 170,000 stars at extremely high photometric precision. Due to its design, contamination from eclipsing binaries,…

Robust optimization safeguards decisions against uncertainty by optimizing against worst-case scenarios, yet their effectiveness hinges on a prespecified robustness level that is often chosen ad hoc, leading to either insufficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Wenbin Zhou , Shixiang Zhu

We perform a systematic search for rings around 168 Kepler planet candidates with sufficient signal-to-noise ratios that are selected from all the short-cadence data. We fit ringed and ringless models to their lightcurves, and compare the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-02 Masataka Aizawa , Kento Masuda , Hajime Kawahara , Yasushi Suto

We investigate the estimation of orbital parameters by least-$\chi^2$ Keplerian fits to radial velocity (RV) data using synthetic data sets. We find that while the fitted period is fairly accurate, the best-fit eccentricity and $M_p\sin i$…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Yue Shen , Edwin L. Turner

We have performed an extensive search for planet candidates in the publicly available Kepler Long Cadence data from quarters Q1 through Q6. The search method consists of initial de-trending of the data, applying the trend filtering…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2012-11-28 Xu Huang , Gáspár Á. Bakos , Joel D. Hartman

We develop a general method to fit the planetary distribution function (PLDF) to exoplanet survey data. This maximum likelihood method accommodates more than one planet per star and any number of planet or target star properties.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Andrew N. Youdin

We re-examine the statistical confirmation of small long-period Kepler planet candidates in light of recent improvements in our understanding of the occurrence of systematic false alarms in this regime. Using the final Data Release 25…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-20 Christopher J. Burke , F. Mullally , Susan E. Thompson , Jeffrey L. Coughlin , Jason F. Rowe

Given a set of astrometric observations of the same object, the problem of orbit determination is to compute the orbit and to assess its uncertainty and reliability. For the next generation surveys, with much larger number density of…

When searching for exoplanets, one wants to count how many planets orbit a given star, and to determine what their characteristics are. If the estimated planet characteristics are too far from those of a planet truly present, this should be…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-25 Nathan C. Hara , Thibault de Poyferré , Jean-Baptiste Delisle , Marc Hoffmann

High-resolution ground-based optical speckle and near-infrared adaptive optics images are taken to search for stars in close angular proximity to host stars of candidate planets identified by the NASA Kepler Mission. Neighboring stars are a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Mark E. Everett , Thomas Barclay , David R. Ciardi , Elliott P. Horch , Steve B. Howell , Justin R. Crepp , David R. Silva

We measure exoplanet occurrence rate as a function of isochrone and gyrochronology ages using confirmed and candidate planets identified in Q1-17 DR25 Kepler data. We employ Kepler's pipeline detection efficiency to correct for the expected…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-24 Maryum Sayeed , Ruth Angus , Travis Berger , Yuxi , Lu , Jessie Christiansen , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Melissa Ness

A main goal of NASA's Kepler Mission is to establish the frequency of potentially habitable Earth-size planets (eta Earth). Relatively few such candidates identified by the mission can be confirmed to be rocky via dynamical measurement of…

Model selection is a central task in statistics, but standard methods are not robust in misspecified settings where the true data-generating process (DGP) is not in the set of candidate models. The key limitation is that existing methods --…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Jongwoo Choi , Neil A. Spencer , Jeffrey W. Miller

Using the cumulative catalog of planets detected by the NASA Kepler mission, we reconstruct the intrinsic occurrence of Earth- to Neptune-size (1 - 4$R_{\oplus}$) planets and their distributions with radius and orbital period. We analyze…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Ari Silburt , Eric Gaidos , Yanqin Wu

With the unprecedented photometric precision of the Kepler Spacecraft, significant systematic and stochastic errors on transit signal levels are observable in the Kepler photometric data. These errors, which include discontinuities,…

The NASA Kepler mission has discovered thousands of new planetary candidates, many of which have been confirmed through follow-up observations. A primary goal of the mission is to determine the occurrance rate of terrestrial-size planets…