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Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

We consider the problem of discriminative factor analysis for data that are in general non-Gaussian. A Bayesian model based on the ranks of the data is proposed. We first introduce a new {\em max-margin} version of the rank-likelihood. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-20 Xin Yuan , Ricardo Henao , Ephraim L. Tsalik , Raymond J. Langley , Lawrence Carin

We consider a Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems in a separable Hilbert space setting with Gaussian noise. We assume Gaussian priors, which are conjugate to the model, and present a method of identifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-05 Sergios Agapiou , Stig Larsson , Andrew M. Stuart

Bayesian filtering is a general framework for recursively estimating the state of a dynamical system. Classical solutions such that Kalman filter and Particle filter are introduced in this report. Gaussian processes have been introduced as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-11-04 Mr. Chong Han , Dr. Ido Nevat , Dr. Gareth Peters , Prof. Jinhong Yuan

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

Forecasting in probabilistic time series is a complex endeavor that extends beyond predicting future values to also quantifying the uncertainty inherent in these predictions. Gaussian process regression stands out as a Bayesian machine…

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

This work introduces a sampling method capable of solving Bayesian inverse problems in function space. It does not assume the log-concavity of the likelihood, meaning that it is compatible with nonlinear inverse problems. The method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-27 Lorenzo Baldassari , Ali Siahkoohi , Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna , Maarten V. de Hoop

Gaussian processes provide probabilistic surrogates for various applications including classification, uncertainty quantification, and optimization. Using a gradient-enhanced covariance matrix can be beneficial since it provides a more…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-13 André L. Marchildon , David W. Zingg

Deep generative models such as GANs, normalizing flows, and diffusion models are powerful regularizers for inverse problems. They exhibit great potential for helping reduce ill-posedness and attain high-quality results. However, the latent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Dongzhuo Li

This work considers sequential edge-promoting Bayesian experimental design for (discretized) linear inverse problems, exemplified by X-ray tomography. The process of computing a total variation type reconstruction of the absorption inside…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Tapio Helin , Nuutti Hyvönen , Juha-Pekka Puska

For predictive modeling relying on Bayesian inversion, fully independent, or ``mean-field'', Gaussian distributions are often used as approximate probability density functions in variational inference since the number of variational…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-14 Wyatt Bridgman , Reese Jones , Mohammad Khalil

This paper focuses on the design, analysis and implementation of a new preconditioning concept for linear second order partial differential equations, including the convection-diffusion-reaction problems discretized by Galerkin or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-27 Liya Gaynutdinova , Martin Ladecký , Ivana Pultarová , Miloslav Vlasák , Jan Zeman

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

We propose a structured prior for high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems based on a disentangled deep generative model whose latent space is partitioned into auxiliary variables aligned with known and interpretable physical parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-03 Arkaprabha Ganguli , Emil Constantinescu

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

We consider a class of colored graphical Gaussian models obtained by placing symmetry constraints on the precision matrix in a Bayesian framework. The prior distribution on the precision matrix is the colored $G$-Wishart prior which is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-03 Qiong Li , Xin Gao , Helene Massam

Bayesian inference methods have been widely applied in inverse problems, {largely due to their ability to characterize the uncertainty associated with the estimation results.} {In the Bayesian framework} the prior distribution of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Didi Lv , Qingping Zhou , Jae Kyu Choi , Jinglai Li , Xiaoqun Zhang

This paper proposes a flexible Bayesian approach to multiple imputation using conditional Gaussian mixtures. We introduce novel shrinkage priors for covariate-dependent mixing proportions in the mixture models to automatically select the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-17 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim , Kosuke Morikawa

We present a new type of modified Galerkin method. It is a construction with several (inductively defined) levels, that provides approximate solutions of increasing accuracy with every new level. These solutions are constructed as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-08-07 Anca-Veronica Ion