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The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We compare systematically several classes of stochastic volatility models of stock market fluctuations. We show that the long-time return distribution is either Gaussian or develops a power-law tail, while the short-time return distribution…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-15 Frantisek Slanina

The Freidlin-Wentzell large deviation principle is established for the distributions of stochastic evolution equations with general monotone drift and small multiplicative noise. As examples, the main results are applied to derive the large…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-06 Wei Liu

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the dynamics of the volatility are given by a possibly infinite linear combination of the elements of the time extended signature of a Brownian motion. First, we show that the model is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-03 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Louis-Amand Gérard

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

The most frequently used in physical application diffusive (based on the Fokker-Planck equation) model leans upon the assumption of small jumps of a macroscopic variable for each given realization of the stochastic process. This imposes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Serge Shpyrko , V. V. Ryazanov

In the option valuation literature, the shortcomings of one factor stochastic volatility models have traditionally been addressed by adding jumps to the stock price process. An alternate approach in the context of option pricing and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-24 Gifty Malhotra , R. Srivastava , H. C. Taneja

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

We study the large deviation behavior of a system of diffusing particles with a mean field interaction, described through a collection of stochastic differential equations, in which each particle is driven by a vanishing independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Amarjit Budhiraja , Michael Conroy

We study the asymptotic behavior of a diffusion process with small diffusion in a domain $D$. This process is reflected at $\partial D$ with respect to a co-normal direction pointing inside $D$. Our asymptotic result is used to study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-22 Wenqing Hu , Lucas Tcheuko

We study a new parametric approach for hidden discrete-time diffusion models. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution and leads to estimate a large class of stochastic models with nonlinear drift and nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-01 Salima El Kolei , Florian Pelgrin

We consider a stochastic volatility model with L\'evy jumps for a log-return process $Z=(Z_{t})_{t\geq 0}$ of the form $Z=U+X$, where $U=(U_{t})_{t\geq 0}$ is a classical stochastic volatility process and $X=(X_{t})_{t\geq 0}$ is an…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-23 J. E. Figueroa-López , R. Gong , C. Houdré

Using the large deviation principle (LDP) for a re-scaled fractional Brownian motion $B^H_t$ where the rate function is defined via the reproducing kernel Hilbert space, we compute small-time asymptotics for a correlated fractional…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-17 Martin Forde , Hongzhong Zhang

We study large deviations for the time average of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process raised to an arbitrary power. We prove that beyond a critical value, large deviations are subexponential in time, with a non-convex rate function whose main…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Grégoire Ferré

We consider a model of stochastic volatility which combines features of the multiplicative model for large volatilities and of the Heston model for small volatilities. The steady-state distribution in this model is a Beta Prime and is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-15 M. Dashti Moghaddam , R. A. Serota

We consider a diffusion equation in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with drift equal to the gradient of a homogeneous potential of degree $1+\gamma$, with $0<\gamma<1$, and local variance equal to $\varepsilon^2$ with $\varepsilon\to 0$. The associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Paola Bermolen , Valeria Goicoechea , José R. León

Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical…

In this paper we consider a fractional stochastic volatility model, that is a model in which the volatility may exhibit a long-range dependent or a rough/antipersistent behavior. We propose a dynamic sequential Monte Carlo methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

A stochastic process with self-interaction as a model of quantum field theory is studied. We consider an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic process x(t) with interaction of the form x^{(\alpha)}(t)^4, where $\alpha$ indicates the fractional…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-08-23 Yaroslav Volovich

A method is developed to estimate the properties of a global hydrodynamic instability in turbulent flows from measurement data of the limit-cycle oscillations. For this purpose, the flow dynamics are separated in deterministic contributions…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-21 Moritz Sieber , C. Oliver Paschereit , Kilian Oberleithner