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We perform detrending moving average analysis (DMA) and detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) of the WTI crude oil futures prices (1983-2012) to investigate its efficiency. We further put forward a strict statistical test in the spirit of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-02 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wen-Jie Xie , Wei-Xing Zhou

We carry out a detailed large-scale data analysis of price response functions in the spot foreign exchange market for different years and different time scales. Such response functions provide quantitative information on the deviation from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Juan Camilo Henao Londono , Thomas Guhr

It is ubiquitous in natural and social sciences that two variables, recorded temporally or spatially in a complex system, are cross-correlated and possess multifractal features. We propose a new method called multifractal detrended…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Wei-Xing Zhou

We give emphasis on the use of chaos-based rigorous nonlinear technique called Visibility Graph Analysis, to study one economic time series - gold price of USA. This method can offer reliable results with fiinite data. This paper reports…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-04 Susmita Bhaduri , Dipak Ghosh , Subhadeep Ghosh

We take inspiration from statistical physics to develop a novel conceptual framework for the analysis of financial markets. We model the order book dynamics as a motion of particles and define the momentum measure of the system as a way to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Haochen Li , Maria Polukarova , Carmine Ventre

In this paper, we use the generalized Hurst exponent approach to study the multi- scaling behavior of different financial time series. We show that this approach is robust and powerful in detecting different types of multiscaling. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-25 Jozef Barunik , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo , Ruipeng Liu

This paper provides an innovative perspective on the role of gold as a hedge and safe haven. We use a quantile-on-quantile regression approach to capture the dependence structure between gold returns and changes in uncertainty under…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-21 Jamal Bouoiyour , Refk Selmi , Mark Wohar

Gold and currency markets form a unique pair with specific interactions and dynamics. We focus on the efficiency ranking of gold markets with respect to the currency of purchase. By utilizing the Efficiency Index (EI) based on fractal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Ladislav Kristoufek , Miloslav Vosvrda

Modern evolvements of the technologies have been leading to a profound influence on the financial market. The introduction of constituents like Exchange-Traded Funds, and the wide-use of advanced technologies such as algorithmic trading,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-20 Liao Zhu

We introduce a new Self-Organized Criticality (SOC) model for simulating price evolution in an artificial financial market, based on a multilayer network of traders. The model also implements, in a quite realistic way with respect to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-30 Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

We show, by studying in detail the market prices of options on liquid markets, that the market has empirically corrected the simple, but inadequate Black-Scholes formula to account for two important statistical features of asset…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-02-03 Marc Potters , Rama Cont , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In a spatially embedded network, that is a network where nodes can be uniquely determined in a system of coordinates, links' weights might be affected by metric distances coupling every pair of nodes (dyads). In order to assess to what…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-05 Riccardo Chiarucci , Franco Ruzzenenti , Maria I. Loffredo

This paper investigates the common intuition suggesting that during crises the shape of the financial market clearly differentiates from that of random walk processes. In this sense, it challenges the analysis of the nature of financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Tanya Araújo , João Dias , Samuel Eleutério , Francisco Louçã

We provide an alternative method for analysis of multifractal properties of time series. The new approach takes into account the behaviour of the whole multifractal profile of the generalized Hurst exponent $h(q)$ for all moment orders $q$,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-24 Dariusz Grech , Grzegorz Pamuła

We use some fractal analysis methods to study river flow fluctuations. The result of the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) shows that there are two crossover timescales at $s_{1\times}\sim12$ and $s_{2\times}\sim130$…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 M. Sadegh Movahed , Evalds Hermanis

Permutation approach is suggested as a method to investigate financial time series in micro scales. The method is used to see how high frequency trading in recent years has affected the micro patterns which may be seen in financial time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-06 Cina Aghamohammadi , Mehran Ebrahimian , Hamed Tahmooresi

A non-fungible token (NFT) market is a new trading invention based on the blockchain technology which parallels the cryptocurrency market. In the present work we study capitalization, floor price, the number of transactions, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-17 Paweł Szydło , Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

Financial time series prediction, a growing research topic, has attracted considerable interest from scholars, and several approaches have been developed. Among them, decomposition-based methods have achieved promising results. Most…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-02 Hamid Nasiri , Mohammad Mehdi Ebadzadeh

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

We present a general framework of detrending methods of fluctuation analysis of which detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is one prominent example. Another more recently introduced method is detrending moving average (DMA). Both methods…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-03 Marc Höll , Ken Kiyono , Holger Kantz