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Long-range correlation and fluctuation in the gold market time series of world's two leading gold consuming countries, namely China and India, are studied. For both the market series during the period 1985-2013 we observe a long-range…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-01 Provash Mali , Amitabha Mukhopadhyay

Multifractal analysis is a forecasting technique used to study the scaling regularity properties of financial returns, to analyze the long-term memory and predictability of financial markets. In this paper, we propose a novel structural…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-18 Foued Saâdaoui

Recently the statistical characterizations of financial markets based on physics concepts and methods attract considerable attentions. We used two possible procedures of analyzing multifractal properties of a time series. The first one uses…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Ganchuk , V. Derbentsev , V. Soloviev

The multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis technique is employed to analyze the time series of gold consumer price index (CPI) and the market trend of three world's highest gold consuming countries, namely China, India and Turkey for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-01 Provash Mali , Amitabha Mukhopadhyay

One-dimensional detrended fluctuation analysis (1D DFA) and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (1D MF-DFA) are widely used in the scaling analysis of fractal and multifractal time series because of being accurate and easy to…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gao-Feng Gu , Wei-Xing Zhou

Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) has become a central method to characterise the variability and uncertainty in empiric time series. Extracting the fluctuations on different temporal scales allows quantifying the strength…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Galib Hassan , Jürgen Kurths , Dirk Witthaut

The primary challenge of market making in spot precious metals is navigating the liquidity that is mainly provided by futures contracts. The Exchange for Physical (EFP) spread, which is the price difference between futures and spot, plays a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-21 Alexander Barzykin , Philippe Bergault , Olivier Guéant

Grains account for more than 50% of the calories consumed by people worldwide, and military conflicts, pandemics, climate change, and soaring grain prices all have vital impacts on food security. However, the complex price behavior of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-30 Li Wang , Xing-Lu Gao , Wei-Xing Zhou

Multifractality is a concept that helps compactly grasping the most essential features of the financial dynamics. In its fully developed form, this concept applies to essentially all mature financial markets and even to more liquid…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-15 Marcin Wątorek , Marcin Królczyk , Jarosław Kwapień , Tomasz Stanisz , Stanisław Drożdż

Multifractal time series analysis is a approach that shows the possible complexity of the system. Nowadays, one of the most popular and the best methods for determining multifractal characteristics is Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-20 Rafal Rak , Pawel Zięba

Multifractality in time series analysis characterizes the presence of multiple scaling exponents, indicating heterogeneous temporal structures and complex dynamical behaviors beyond simple monofractal models. In the context of digital…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-16 Stanisław Drożdż , Robert Kluszczyński , Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek

Stock markets can become inefficient due to calendar anomalies known as day-of-the-week effect. Calendar anomalies are well-known in financial literature, but the phenomena remain to be explored in econophysics. In this paper we use…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-04 Darko Stosic , Dusan Stosic , Irena Vodenska , H. Eugene Stanley , Tatijana Stosic

We present a comparative analysis of multifractal properties of financial time series built on stock indices from developing (WIG) and developed (S&P500) financial markets. It is shown how the multifractal image of the market is altered…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-19 Dariusz Grech , Lukasz Czarnecki

Many models and real complex systems possess critical thresholds at which the systems shift from one sate to another. The discovery of the early warnings of the systems in the vicinity of critical point are of great importance to estimate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-02-08 Longfeng Zhao , Wei Li , Chunbin Yang , Jihui Han , Zhu Su , Yijiang Zou , Xu Cai

Stock price prediction is of significant importance in quantitative investment. Existing approaches encounter two primary issues: First, they often overlook the crucial role of capturing short-term stock fluctuations for predicting…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Chengqi Dong , Zhiyuan Cao , S Kevin Zhou , Jia Liu

We use the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) to study the electrical discharge current fluctuations in plasma and show that it has multifractal properties and behaves as a weak anti-correlated process. Comparison of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-04-04 S. Kimiagar , M. Sadegh Movahed , S. Khorram , S. Sobhanian , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar

By adopting Multifractal detrended fluctuation (MF-DFA) analysis methods, the multifractal nature is revealed in the high-frequency data of two typical indexes, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite 180 Index (SH180) and the Shenzhen Stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-21 Xin-Lan Fu , Xing-Lu Gao , Zheng Shan , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

We perform a comparative study of applicability of the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) and the Wavelet Transform Modulus Maxima (WTMM) method in proper detecting of mono- and multifractal character of data. We quantify…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-18 Pawel Oswiecimka , Jaroslaw Kwapien , S. Drozdz

We employed Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) and Refined Composite Multiscale Sample Entropy (RCMSE) to investigate the complexity of Bitcoin, GBP/USD, gold, and natural gas price log-return time series. This study…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-01 Oday Masoudi , Farhad Shahbazi , Mohammad Sharifi

Various methods have been developed independently to study the multifractality of measures in many different contexts. Although they all convey the same intuitive idea of giving a "dimension" to sets where a quantity scales similarly within…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-08 Hadrien Salat , Roberto Murcio , Elsa Arcaute
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