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Related papers: Accurately approximating extreme value statistics

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The Gumbel-Softmax probability distribution allows learning discrete tokens in generative learning, while the Gumbel-Argmax probability distribution is useful in learning discrete structures in discriminative learning. Despite the efforts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Hedda Cohen Indelman , Tamir Hazan

We derive in this short report the exact exponential decreasing tail of distribution for naturel normed sums of independent centered random variables (r.v.), applying the theory of Grand Lebesgue Spaces (GLS). We consider also some…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-10 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

A common approach for modeling extremes, such as peak flow or high temperatures, is the three-parameter Generalized Extreme-Value distribution. This is typically fit to extreme observations, here defined as maxima over disjoint blocks. This…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-07 Nathan Huet , Ilaria Prosdocimi

Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-30 David Hartich , Aljaz Godec

The vanilla method in univariate extreme-value theory consists of fitting the three-parameter Generalized Extreme-Value (GEV) distribution to a sample of block maxima. Despite claims to the contrary, the asymptotic normality of the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers

Consider the complex Ginibre ensemble, whose eigenvalues are $(\lambda_i)_{1\le i\le n}$ and the spectral radius $R_n=\max_{1\le i\le n}|\lambda_i|.$ Set $X_n=\sqrt{4 \gamma_{n}}(R_{n}-\sqrt{n}-\frac12\sqrt{\gamma_{n}})$ and $F_n$ be its…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Yutao Ma , Xujia Meng

The present paper studies the limiting behavior of the average score of a sequentially selected group of items or individuals, the underlying distribution of which, $F$, belongs to the Gumbel domain of attraction of extreme value…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-16 Abba M. Krieger , Moshe Pollak , Ester Samuel-Cahn

In this paper non-asymptotic exact exponential estimates are derived for the tail of maximum distribution of random field in the terms of majoring measures or, equally, generic chaining.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-05 E. Ostrovsky , E. Rogover

We study almost sure limiting behavior of extreme and intermediate order statistics arising from strictly stationary sequences. First, we provide sufficient dependence conditions under which these order statistics converges almost surely to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Aneta Buraczyńska , Anna Dembińska

Neural networks are able to approximate any continuous function on a compact set. However, it is not obvious how to quantify the error of the neural network, i.e., the remaining bias between the function and the neural network. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Gero Junike , Marco Oesting

In order to assess future damage caused by natural disasters, it is desirable to estimate the damage caused by single events. So called damage functions provide -- for a natural disaster of certain magnitude -- a specific damage value.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-08 J. Micha Steinhäuser , Diego Rybski , Jürgen P. Kropp

We consider the extreme eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix $Q=YY^*$ under the generalized elliptical model that $Y=\Sigma^{1/2}XD.$ Here $\Sigma$ is a bounded $p \times p$ positive definite deterministic matrix representing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-20 Xiucai Ding , Jiahui Xie , Long Yu , Wang Zhou

We theoretically and numerically investigated the threshold network model with a generic weight function where there were a large number of nodes and a high threshold. Our analysis was based on extreme value theory, which gave us a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-20 A. Fujihara , M. Uchida , H. Miwa

Let $\{\xi_n, n\in\Z^d\}$ be a $d$-dimensional array of i.i.d. Gaussian random variables and define $\SSS(A)=\sum_{n\in A} \xi_n$, where $A$ is a finite subset of $\Z^d$. We prove that the appropriately normalized maximum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-05 Zakhar Kabluchko

We consider random fields indexed by finite subsets of an amenable discrete group, taking values in the Banach-space of bounded right-continuous functions. The field is assumed to be equivariant, local, coordinate-wise monotone, and almost…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-09-28 Christoph Schumacher , Fabian Schwarzenberger , Ivan Veselic

In numerous instances, the generalized exponential distribution can be used as an alternative to the most widely used non-regular family of distributions: Weibull, gamma, lognormal with three-parameters when analyzing lifetime or any skewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Kiran Prajapat , Sharmishtha Mitra , Debasis Kundu

We deal with a generalized statistical description of nonequilibrium complex systems based on least biased distributions given some prior information. A maximum entropy principle is introduced that allows for the determination of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Erik Van der Straeten , Christian Beck

We consider the extreme value theory of a hyperbolic toral automorphism $T: \mathbb{T}^2 \to \mathbb{T}^2$ showing that if a H\"older observation $\phi$ which is a function of a Euclidean-type distance to a non-periodic point $\zeta$ is…

In risk management, often the probability must be estimated that a random vector falls into an extreme failure set. In the framework of bivariate extreme value theory, we construct an estimator for such failure probabilities and analyze its…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-04 Holger Drees , Laurens de Haan

We present evidence that the best model for empirical volume-price distributions is not always the same and it strongly depends in (i) the region of the volume-price spectrum that one wants to model and (ii) the period in time that is being…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Paulo Rocha , Frank Raischel , João Pedro Boto , Pedro G. Lind