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We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

Under a standard assumption in complexity theory (NP not in P/poly), we demonstrate a gap between the minimax prediction risk for sparse linear regression that can be achieved by polynomial-time algorithms, and that achieved by optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-22 Yuchen Zhang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

The problem of ranking/ordering instances, instead of simply classifying them, has recently gained much attention in machine learning. In this paper we formulate the ranking problem in a rigorous statistical framework. The goal is to learn…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Stéphan Clémençon , Gábor Lugosi , Nicolas Vayatis

Biased stochastic estimators, such as finite-differences for noisy gradient estimation, often contain parameters that need to be properly chosen to balance impacts from the bias and the variance. While the optimal order of these parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Xinyu Zhang , Xuhui Zhang

We want to reconstruct a signal based on inhomogeneous data (the amount of data can vary strongly), using the model of regression with a random design. Our aim is to understand the consequences of inhomogeneity on the accuracy of estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Stéphane Gaiffas

This paper focuses on recursive estimation of time varying autoregressive processes in a nonparametric setting. The stability of the model is revisited and uniform results are provided when the time-varying autoregressive parameters belong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , François Roueff

In empirical risk optimization, it has been observed that stochastic gradient implementations that rely on random reshuffling of the data achieve better performance than implementations that rely on sampling the data uniformly. Recent works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Bicheng Ying , Kun Yuan , Stefan Vlaski , Ali H. Sayed

The statistical characteristics of instance-label pairs often change with time in practical scenarios of supervised classification. Conventional learning techniques adapt to such concept drift accounting for a scalar rate of change by means…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-01 Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas , Jose A. Lozano

In this article we consider the nonparametric robust estimation problem for regression models in continuous time with semi-Markov noises observed in discrete time moments. An adaptive model selection procedure is proposed. A sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Vlad Stefan Barbu , Slim Beltaief , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

Supervised classification techniques use training samples to find classification rules with small expected 0-1 loss. Conventional methods achieve efficient learning and out-of-sample generalization by minimizing surrogate losses over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-12 Santiago Mazuelas , Andrea Zanoni , Aritz Perez

We propose some new results on the comparison of the minimum or maximum order statistic from a random number of non-identical random variables. Under the non-identical set-up, with certain conditions, we prove that random minimum (maximum)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Amarjit Kundu , Shovan Chowdhury , Bidhan Modok

For each of (i) arbitrary stochastic reset, (ii) deterministic reset with arbitrary period, (iii) reset at arbitrary constant rate, and then in the sense of either (a) first-order stochastic dominance or (b) expectation (i.e. for each of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Matija Vidmar

We construct a classifier which attains the rate of convergence $\log n/n$ under sparsity and margin assumptions. An approach close to the one met in approximation theory for the estimation of function is used to obtain this result. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Guillaume Lecué

In optimization problems, the quality of a candidate solution can be characterized by the optimality gap. For most stochastic optimization problems, this gap must be statistically estimated. We show that for risk-averse problems, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-05 E. Ruben van Beesten , Nick W. Koning , David P. Morton

This work studies an experimental design problem where {the values of a predictor variable, denoted by $x$}, are to be determined with the goal of estimating a function $m(x)$, which is observed with noise. A linear model is fitted to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-03 David Azriel

We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-15 Nishanth Dikkala , Greg Lewis , Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We consider minimax signal detection in the sequence model. Working with certain ellipsoids in the space of square-summable sequences of real numbers, with a ball of positive radius removed, we obtain upper and lower bounds for the minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Clement Marteau , Theofanis Sapatinas

Empirical research typically involves a robustness-efficiency tradeoff. A researcher seeking to estimate a scalar parameter can invoke strong assumptions to motivate a restricted estimator that is precise but may be heavily biased, or they…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-17 Timothy B. Armstrong , Patrick Kline , Liyang Sun

Learning with label dependent label noise has been extensively explored in both theory and practice; however, dealing with instance (i.e., feature) and label dependent label noise continues to be a challenging task. The difficulty arises…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-07 Hyungki Im , Paul Grigas

We consider a statistical inverse learning problem, where we observe the image of a function $f$ through a linear operator $A$ at i.i.d. random design points $X_i$, superposed with an additive noise. The distribution of the design points is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-15 Gilles Blanchard , Nicole Mücke