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Uncertainty quantification is a fundamental yet unsolved problem for deep learning. The Bayesian framework provides a principled way of uncertainty estimation but is often not scalable to modern deep neural nets (DNNs) that have a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Lingkai Kong , Jimeng Sun , Chao Zhang

It is critical yet challenging for deep learning models to properly characterize uncertainty that is pervasive in real-world environments. Although a lot of efforts have been made, such as heteroscedastic neural networks (HNNs), little work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Peng Cui , Zhijie Deng , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

Deep neural networks can be roughly divided into deterministic neural networks and stochastic neural networks.The former is usually trained to achieve a mapping from input space to output space via maximum likelihood estimation for the…

Developing efficient numerical algorithms for the solution of high dimensional random Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) has been a challenging task due to the well-known curse of dimensionality. We present a new solution framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-17 Mohammad Amin Nabian , Hadi Meidani

There has been a great deal of recent interest in learning and approximation of functions that can be expressed as expectations of a given nonlinearity with respect to its random internal parameters. Examples of such representations include…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-05 Tanya Veeravalli , Maxim Raginsky

The problem of function approximation by neural dynamical systems has typically been approached in a top-down manner: Any continuous function can be approximated to an arbitrary accuracy by a sufficiently complex model with a given…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Tanya Veeravalli , Maxim Raginsky

We present a framework and algorithms to learn controlled dynamics models using neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) -- SDEs whose drift and diffusion terms are both parametrized by neural networks. We construct the drift term to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Franck Djeumou , Cyrus Neary , Ufuk Topcu

Neural differential equations predict the derivative of a stochastic process. This allows irregular forecasting with arbitrary time-steps. However, the expressive temporal flexibility often comes with a high sensitivity to noise. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Stav Belogolovsky , Ido Greenberg , Danny Eitan , Shie Mannor

Stochastic differential equation (SDE) models are the foundation for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. The drift and volatility functions in SDE models are typically chosen to be algebraic functions with a small number (less than…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-04 Lei Fan , Justin Sirignano

Neural Controlled Differential Equations (NCDEs) are a state-of-the-art tool for supervised learning with irregularly sampled time series (Kidger, 2020). However, no theoretical analysis of their performance has been provided yet, and it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-03 Linus Bleistein , Agathe Guilloux

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Nonlinear stochastic differential equations (NSDEs) are a pillar of mathematical modeling for scientific and engineering applications. Accurate and efficient simulation of large-scale NSDEs is prohibitive on classical computers due to the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-16 Xiangyu Li , Ahmet Burak Catli , Ho Kiat Lim , Matthew Pocrnic , Dong An , Jin-Peng Liu , Nathan Wiebe

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a staple of mathematical modelling of temporal dynamics. However, a fundamental limitation has been that such models have typically been relatively inflexible, which recent work introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Patrick Kidger , James Foster , Xuechen Li , Harald Oberhauser , Terry Lyons

We develop a probabilistic machine learning method, which formulates a class of stochastic neural networks by a stochastic optimal control problem. An efficient stochastic gradient descent algorithm is introduced under the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Richard Archibald , Feng Bao , Yanzhao Cao , He Zhang

Understanding the behavior of stochastic gradient methods is a central problem in modern machine learning. Recent work has highlighted diagonal linear networks as a simplified yet expressive setting for analyzing the optimization and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Begoña García Malaxechebarría , Courtney Paquette , Maryam Fazel , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

Learning unknown stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from observed data is a significant and challenging task with applications in various fields. Current approaches often use neural networks to represent drift and diffusion functions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Aiqing Zhu , Qianxiao Li

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) serve as a powerful modeling tool in various scientific domains, including systems science, engineering, and ecological science. While the specific form of SDEs is typically known for a given…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Xin Cai , Jingyu Yang , Zhibao Li , Hongqiao Wang , Miao Huang

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (N-ODEs) are a powerful building block for learning systems, which extend residual networks to a continuous-time dynamical system. We propose a Bayesian version of N-ODEs that enables well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir

Inspired by the ubiquitous use of differential equations to model continuous dynamics across diverse scientific and engineering domains, we propose a novel and intuitive approach to continuous sequence modeling. Our method interprets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Macheng Shen , Chen Cheng

Differential equations in general and neural ODEs in particular are an essential technique in continuous-time system identification. While many deterministic learning algorithms have been designed based on numerical integration via the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Lenart Treven , Philippe Wenk , Florian Dörfler , Andreas Krause
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