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This paper provides a framework for modeling financial contagion in a network subject to fire sales and price impacts, but allowing for firms to borrow to cover their shortfall as well. We consider both uncollateralized and collateralized…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-02 Maxim Bichuch , Zachary Feinstein

Trading activities in financial systems create various channels through which systemic risk can propagate. An important contagion channel is financial fire sales, where a bank failure causes asset prices to fall due to asset liquidation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-08 Tomokatsu Onaga , Fabio Caccioli , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

Common asset holdings are widely believed to have been the primary vector of contagion in the recent financial crisis. We develop a network approach to the amplification of financial contagion due to the combination of overlapping…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-06 Fabio Caccioli , Munik Shrestha , Cristopher Moore , J. Doyne Farmer

Recently, large-scale cascading failures in complex systems have garnered substantial attention. Such extreme events have been treated as an integral part of the self-organized criticality (SOC). Recent empirical work has suggested that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-18 Deokjae Lee , Jae-Young Kim , Jeho Lee , B. Kahng

Assessing systemic risk in financial markets is of great importance but it often requires data that are unavailable or available at a very low frequency. For this reason, systemic risk assessment with partial information is potentially very…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Domenico Di Gangi , Fabrizio Lillo , Davide Pirino

Bank's asset fire sales and recourse to central bank credit are modelled with continuous asset liquidity, allowing to derive the liability structure of a bank. Both asset sales liquidity and the central bank collateral framework are modeled…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-22 Ulrich Bindseil , Edoardo Lanari

We study the impact of regulatory capital constraints on fire sales and financial stability in a large banking system using a mean field game model. In our model banks adjust their holdings of a risky asset via trading strategies with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Rüdiger Frey , Theresa Traxler

Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, a deep analogy between the origins of instability in financial systems and complex ecosystems has been pointed out: in both cases, topological features of network structures influence how easily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-28 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

Assessing the stability of economic systems is a fundamental research focus in economics, that has become increasingly interdisciplinary in the currently troubled economic situation. In particular, much attention has been devoted to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Matteo Serri , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini

We study how the phenomenon of contagion can take place in the network of the world's stock exchanges due to the behavioral trait "blindeness to small changes". On large scale individual, the delay in the collective response may…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-25 Lucia Bellenzier , Jørgen Vitting Andersen , Giulia Rotundo

In complex systems like financial market, risk tolerance of individuals is crucial for system resilience.The single-security price limit, designed as risk tolerance to protect investors by avoiding sharp price fluctuation, is blamed for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-21 Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao , Huiwen Wang

Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis literature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-16 T. R. Hurd

A theoretical model of systemic-risk propagation of financial market is analyzed for stability. The state equation is an unsteady diffusion equation with a nonlinear logistic growth term, where the diffusion process captures the spread of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Jiacheng Wu

Threats on the stability of a financial system may severely affect the functioning of the entire economy, and thus considerable emphasis is placed on the analyzing the cause and effect of such threats. The financial crisis in the current…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-28 Piotr Berman , Bhaskar DasGupta , Lakshmi Kaligounder , Marek Karpinski

As impressively shown by the financial crisis in 2007/08, contagion effects in financial networks harbor a great threat for the stability of the entire system. Without sufficient capital requirements for banks and other financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Daniel Ritter

Using particle system methodologies we study the propagation of financial distress in a network of firms facing credit risk. We investigate the phenomenon of a credit crisis and quantify the losses that a bank may suffer in a large credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-04 Paolo Dai Pra , Wolfgang J. Runggaldier , Elena Sartori , Marco Tolotti

The latest financial crisis has painfully revealed the dangers arising from a globally interconnected financial system. Conventional approaches based on the notion of the existence of equilibrium and those which rely on statistical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-12 V. Sasidevan , Nils Bertschinger

We develop a novel stress-test framework to monitor systemic risk in financial systems. The modular structure of the framework allows to accommodate for a variety of shock scenarios, methods to estimate interbank exposures and mechanisms of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-23 Stefano Battiston , Marco D'Errico , Stefano Gurciullo , Guido Caldarelli

Flash crashes in financial markets have become increasingly important attracting attention from financial regulators, market makers as well as from the media and the broader audience. Systemic risk and propagation of shocks in financial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-23 Jeremy Turiel , Tomaso Aste

We address the problem of banking system resilience by applying off-equilibrium statistical physics to a system of particles, representing the economic agents, modelled according to the theoretical foundation of the current banking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-04 João P. da Cruz , Pedro G. Lind
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