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We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller

Deep neural network (DNN) models have achieved state-of-the-art predictive accuracy in a wide range of supervised learning applications. However, accurately quantifying the uncertainty in DNN predictions remains a challenging task. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Daiwei Zhang , Tianci Liu , Jian Kang

We systematically investigate how the choice between Gaussian and uniform likelihood functions in Bayesian inference affects the inferred bulk properties of compact stars and nuclear matter within covariant density functional-based…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-07-04 Jia-Jie Li , Armen Sedrakian

We consider the joint inference of regression coefficients and the inverse covariance matrix for covariates in high-dimensional probit regression, where the predictors are both relevant to the binary response and functionally related to one…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-15 Xuan Cao , Kyoungjae Lee

For nonlinear supervised learning models, assessing the importance of predictor variables or their interactions is not straightforward because it can vary in the domain of the variables. Importance can be assessed locally with sensitivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Topi Paananen , Michael Riis Andersen , Aki Vehtari

We develop a pivotal test to assess the statistical significance of the feature variables in a single-layer feedforward neural network regression model. We propose a gradient-based test statistic and study its asymptotics using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Enguerrand Horel , Kay Giesecke

There is a rich literature proposing methods and establishing asymptotic properties of Bayesian variable selection methods for parametric models, with a particular focus on the normal linear regression model and an increasing emphasis on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

This paper develops a class of Bayesian non- and semiparametric methods for estimating regression curves and surfaces. The main idea is to model the regression as locally linear, and then place suitable local priors on the local parameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Nils Lid Hjort

Bayesian predictive inference propagates parameter uncertainty to quantities of interest through the posterior-predictive distribution. In practice, this is typically performed using a two-stage procedure: first approximating the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Nan Feng , Xun Huan

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation of a probability density $p$ based on a random sample of size $n$ from this density using a hierarchical prior. The prior consists, for instance, of prior weights on the regularity of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Jüri Lember , Aad van der Vaart

In a remarkable series of papers beginning in 1956, Charles Stein set the stage for the future development of minimax shrinkage estimators of a multivariate normal mean under quadratic loss. More recently, parallel developments have seen…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-27 Edward I. George , Feng Liang , Xinyi Xu

In the present paper new insights into the study of the Non-central Dirichlet distribution are provided. This latter is the analogue of the Dirichlet distribution obtained by replacing the Chi-Squared random variables involved in its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Carlo Orsi

We propose a shrinkage procedure for simultaneous variable selection and estimation in generalized linear models (GLMs) with an explicit predictive motivation. The procedure estimates the coefficients by minimizing the Kullback-Leibler…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-14 Minh-Ngoc Tran , David Nott , Chenlei Leng

We consider the problem of variable selection in Bayesian multivariate linear regression models, involving multiple response and predictor variables, under multivariate normal errors. In the absence of a known covariance structure,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Joyee Ghosh , Xun Li

The models used to describe the kinetics of ruminal degradation are usually nonlinear models where the dependent variable is the proportion of degraded food. The method of least squares is the standard approach used to estimate the unknown…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-21 Diego Salmerón

Bayesian model averaging is a practical method for dealing with uncertainty due to model specification. Use of this technique requires the estimation of model probability weights. In this work, we revisit the derivation of estimators for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-05 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

Estimating the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between random variables is a fundamental problem in statistical analysis. For continuous random variables, traditional information-theoretic estimators scale poorly with dimension and/or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Mikil Foss , Andrew Lamperski

We study the convergence rates of empirical Bayes posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We show that as long as the hyperparameter set is discrete, the empirical Bayes posterior distribution induced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

This paper focuses on Bayesian shrinkage for covariance matrix estimation. We examine posterior properties and frequentist risks of Bayesian estimators based on new hierarchical inverse-Wishart priors. More precisely, we give the existence…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-17 Mathilde Bouriga , Olivier Féron