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The method of Bayesian variable selection via penalized credible regions separates model fitting and variable selection. The idea is to search for the sparsest solution within the joint posterior credible regions. Although the approach was…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-02 Yan Zhang , Howard D. Bondell

We propose a new approach for assigning weights to models using a divergence-based method ({\em D-probabilities}), relying on evaluating parametric models relative to a nonparametric Bayesian reference using Kullback-Leibler divergence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Meng Li , David B. Dunson

Although discrete mixture modeling has formed the backbone of the literature on Bayesian density estimation, there are some well known disadvantages. We propose an alternative class of priors based on random nonlinear functions of a uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence x1,..., xn,... of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) mu. After observing each outcome, it is required to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-19 Daniil Ryabko

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

Bayesian networks are one of the most widely used classes of probabilistic models for risk management and decision support because of their interpretability and flexibility in including heterogeneous pieces of information. In any applied…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Manuele Leonelli , Jim Q. Smith , Sophia K. Wright

We prove that the $f$-divergences between univariate Cauchy distributions are all symmetric, and can be expressed as strictly increasing scalar functions of the symmetric chi-squared divergence. We report the corresponding scalar functions…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Frank Nielsen , Kazuki Okamura

The stochastic expansion of the marginal quasi-likelihood function associated with a class of generalized linear models is shown. Based on the expansion, a quasi-Bayesian information criterion is proposed that is able to deal with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-19 Shoichi Eguchi

We show that the Kullback-Leibler distance is a good measure of the statistical uncertainty of correlation matrices estimated by using a finite set of data. For correlation matrices of multivariate Gaussian variables we analytically…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

Bayesian learning has been recently considered as an effective means of accounting for uncertainty in trained deep network parameters. This is of crucial importance when dealing with small or sparse training datasets. On the other hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Harris Partaourides , Sotirios Chatzis

Assessing the predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks is crucial for safety-related applications of deep learning. Although Bayesian deep learning offers a principled framework for estimating model uncertainty, the common approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Yookoon Park , David M. Blei

A density estimation method in a Bayesian nonparametric framework is presented when recorded data are not coming directly from the distribution of interest, but from a length biased version. From a Bayesian perspective, efforts to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-23 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Theodoros Nicoleris , Stephen G. Walker

We investigate predictive density estimation under the $L^2$ Wasserstein loss for location families and location-scale families. We show that plug-in densities form a complete class and that the Bayesian predictive density is given by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-01 Takeru Matsuda , William E. Strawderman

Analysis of competing risks data plays an important role in the lifetime data analysis. Recently Feizjavadian and Hashemi (Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, vol. 82, 19-34, 2015) provided a classical inference of a competing risks…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Debashis Samanta , Debasis Kundu

We study predictive density estimation under Kullback-Leibler loss in $\ell_0$-sparse Gaussian sequence models. We propose proper Bayes predictive density estimates and establish asymptotic minimaxity in sparse models. A surprise is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Gourab Mukherjee , Iain M. Johnstone

This paper discusses predictive densities under the Kullback--Leibler loss for high-dimensional Poisson sequence models under sparsity constraints. Sparsity in count data implies zero-inflation. We present a class of Bayes predictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Keisuke Yano , Ryoya Kaneko , Fumiyasu Komaki

In this paper, we propose some estimators for the parameters of a statistical model based on Kullback-Leibler divergence of the survival function in continuous setting. We prove that the proposed estimators are subclass of "generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Yaser Mehrali , Majid Asadi

This paper concerns the robust regression model when the number of predictors and the number of observations grow in a similar rate. Theory for M-estimators in this regime has been recently developed by several authors [El Karoui et al.,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Daniel Nevo , Ya'acov Ritov

The practice of employing empirical likelihood (EL) components in place of parametric likelihood functions in the construction of Bayesian-type procedures has been well-addressed in the modern statistical literature. We rigorously derive…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-21 Albert Vexler , Li Zou , Alan D. Hutson

In prediction problems with more predictors than observations, it can sometimes be helpful to use a joint probability model, $\pi(Y,X)$, rather than a purely conditional model, $\pi(Y \mid X)$, where $Y$ is a scalar response variable and…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-17 P. Richard Hahn , Sayan Mukherjee , Carlos Carvalho