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Our model describes competition between groups driven by the choices of self-interested voters within groups. Within a Poisson voting environment, parties observe aggregate support from groups and can allocate prizes or punishments to them.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Alastair Smith , Bruce Bueno de Mesquita , Tom LaGatta

We provide elementary proofs of several results concerning the possible outcomes arising from a fixed profile within the class of positional voting systems. Our arguments enable a simple and explicit construction of paradoxical profiles,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Jacqueline Anderson , Brian Camara , John Pike

Elections involving a very large voter population often lead to outcomes that surprise many. This is particularly important for the elections in which results affect the economy of a sizable population. A better prediction of the true…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Palash Dey , Pravesh K. Kothari , Swaprava Nath

Distributed voting is a fundamental topic in distributed computing. In pull voting, in each step every vertex chooses a neighbour uniformly at random, and adopts its opinion. The voting is completed when all vertices hold the same opinion.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-11-02 Colin Cooper , Robert Elsässer , Tomasz Radzik

We study the effect of strategic behavior in iterative voting for multiple issues under uncertainty. We introduce a model synthesizing simultaneous multi-issue voting with Meir, Lev, and Rosenschein (2014)'s local dominance theory and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Joshua Kavner , Reshef Meir , Francesca Rossi , Lirong Xia

In an election in which each voter ranks all of the candidates, we consider the head-to-head results between each pair of candidates and form a labeled directed graph, called the margin graph, which contains the margin of victory of each…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-09-08 Matthew Harrison-Trainor

Strategic manipulation of elections is typically studied in the context of promoting individual candidates. In parliamentary elections, however, the focus shifts: voters may care more about the overall governing coalition than the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Hodaya Barr , Eden Hartman , Yonatan Aumann , Sarit Kraus

A voting center is in charge of collecting and aggregating voter preferences. In an iterative process, the center sends comparison queries to voters, requesting them to submit their preference between two items. Voters might discuss the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Lihi Dery , Svetlana Obraztsova , Zinovi Rabinovich , Meir Kalech

Elections, the cornerstone of democratic societies, are usually regarded as unpredictable due to the complex interactions that shape them at different levels. In this work, we show that voter turnouts contain crucial information that can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-06 Ritam Pal , Aanjaneya Kumar , M. S. Santhanam

In this paper we propose a novel method to forecast the result of elections using only official results of previous ones. It is based on the voter model with stubborn nodes and uses theoretical results developed in a previous work of ours.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Antoine Vendeville , Benjamin Guedj , Shi Zhou

Liquid democracy is the principle of making collective decisions by letting agents transitively delegate their votes. Despite its significant appeal, it has become apparent that a weakness of liquid democracy is that a small subset of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Paul Gölz , Anson Kahng , Simon Mackenzie , Ariel D. Procaccia

Core stability is a natural and well-studied notion for group fairness in multi-winner voting, where the task is to select a committee from a pool of candidates. We study the setting where voters either approve or disapprove of each…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Ratip Emin Berker , Emanuel Tewolde , Vincent Conitzer , Mingyu Guo , Marijn Heule , Lirong Xia

We propose a general framework for strategic voting when a voter may lack knowledge about other votes or about other voters' knowledge about her own vote. In this setting we define notions of manipulation and equilibrium. We also model…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-28 Hans van Ditmarsch , Jerome Lang , Abdallah Saffidine

We consider the computational complexity of a problem modeling bribery in the context of voting systems. In the scenario of Swap Bribery, each voter assigns a certain price for swapping the positions of two consecutive candidates in his…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-05-20 Britta Dorn , Ildikó Schlotter

Estimation of structure, such as in variable selection, graphical modelling or cluster analysis is notoriously difficult, especially for high-dimensional data. We introduce stability selection. It is based on subsampling in combination with…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-16 Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Buehlmann

Elections for public offices in democratic nations are large-scale examples of collective decision-making. As a complex system with a multitude of interactions among agents, we can anticipate that universal macroscopic patterns could emerge…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-14 Ritam Pal , Aanjaneya Kumar , M. S. Santhanam

We consider the problem of manipulating elections by cloning candidates. In our model, a manipulator can replace each candidate c by several clones, i.e., new candidates that are so similar to c that each voter simply replaces c in his vote…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-21 Edith Elkind , Piotr Faliszewski , Arkadii Slinko

We propose a secure voting protocol for score-based voting rules, where independent talliers perform the tallying procedure. The protocol outputs the winning candidate(s) while preserving the privacy of the voters and the secrecy of the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Lihi Dery , Tamir Tassa , Avishay Yanai

With historic misses in the 2016 and 2020 US Presidential elections, interest in measuring polling errors has increased. The most common method for measuring directional errors and non-sampling excess variability during a postmortem for an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-21 Graham Tierney , Alexander Volfovsky

In ranked-choice elections voters cast preference ballots which provide a voter's ranking of the candidates. The method of ranked-choice voting (RCV) chooses a winner by using voter preferences to simulate a series of runoff elections. Some…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-12 Mallory Dickerson , Erin Martin , David McCune