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Related papers: Optimal stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck regression

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We introduce a class of L\'evy-driven graph Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (grOU) models for edge-indexed network time series. The proposed framework extends generalized network autoregressive (GNAR) processes for edge-indexed network time series to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Jiaming Chen , Almut E. D. Veraart

We provide a simple explicit estimator for discretely observed Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models, prove rigorously consistency and asymptotic normality based on the single assumption that all moments of the stationary distribution of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Friedrich Hubalek , Petra Posedel

This paper aims to derive accurate asymptotic estimates for the exit time probabilities of scalar Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) bridges. The exit time probabilities are expressed as an asymptotic series in powers of a small parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Feng Zhao , Yang Li , Jianlong Wang , Xianbin Liu , Dongping Jin

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process can be seen as a paradigm of a finite-variance and statistically stationary rough random walk. Furthermore, it is defined as the unique solution of a Markovian stochastic dynamics and shares the same local…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Laurent Chevillard , Marc Lagoin , Stephane G. Roux

Strongly consistent estimates are shown, via relative frequency, for the probability of "white balls" inside a dichotomous urn when such a probability is an arbitrary continuous time dependent function over a bounded time interval. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Silvano Fiorin

Among all generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which sample the same invariant measure and for which the same amount of randomness (a $N$-dimensional Brownian motion) is injected in the system, we prove that the asymptotic rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Markus Reiß

We are interested in the problem of robust parametric estimation of a density from $n$ i.i.d. observations. By using a practice-oriented procedure based on robust tests, we build an estimator for which we establish non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Mathieu Sart

We propose and study an asymptotically optimal Monte Carlo estimator for steady-state expectations of a d-dimensional reflected Brownian motion. Our estimator is asymptotically optimal in the sense that it requires $\tilde{O}(d)$ (up to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Jose Blanchet , Xinyun Chen , Peter Glynn , Nian Si

We give an asymptotic development of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), or any other estimator defined implicitly, in a way which involves the limiting behavior of the score and its higher-order derivatives. This development, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

We consider a sequence of fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, that are defined as solutions of a family of stochastic Volterra equations with kernel given by the Riesz derivative kernel, and leading coefficients given by a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Luigi Amedeo Bianchi , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Luciano Tubaro

Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind $(\text{fOU}_{2})$ is solution of the Langevin equation $\mathrm{d}X_t = -\theta X_t\,\mathrm{d}t+\mathrm{d}Y_t^{(1)}, \ \theta >0$ with driving noise $ Y_t^{(1)} := \int^t_0 e^{-s}…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Jose Igor Morlanes

Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) is an important algorithm in machine learning. With constant learning rates, it is a stochastic process that, after an initial phase of convergence, generates samples from a stationary distribution. We show…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Stephan Mandt , Matthew D. Hoffman , David M. Blei

To tackle massive data, subsampling is a practical approach to select the more informative data points. However, when responses are expensive to measure, developing efficient subsampling schemes is challenging, and an optimal sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-11 Jing Wang , HaiYing Wang , Shifeng Xiong

In stochastic population dynamics, stochastic wandering can produce transition to an absorbing state. In particular, under Allee effects, low densities amplify the possibility of population collapse. We investigate this in an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Luis F. Gordillo , Priscilla E. Greenwood

In this paper, we continue the investigation on the connection between observability and inverse problems for a class of parabolic equations with unbounded first order coefficients. We prove new logarithmic stability estimates for a class…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-05-30 S. E. Chorfi , L. Maniar

This paper aims at semi-parametrically estimating the input process to a L\'evy-driven queue by sampling the workload process at Poisson times. We construct a method-of-moments based estimator for the L\'evy process' characteristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-31 Liron Ravner , Onno Boxma , Michel Mandjes

In this paper, a purely measurement-based method is proposed to estimate the dynamic system state matrix by applying the regression theorem of the multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The proposed method employs a recursive algorithm to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-29 Hao Sheng , Xiaozhe Wang

We study a particular class of moving average processes which possess a property called localisability. This means that, at any given point, they admit a ``tangent process'', in a suitable sense. We give general conditions on the kernel g…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-25 Kenneth Falconer , Ronan Le Guével , Jacques Lévy-Véhel

In this paper we will discuss a procedure to improve the usual estimator of a linear functional of the unknown regression function in inverse nonparametric regression models. In Klaassen, Lee, and Ruymgaart (2001) it has been proved that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Chris A. J. Klaassen , Eun-Joo Lee , Frits H. Ruymgaart