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Related papers: Optimal stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck regression

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Via a Bismut-Elworthy-Li formula from [KPP23], we derive uniform gradient estimates for transition semigroups associated with stochastic differential equations driven by a large class of cylindrical L\'{e}vy processes which includes the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Thanh Dang , Lingjiong Zhu

Conditions are given, sufficient for the distribution of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with L\'evy noise to be absolutely continuous or to possess a smooth density. For the processes with non-degenerate drift coefficient, these conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-04 Semen V. Bodnarchuk , Alexey M. Kulik

Maximum likelihood estimators for time-dependent mean functions within Gaussian processes are provided in the context of continuous observations. We find the widest possible class of mean functions for which the likelihood function can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yuto Nishiwaki , Yasutaka Shimizu , Nobutoki Takaoka

We characterise the nonequilibrium stationary state of a generic multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process involving $N$ degrees of freedom. The irreversibility of the process is encoded in the antisymmetric part of the Onsager matrix. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-19 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

We introduce the elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which is a generalisation of the well-known univariate OU process to bivariate time series. This process maps out elliptical stochastic oscillations over time in the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Hanna M. Sykulska-Lawrence

In this paper we investigate a class of nonautonomous linear parabolic problems with time depending Ornstein-Uhlenbeck operators. We study the asymptotic behavior of the associated evolution operator and evolution semigroup in the periodic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Matthias Geissert , Alessandra Lunardi

Sequential data collection has emerged as a widely adopted technique for enhancing the efficiency of data gathering processes. Despite its advantages, such data collection mechanism often introduces complexities to the statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Mufang Ying , Koulik Khamaru , Cun-Hui Zhang

We introduce a new family of estimators for unnormalized statistical models. Our family of estimators is parameterized by two nonlinear functions and uses a single sample from an auxiliary distribution, generalizing Maximum Likelihood Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Miika Pihlaja , Michael Gutmann , Aapo Hyvarinen

We consider the problem of option pricing under stochastic volatility models, focusing on the linear approximation of the two processes known as exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and Stein-Stein. Indeed, we show they admit the same limit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-23 Giacomo Bormetti , Valentina Cazzola , Danilo Delpini

We propose a new method for the estimation of a semiparametric tempered stable L\'{e}vy model. The estimation procedure combines iteratively an approximate semiparametric method of moment estimator, Truncated Realized Quadratic Variations…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-25 José E. Figueroa-López , Ruoting Gong , Yuchen Han

We propose kernel estimator for the distribution function of unobserved errors in autoregressive time series, based on residuals computed by estimating the autoregressive coefficients with the Yule-Walker method. Under mild assumptions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Jiangyan Wang , Rong Liu , Fuxia Cheng , Lijian Yang

Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

We consider the parameter estimation problem for the non-ergodic fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined as $dX_t=\theta X_tdt+dB_t,\ t\geq0$, with a parameter $\theta>0$, where $B$ is a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-01 Rachid Belfadli , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine

A stochastic process is at thermodynamic equilibrium if it obeys time-reversal symmetry; forward and reverse time are statistically indistinguishable at steady state. Non-equilibrium processes break time-reversal symmetry by maintaining…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-11-13 Alexander Strang

We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

This paper addresses the problem of estimating drift parameter of the Ornstein - Uhlenbeck type process, driven by the sum of independent standard and fractional Brownian motions. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

The study of non-stationary processes whose local form has controlled properties is a fruitful and important area of research, both in theory and applications. We present here a construction of multifractional multistable processes, based…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-03 Ronan Le Guével , Jacques Lévy-Véhel

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

We study the bias and the mean-squared error of the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of parameters associated with a two-parameter mean-reverting process for a finite time $T$. Using the likelihood ratio process, we derive the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Jun S. Han , Nino Kordzakhia

We study parameter estimation and asymptotic inference for sparse nonlinear regression. More specifically, we assume the data are given by $y = f( x^\top \beta^* ) + \epsilon$, where $f$ is nonlinear. To recover $\beta^*$, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang , Han Liu , Yonina C. Eldar , Tong Zhang