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Understanding information cascades in networks is a fundamental issue in numerous applications. Current researches often sample cascade information into several independent paths or subgraphs to learn a simple cascade representation.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Fanrui Zhang , Jiawei Liu , Qiang Zhang , Xiaoling Zhu , Zheng-Jun Zha

We study a sequential social learning model in which there is uncertainty about the informativeness of a common signal-generating process. Rational agents arrive in order and make decisions based on the past actions of others and their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-01 Wanying Huang

Information cascades exist in a wide variety of platforms on Internet. A very important real-world problem is to identify which information cascades can go viral. A system addressing this problem can be used in a variety of applications…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-21 Ruocheng Guo , Paulo Shakarian

From biotechnology to cyber-risks, most extreme technological risks cannot be reliably estimated from historical statistics. Therefore, engineers resort to predictive methods, such as fault/event trees in the framework of probabilistic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-26 D. Sornette , T. Maillart , W. Kroeger

We study the effect of imperfect memory on decision making in the context of a stochastic sequential action-reward problem. An agent chooses a sequence of actions which generate discrete rewards at different rates. She is allowed to make…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-20 Kuang Xu , Se-Young Yun

We study the problem of designing mechanisms for \emph{information acquisition} scenarios. This setting models strategic interactions between an uniformed \emph{receiver} and a set of informed \emph{senders}. In our model the senders…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Federico Cacciamani , Matteo Castiglioni , Nicola Gatti

A person's decision to adopt an idea or product is often driven by the decisions of peers, mediated through a network of social ties. A common way of modeling adoption dynamics is to use threshold models, where a node may become an adopter…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-30 Ville-Pekka Backlund , Jari Saramäki , Raj Kumar Pan

A class of nonzero-sum stochastic dynamic games with imperfect information structure is investigated. The game involves an arbitrary number of players, modeled as homogeneous Markov decision processes, aiming to find a sequential Nash…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Jalal Arabneydi , Amir G. Aghdam

Consider a cooperation game on a spatial network of habitat patches, where players can relocate between patches if they judge the local conditions to be unfavorable. In time, the relocation events may lead to a homogeneous state where all…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Ashkaan K. Fahimipour , Fanqi Zeng , Martin Homer , Arne Traulsen , Simon A. Levin , Thilo Gross

In the repeated Prisoner's Dilemma, when every player has a different discount factor, the grim-trigger strategy is an equilibrium if and only if the discount factor of each player is higher than some threshold. What happens if the players…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-03 Cy Maor

Social media platforms often assume that users can self-correct against misinformation. However, social media users are not equally susceptible to all misinformation as their biases influence what types of misinformation might thrive and…

A significant amount of society's infrastructure can be modeled using graph structures, from electric and communication grids, to traffic networks, to social networks. Each of these domains are also susceptible to the cascading spread of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-04-24 James D. Cunningham , Conrad S. Tucker

Information cascades are ubiquitous in both physical society and online social media, taking on large variations in structures, dynamics and semantics. Although the dynamics and semantics of information cascades have been studied, the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Chengxi Zang , Peng Cui , Chaoming Song , Christos Faloutsos , Wenwu Zhu

We study the evolution of information in interactive decision making through the lens of a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem. Focusing on a fundamental example where a unique optimal arm outperforms the rest by a fixed margin, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-23 Yuzhou Gu , Yanjun Han , Jian Qian

In this paper we investigate lossy channel games under incomplete information, where two players operate on a finite set of unbounded FIFO channels and one player, representing a system component under consideration operates under…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-03-05 Rayna Dimitrova , Bernd Finkbeiner

The functionality of an entity frequently necessitates the support of a group situated in another layer of the system. To unravel the profound impact of such group support on a system's resilience against cascading failures, we devise a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-05 Lei Chen , Chunxiao Jia , Run-Ran Liu , Fanyuan Meng

Threshold models of global cascades have been extensively used to model real-world collective behavior, such as the contagious spread of fads and the adoption of new technologies. A common property of those cascade models is that a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-18 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

Reasoning and interacting with dynamic environments is a fundamental problem in AI, but it becomes extremely challenging when actions can trigger cascades of cross-dependent events. We introduce a new supervised learning setup called {\em…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Yuval Atzmon , Eli A. Meirom , Shie Mannor , Gal Chechik

We add the assumption that players know their opponents' payoff functions and rationality to a model of non-equilibrium learning in signaling games. Agents are born into player roles and play against random opponents every period.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-01-16 Drew Fudenberg , Kevin He

Continual learning (CL) is a setting in which an agent has to learn from an incoming stream of data sequentially. CL performance evaluates the model's ability to continually learn and solve new problems with incremental available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Josh Andle , Salimeh Yasaei Sekeh