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It is well known that sequential decision making may lead to information cascades. That is, when agents make decisions based on their private information, as well as observing the actions of those before them, then it might be rational to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Yuval Peres , Miklos Z. Racz , Allan Sly , Izabella Stuhl

In this paper, we study information cascades on graphs. In this setting, each node in the graph represents a person. One after another, each person has to take a decision based on a private signal as well as the decisions made by earlier…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Jun Wan , Yu Xia , Liang Li , Thomas Moscibroda

We consider an environment where players need to decide whether to buy a certain product (or adopt a technology) or not. The product is either good or bad, but its true value is unknown to the players. Instead, each player has her own…

General Economics · Economics 2022-07-22 Ilai Bistritz , Nasimeh Heydaribeni , Achilleas Anastasopoulos

People often learn from other's actions when they make decisions while doing online shopping. This kind of observational learning may lead to information cascades, which means agents might ignore their own signals and follow the 'trend'…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Yuming Han

An information cascade is a circumstance where agents make decisions in a sequential fashion by following other agents. Bikhchandani et al., predict that once a cascade starts it continues, even if it is wrong, until agents receive an…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Sriashalya Srivathsan , Stephen Cranefield , Jeremy Pitt

In online markets, agents often learn from other's actions in addition to their private information. Such observational learning can lead to herding or information cascades in which agents eventually ignore their private information and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Pawan Poojary , Randall Berry

We study the problem of Bayesian learning in a dynamical system involving strategic agents with asymmetric information. In a series of seminal papers in the literature, this problem has been investigated under a simplifying model where…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Deepanshu Vasal , Achilleas Anastasopoulos

We study sequential social learning with continuous actions and conformity when agents can endogenously generate hard, publicly verifiable evidence. Actions transmit soft information whose visibility depends on responsiveness to private…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-04 Darina Cheredina , Georgy Lukyanov

In this paper, we relate the philosophical literature on pessimism traps to information cascades, a formal model derived from the economics and mathematics literature. A pessimism trap is a social pattern in which individuals in a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Avrim Blum , Emily Diana , Kavya Ravichandran , Alexander Williams Tolbert

In social networks, information and influence diffuse among users as cascades. While the importance of studying cascades has been recognized in various applications, it is difficult to observe the complete structure of cascades in practice.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-10-15 Bo Zong , Yinghui Wu , Ambuj K. Singh , Xifeng Yan

We construct a model of strategic imitation in an arbitrary network of players who interact through an additive game. Assuming a discrete time update, we show a condition under which the resulting difference equations converge to consensus.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-04-15 Christopher Griffin , Sarah Rajtmajer , Anna Squicciarini , Andrew Belmonte

Information cascades, effectively facilitated by most social network platforms, are recognized as a major factor in almost every social success and disaster in these networks. Can cascades be predicted? While many believe that they are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Cheng Li , Jiaqi Ma , Xiaoxiao Guo , Qiaozhu Mei

Decision making in modern stochastic systems, including e-commerce platforms, financial markets and healthcare systems, has evolved into a multifaceted process that combines information acquisition and adaptive information sources. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Renyuan Xu , Thaleia Zariphopoulou , Luhao Zhang

We build a model of information cascades on feed-based networks, taking into account the finite attention span of users, message generation rates and message forwarding rates. Using this model, we study through simulations, the effect of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-15 Sameet Sreenivasan , Kevin S. Chan , Ananthram Swami , Gyorgy Korniss , Boleslaw Szymanski

Research on information diffusion generally assumes complete knowledge of the underlying network. However, in the presence of factors such as increasing privacy awareness, restrictions on application programming interfaces (APIs) and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-05-22 Václav Belák , Afra Mashhadi , Alessandra Sala , Donn Morrison

Sequential recommendation models, models that learn from chronological user-item interactions, outperform traditional recommendation models in many settings. Despite the success of sequential recommendation models, their robustness has…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Juntao Tan , Shelby Heinecke , Zhiwei Liu , Yongjun Chen , Yongfeng Zhang , Huan Wang

This study introduces a comprehensive framework that situates information cascades within the domain of higher-order interactions, utilizing a double-threshold hypergraph model. We propose that individuals (nodes) gain awareness of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-14 Lei Chen , Yanpeng Zhu , Jiadong Zhu , Zhongyuan Ruan , Michael Small , Kim Christensen , Run-Ran Liu , Fanyuan Meng

Strategic agents in incomplete-information environments have a conflicted relationship with uncertainty: it can keep them unpredictable to their opponents, but it must also be overcome to predict the actions of those opponents. We use a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-16 Seth Frey , Paul L. Williams , Dominic K. Albino

There is a commonality among contagious diseases, tweets, urban crimes, nuclear reactions, and neuronal firings that past events facilitate the future occurrence of events. The spread of events has been extensively studied such that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-16 Tomokatsu Onaga , Shigeru Shinomoto

Transmission of disease, spread of information and rumors, adoption of new products, and many other network phenomena can be fruitfully modeled as cascading processes, where actions chosen by nodes influence the subsequent behavior of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-04-18 Travis Martin , Grant Schoenebeck , Michael P. Wellman
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