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This study develops a framework for quantification of the impact of changes in population mobility due to social distancing on the COVID-19 infection growth rate. Using the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemiological model we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-05 Benjamin Seibold , Zivjena Vucetic , Slobodan Vucetic

In order to mitigate the spread of COVID-19, Wuhan was the first city to implement strict lockdown policy in 2020. Even though numerous researches have discussed the travel restriction between cities and provinces, few studies focus on the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Chen Wu , Yinong Guo , Haonan Guo , Jingwen Yuan , Lixiang Ru , Hongruixuan Chen , Bo Du , Liangpei Zhang

The current outbreak of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) poses an unprecedented global health and economic threat to interconnected human societies. Until a vaccine is developed, strategies for controlling the outbreak rely on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-24 Andrew J. Stier , Marc G. Berman , Luis M. A. Bettencourt

The COVID-19 pandemic has depressed overall mobility across the country. The changes seen reflect responses to new COVID-19 cases, local health guidelines, and seasonality, making the relationship between mobility and COVID-19 unique from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-23 Alejandro Palomino , Masood Parvania , Regan Zane

To describe the dynamics of social distancing during pandemics, we follow previous efforts to combine basic epidemiology models (e.g. SIR - Susceptible, Infected, and Recovered) with game and economy theory tools. We present an extension of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 R. Arazi , A. Feigel

Governments around the world have implemented preventive measures against the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19). In this study, we consider a multivariate discrete-time Markov model to analyze the propagation of COVID-19 across…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-18 Tatsushi Oka , Wei Wei , Dan Zhu

The COVID-19 pandemic and the resulting economic recession negatively affected many people's physical, social, and psychological health and has been shown to change population-level mobility, but little attention has been given to park…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-22 Zahra Ghadiri , Afra Mashhadi , Marc Timme , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

In this study, we propose a clustering-based approach on time-series data to capture COVID-19 spread patterns in the early period of the pandemic. We analyze the spread dynamics based on the early and post stages of COVID-19 for different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-05 Mehedi Hassan , Md Enamul Haque , Mehmet Engin Tozal

This paper evaluates the dynamic impact of various policies adopted by US states on the growth rates of confirmed Covid-19 cases and deaths as well as social distancing behavior measured by Google Mobility Reports, where we take into…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-21 Victor Chernozhukov , Hiroyuki Kasaha , Paul Schrimpf

The spread of COVID-19 has been a major disruptive force in people's everyday lives and mobility behavior. The demand for on-demand ride services, such as taxis and ridehailing has been specifically impacted, given both restrictions in…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-06 Maher Said , Jason Soria , Amanda Stathopoulos

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the behavioral response to reported case numbers changed drastically over time. While a few dozen cases were enough to trigger government-induced and voluntary contact reduction in early 2020, less than a year…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-27 Bastian Heinlein , Manlio De Domenico

We propose an epidemiological model that includes the mobility patterns of the individuals, in the spirit to those considered in (Barmak, 2011, 2016) and (Medus, 2011). We assume that people move around in a city of 120x120 blocks with 300…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-08 Fernando E. Cornes , Guillermo A. Frank , Claudio O. Dorso

This paper provides a behavioral analysis of the post-pandemic transformation of work, using a dataset of approximately 41 billion mobile geolocation records from 73.5 million individuals in the five largest U.S. metropolitan areas from the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-20 Norman Guo , Wei Jiang , Yaswanth Pothuru , Baozhong Yang

At the time of writing, the ongoing pandemic of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has caused severe impacts on society, economy and people's daily lives. People constantly express their opinions on various aspects of the pandemic on social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-08 Xiaoya Li , Mingxin Zhou , Jiawei Wu , Arianna Yuan , Fei Wu , Jiwei Li

With more than 1.7 million COVID-19 deaths, identifying effective measures to prevent COVID-19 is a top priority. We developed a mathematical model to simulate the COVID-19 pandemic with digital contact tracing and testing strategies. The…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Daniel Xu

In this paper, a mathematical model is proposed to analyze the dynamic behavior of COVID-19. Based on inter-city networked coupling effects, a fractional-order SEIHDR system with the real-data from 23 January to 18 March, 2020 of COVID-19…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-01 Zhenzhen Lu , Yongguang Yu , YangQuan Chen , Guojian Ren , Conghui Xu , Shuhui Wang , Zhe Yin

In this article, we present a modification to the network-based stochastic SEIR epidemic model which allows for modifications to the underlying contact network to account for the effects of quarantine. We also discuss the changes needed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-05 Chris Groendyke , Adam Combs

The COVID-19 pandemic has had an unprecedented impact on our daily lives. With the increase in vaccination rate, normalcy gradually returns, so is the taxi demand. However, the changes in the spatial-temporal taxi demand pattern and factors…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-07 Zihao Li , Cheng Zhang , Xiaoqiang Kong , Yunlong Zhang , Chaolun Ma

We introduce a system of differential equations to assess the impact of (self-)quarantine of symptomatic infectious individuals on disease dynamics. To this end we depart from using the classic bilinear infection process, but remain still…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-03 Jozsef Z. Farkas , Roxane Chatzopoulos

The COVID-19 (formerly, 2019-nCoV) epidemic has become a global health emergency, as such, WHO declared PHEIC. China has taken the most hit since the outbreak of the virus, which could be dated as far back as late November by some experts.…