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The outbreak of COVID-19 caused by SARS-CoV-2 in Wuhan and other cities in China in 2019 has become a global pandemic as declared by World Health Organization (WHO) in the first quarter of 2020 . The delay in diagnosis, limited hospital…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-03 Stephen E. Moore , Eric Okyere

We consider an epidemic process on adaptive activity-driven temporal networks, with adaptive behaviour modelled as a change in activity and attractiveness due to infection. By using a mean-field approach, we derive an analytical estimate of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-02 Marco Mancastroppa , Raffaella Burioni , Vittoria Colizza , Alessandro Vezzani

A new coronavirus disease, called COVID-19, appeared in the Chinese region of Wuhan at the end of last year; since then the virus spread to other countries, including most of Europe. We propose a differential equation governing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-15 Giorgio Sonnino , Pasquale Nardone

The global pandemic of the 2019-nCov requires the evaluation of policy interventions to mitigate future social and economic costs of quarantine measures worldwide. We propose an epidemiological model for forecasting and policy evaluation…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-30 Philip Nadler , Shuo Wang , Rossella Arcucci , Xian Yang , Yike Guo

The short-term economic consequences of the critical measures employed to curb the transmission of Covid-19 are all too familiar, but the consequences of isolation and loneliness resulting from those measures on the mental well-being of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-30 José F. Fontanari

By using the public data from Jan. 20 to Feb. 11, 2020, we perform data-driven analysis and forecasting on the COVID-19 epidemic in mainland China, especially Hubei province. Our results show that the turning points of the daily infections…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-30 Qiang Li , Wei Feng

The unprecedented outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), during early December 2019 in Wuhan, China, has quickly evolved into a global pandemic, became a matter of grave concern, and placed government agencies worldwide in a…

The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the national systems of population movement around the world. Existing work has focused on countries of the Global North and restricted to the immediate effects of COVID-19 data during 2020. Data have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-06 Francisco Rowe , Carmen Cabrera-Arnau , Miguel González-Leonardo , Andrea Nasuto , Ruth Neville

Environmental issues are becoming one of the main topics of concern for society, and the quality of air is closely linked to people's lives. Previous studies have examined the effects of abrupt interventions on changes in air pollution. For…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-16 Weng Chenran , He Weiyi , Zhao Wenjing

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has quickly grown from a regional outbreak in Wuhan, China to a global pandemic. Early estimates of the epidemic growth and incubation period of COVID-19 may have been biased due to sample selection.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-25 Qingyuan Zhao , Nianqiao Ju , Sergio Bacallado , Rajen D. Shah

The SARS-CoV-2 infectious outbreak has rapidly spread across the globe and precipitated varying policies to effectuate physical distancing to ameliorate its impact. In this study, we propose a new hybrid machine learning model, SIRNet, for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-23 Nicholas Soures , David Chambers , Zachariah Carmichael , Anurag Daram , Dimpy P. Shah , Kal Clark , Lloyd Potter , Dhireesha Kudithipudi

Absent a drug or vaccine, containing epidemic outbreaks is achieved by means of social distancing, specifically mobility restrictions and lock-downs. Such measures impose a hurtful toll on the economy, and are difficult to sustain for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-24 Dror Meidan , Nava Schulmann , Reuven Cohen , Simcha Haber , Eyal Yaniv , Ronit Sarid , Baruch Barzel

In March 2020, the UK and Scottish Governments imposed a lockdown restricting everyday life activities to only the most essential. These Governmental measures together with individual choices to refrain from travelling during the COVID-19…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-22 Lucy Downey , Achille Fonzone , Grigorios Fountas , Torran Semple

The sudden spread of Covid-19 outside China has pushed on March 11 the World Health Organization to acknowledge the ongoing outbreak as a pandemic. It is crucial in this phase to understand what should countries which presently lag behind…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-20 Fabio Miletto Granozio

The article revisits spatial interaction and distance decay from the perspective of human mobility patterns and spatially-embedded networks based on an empirical data set. We extract nationwide inter-urban movements in China from a check-in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-04-01 Yu Liu , Zhengwei Sui , Chaogui Kang , Yong Gao

COVID-19 is a global health crisis that has had unprecedented, widespread impact on households across the United States and has been declared a global pandemic on March 11, 2020 by World Health Organization (WHO) [1]. According to Centers…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-25 Harshvardhan Uppaluru , Hamid Emadi , Hossein Rastgoftar

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has impacted every corner of earth, disrupting governments and leading to socioeconomic instability. This crisis has prompted questions surrounding how different sectors of society interact…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Martha Barnard , Radhika Iyer , Sara Y. Del Valle , Ashlynn R. Daughton

The crisis caused by COVID-19 revealed the global unpreparedness to handle the impact of a pandemic. In this paper, we present a statistical analysis of the data related to the COVID-19 outbreak in China, specifically the infection speed,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-13 S. Sahin , M. C. Boado-Penas , C. Constantinescu , J. Eisenberg , K. Henshaw , M. Hu , J. Wang , W. Zhu

The COVID-19 pandemic led several countries to resort to social distancing, the only known way to slow down the spread of the virus and keep the health system under control. Here we use an individual based model (IBM) to study how the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-18 Vitor M. Marquioni , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus, COVID-19, has been declared a pandemic by the WHO. The structures of social contact critically determine the spread of the infection and, in the absence of vaccines, the control of these structures…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-27 Rajesh Singh , R. Adhikari
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