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Multiscale is a hallmark feature of complex nonlinear systems. While the simulation using the classical numerical methods is restricted by the local \textit{Taylor} series constraints, the multiscale techniques are often limited by finding…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Asif Hamid , Danish Rafiq , Shahkar Ahmad Nahvi , Mohammad Abid Bazaz

We introduce a novel ensemble approach for feature selection based on hierarchical stacking for non-stationarity and/or a limited number of samples with a large number of features. Our approach exploits the co-dependency between features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Aysin Tumay , Mustafa E. Aydin , Ali T. Koc , Suleyman S. Kozat

Deep Learning (DL) models can be used to tackle time series analysis tasks with great success. However, the performance of DL models can degenerate rapidly if the data are not appropriately normalized. This issue is even more apparent when…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Nikolaos Passalis , Anastasios Tefas , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Societal and industrial infrastructures and systems increasingly leverage sensors that emit correlated time series. Forecasting of future values of such time series based on recorded historical values has important benefits. Automatically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Xinle Wu , Xingjian Wu , Dalin Zhang , Miao Zhang , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Christian S. Jensen

Time series forecasting has received a lot of attention, with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) being one of the widely used models due to their ability to handle sequential data. Previous studies on RNN time series forecasting, however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Christopher Salazar , Ashis G. Banerjee

The availability of large amounts of time series data, paired with the performance of deep-learning algorithms on a broad class of problems, has recently led to significant interest in the use of sequence-to-sequence models for time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Zelda Mariet

Recent state-of-the-art forecasting methods are trained on collections of time series. These methods, often referred to as global models, can capture common patterns in different time series to improve their generalization performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Vitor Cerqueira , Nuno Moniz , Ricardo Inácio , Carlos Soares

Recent studies have shown great promise in applying graph neural networks for multivariate time series forecasting, where the interactions of time series are described as a graph structure and the variables are represented as the graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Junchen Ye , Zihan Liu , Bowen Du , Leilei Sun , Weimiao Li , Yanjie Fu , Hui Xiong

In this work, we propose an ensemble forecasting approach based on randomized neural networks. Improved randomized learning streamlines the fitting abilities of individual learners by generating network parameters in accordance with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Deep learning-based time series forecasting has dominated the short-term precipitation forecasting field with the help of its ability to estimate motion flow in high-resolution datasets. The growing interest in precipitation nowcasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Sojung An , Tae-Jin Oh , Eunha Sohn , Donghyun Kim

Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions--both direct and indirect. To confront…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Juhyeon Kim , Hyungeun Lee , Seungwon Yu , Ung Hwang , Wooyul Jung , Miseon Park , Kijung Yoon

We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

Time series of counts arise in a variety of forecasting applications, for which traditional models are generally inappropriate. This paper introduces a hierarchical Bayesian formulation applicable to count time series that can easily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-16 Nicolas Chapados

Many methods for time-series forecasting are known in classical statistics, such as autoregression, moving averages, and exponential smoothing. The DeepAR framework is a novel, recent approach for time-series forecasting based on deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ayla Jungbluth , Johannes Lederer

The challenge of electronic component obsolescence is particularly critical in systems with long life cycles. Various obsolescence management methods are employed to mitigate its impact, with obsolescence forecasting being a highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Elie Saad , Mariem Besbes , Marc Zolghadri , Victor Czmil , Claude Baron , Vincent Bourgeois

Time series classification stands as a pivotal and intricate challenge across various domains, including finance, healthcare, and industrial systems. In contemporary research, there has been a notable upsurge in exploring feature extraction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Alireza Keshavarzian , Shahrokh Valaee

In recent years, both online and offline deep learning models have been developed for time series forecasting. However, offline deep forecasting models fail to adapt effectively to changes in time-series data, while online deep forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Mohamed Mejri , Chandramouli Amarnath , Abhijit Chatterjee

Time series forecasting using historical data has been an interesting and challenging topic, especially when the data is corrupted by missing values. In many industrial problem, it is important to learn the inference function between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Trang H. Tran , Lam M. Nguyen , Kyongmin Yeo , Nam Nguyen , Dzung Phan , Roman Vaculin , Jayant Kalagnanam

Hail risk assessment is necessary to estimate and reduce damage to crops, orchards, and infrastructure. Also, it helps to estimate and reduce consequent losses for businesses and, particularly, insurance companies. But hail forecasting is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-05 Ivan Lukyanenko , Mikhail Mozikov , Yury Maximov , Ilya Makarov

Recent advancements in deep learning models for time series forecasting have been significant. These models often leverage fundamental time series properties such as seasonality and non-stationarity, which may suggest an intrinsic link…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Fei Wang , Yujie Li , Zezhi Shao , Chengqing Yu , Yisong Fu , Zhulin An , Yongjun Xu , Xueqi Cheng
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