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We empirically investigated the relationships between the degree of efficiency and the predictability in financial time-series data. The Hurst exponent was used as the measurement of the degree of efficiency, and the hit rate calculated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Sunghoon Choi , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

Temporal correlations in the time series observed in various systems have been characterized by the autocorrelation function. Such correlations can be explained by heavy-tailed interevent time distributions as well as by correlations…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-17 Min-ho Yu , Hang-Hyun Jo

Long memory in the sense of slowly decaying autocorrelations is a stylized fact in many time series from economics and finance. The fractionally integrated process is the workhorse model for the analysis of these time series. Nevertheless,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Uwe Hassler , Marc-Oliver Pohle

The origin of the long-range memory in the non-equilibrium systems is still an open problem as the phenomenon can be reproduced using models based on Markov processes. In these cases a notion of spurious memory is introduced. A good example…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-01 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

Long memory or long range dependency is an important phenomenon that may arise in the analysis of time series or spatial data. Most of the definitions of long memory of a stationary process $X=\{X_1, X_2,\cdots,\}$ are based on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Yiming Ding , Xuyan Xiang

In order to interpret and explain the physiological signal behaviors, it can be interesting to find some constants among the fluctuations of these data during all the effort or during different stages of the race (which can be detected…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-06 Imen Kammoun , Véronique Billat , Jean-Marc Bardet

This paper describes limiting behaviour of tail empirical process associated with long memory stochastic volatility models. We show that such process has dichotomous behaviour, according to an interplay between a Hurst parameter and a tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-23 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

In recent years a new type of tradable assets appeared, generically known as cryptocurrencies. Among them, the most widespread is Bitcoin. Given its novelty, this paper investigates some statistical properties of the Bitcoin market. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-16 Aurelio F. Bariviera , María José Basgall , Waldo Hasperué , Marcelo Naiouf

Long range dependence or long memory is a feature of many processes in the natural world, which provides important insights on the underlying mechanisms that generate the observed data. The usual tools available to characterize the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-11 Hugo C. Mendes , Alberto Murta , R. Vilela Mendes

This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

The fractal scaling properties of the heartbeat time series are studied in a controlled ergometric regime using the Hurst rescaled range R/S analysis. The long-time "memory effect" quantified by the value of the Hurst exponent $H>0.5$ is…

Medical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Martinis , A. Knežević , G. Krstačić , E. Vargović

The intraday pattern, long memory, and multifractal nature of the intertrade durations, which are defined as the waiting times between two consecutive transactions, are investigated based upon the limit order book data and order flows of 23…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei Chen , Wei-Xing Zhou

This research explores the reliability of deep learning, specifically Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, for estimating the Hurst parameter in fractional stochastic processes. The study focuses on three types of processes: fractional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-04 Dániel Boros , Bálint Csanády , Iván Ivkovic , Lóránt Nagy , András Lukács , László Márkus

We give a stochastic microscopic modelling of stock markets driven by continuous double auction. If we take into account the mimetic behavior of traders, when they place limit order, our virtual markets shows the power-law tail of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jun-ichi Maskawa

The paper presents the comparative study of the nature of stock markets in short-term and long-term time scales with and without structural break in the stock data. Structural break point has been identified by applying Zivot and Andrews…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-10 Ajit Mahata , Debi Prasad Bal , Md Nurujjaman

Recent empirical studies have demonstrated long-memory in the signs of orders to buy or sell in financial markets [2, 19]. We show how this can be caused by delays in market clearing. Under the common practice of order splitting, large…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 F. Lillo , Szabolcs Mike , J. Doyne Farmer

Fast radio bursts (FRBs) are brief, luminous pulses with unknown physical origin. The repetition pattern of FRBs contains essential information about their physical nature and emission mechanisms. Using the two largest samples of FRB…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-06-14 F. Y. Wang , Q. Wu , Z. G. Dai

Hurst Exponent has been widely used in different fields as a measure of long range dependence in time series. It has been studied in hydrology and geophysics, economics and finance, and recently, it is still a hot topic in the different…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-24 Roel F. Ceballos , Fe F. Largo

This paper investigates the presence of long memory in corporate bond and stock indices of six European Union countries from July 1998 to February 2015. We compute the Hurst exponent by means of the DFA method and using a sliding window in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-24 Lisana B. Martinez , M. Belen Guercio , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Antonio Terceño

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys