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Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is an unprecedented global public health challenge. In the United States (US), state governments have implemented various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as physical distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-15 Shanghong Xie , Wenbo Wang , Qinxia Wang , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

During the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to control the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the causative pathogen of COVID-19. Among those NPIs, quarantine measures were…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-04 Renquan Zhang , Yu Wang , Zheng Lv , Sen Pei

Italy has been one of the first countries timewise strongly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. The adoption of social distancing and heavy lockdown measures is posing a heavy burden on the population and the economy. The timing of the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-06 Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

In response to the worldwide outbreak of the coronavirus disease COVID-19, a variety of nonpharmaceutical interventions such as face masks and social distancing have been implemented. A careful assessment of the effects of such containment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

Governments across the world are currently facing the task of selecting suitable intervention strategies to cope with the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is a highly challenging task, since harsh measures may result in economic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Andreas Kasis , Stelios Timotheou , Nima Monshizadeh , Marios Polycarpou

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a highly contagious respiratory disease that was first detected in Wuhan, China in December 2019, and has since spread around the globe, claiming more than 69,000 lives by the time this protocol…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-08 Bo Zhang , Ting Ye , Siyu Heng , Michael Z. Levy , Dylan S. Small

The synthetic control method is an empirical methodology forcausal inference using observational data. By observing thespread of COVID-19 throughout the world, we analyze the dataon the number of deaths and cases in different regions…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Niloofar Bayat , Cody Morrin , Yuheng Wang , Vishal Misra

With a two-layer contact-dispersion model and data in China, we analyze the cost-effectiveness of three types of antiepidemic measures for COVID-19: regular epidemiological control, local social interaction control, and inter-city travel…

Understanding the effects of interventions, such as restrictions on community and large group gatherings, is critical to controlling the spread of COVID-19. Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) models are traditionally used to forecast…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Andrew Giffin , Wenlong Gong , Suman Majumder , Ana G. Rappold , Brian J. Reich , Shu Yang

During the global spread of COVID-19, Japan has been among the top countries to maintain a relatively low number of infections, despite implementing limited institutional interventions. Using a Tokyo Metropolitan dataset, this study…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-29 Makoto Niwa , Yasushi Hara , Yusuke Matsuo , Hodaka Narita , Lim Yeongjoo , Shintaro Sengoku , Kota Kodama

Within a short period of time, COVID-19 grew into a world-wide pandemic. Transmission by pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic viral carriers rendered intervention and containment of the disease extremely challenging. Based on reported infection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-24 Liang Tian , Xuefei Li , Fei Qi , Qian-Yuan Tang , Viola Tang , Jiang Liu , Zhiyuan Li , Xingye Cheng , Xuanxuan Li , Yingchen Shi , Haiguang Liu , Lei-Han Tang

The special epistemic characteristics of the COVID-19, such as the long incubation period and the infection through asymptomatic cases, put severe challenge to the containment of its outbreak. By the end of March 2020, China has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-07 Xiaoqi Zhang , Zheng Ji , Yanqiao Zheng , Xinyue Ye , Dong Li

During the COVID-19 pandemic of 2019/2020, authorities have used temporary ad-hoc policy measures, such as lockdowns and mass quarantines, to slow its transmission. However, the consequences of widespread use of these unprecedented measures…

Restrictions on social and economic activities, as well as vaccinations, have been a key intervention in containing the COVID-19 epidemic. Our work focuses on better understanding the options available to policymakers under the conditions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Franco Galante , Chiara Ravazzi , Michele Garetto , Emilio Leonardi

The pandemic caused by the novel Coronavirus SARS-CoV2 has been responsible for life threatening health complications, and extreme pressure on healthcare systems. While preventive and definite curative medical interventions are yet to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-09 Ankit Sharma , Shreyash Arya , Shashee Kumari , Arnab Chatterjee

Following the emergence of a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) and its spread outside of China, Europe has experienced large epidemics. In response, many European countries have implemented unprecedented non-pharmaceutical interventions…

When the Covid-19 pandemic enters dangerous new phase, whether and when to take aggressive public health interventions to slow down the spread of COVID-19. To develop the artificial intelligence (AI) inspired methods for real-time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-24 Zixin Hu , Qiyang Ge , Shudi Li , Eric Boerwincle , Li Jin , Momiao Xiong

The ongoing pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019-2020 (COVID-19) is caused by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). This pathogenic virus is able to spread asymptotically during its incubation stage through a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-14 Subhas Kumar Ghosh , Sachchit Ghosh , Sai Shanmukha Narumanchi

Nowadays, the epidemic of COVID-19 in China is under control. However, the epidemic are developing rapidly around the world. Due to the normal migration of population, China is facing high risk from imported cases. The potential specific…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-07 Jiwei Jia , Siyu Liu , Jing Ding , Guidong Liao , Lihua Zhang , Ran Zhang

State government-mandated social distancing measures have helped to slow down the growth of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. Current predictive models of the development of COVID-19, especially after mitigation efforts, are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 Ka-Ming Tam , Nicholas Walker , Juana Moreno
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