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In this paper, a mathematical model is proposed to analyze the dynamic behavior of COVID-19. Based on inter-city networked coupling effects, a fractional-order SEIHDR system with the real-data from 23 January to 18 March, 2020 of COVID-19…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-01 Zhenzhen Lu , Yongguang Yu , YangQuan Chen , Guojian Ren , Conghui Xu , Shuhui Wang , Zhe Yin

Facing a global epidemic of new infectious diseases such as COVID-19, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), which reduce transmission rates without medical actions, are being implemented around the world to mitigate spreads. One of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-04 Naoya Fujiwara , Tomokatsu Onaga , Takayuki Wada , Shouhei Takeuchi , Junji Seto , Tomoki Nakaya , Kazuyuki Aihara

Non-pharmaceutical interventions have been critical in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. However, these sanitary measures have been partially lifted due to socioeconomic factors causing a worrisome rebound of the epidemic in several…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Hugo Flores-Arguedas , José Ariel Camacho-Gutiérrez , Fernando Saldaña

Given multiple new COVID-19 variants are continuously emerging, non-pharmaceutical interventions are still primary control strategies to curb the further spread of coronavirus. However, implementing strict interventions over extended…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-01 Xiao Zhou , Xiaohu Zhang , Paolo Santi , Carlo Ratti

In the absence of pharmaceutical interventions to curb the spread of COVID-19, countries relied on a number of nonpharmaceutical interventions to fight the first wave of the pandemic. The most prevalent one has been stay-at-home orders,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-21 Kristi Bushman , Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Alexandros Labrinidis

In the absence of any available vaccines or drugs, prevention of the spread of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is being achieved by putting many mitigation measures in place. It is indispensable to have robust and reliable ways…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-17 Gaurav Goswami , Jayanti Prasad , Mansi Dhuria

Background: Wuhan, China was the epicenter of COVID-19 pandemic. The goal of current study is to understand the infection transmission dynamics before intervention measures were taken. Methods: Data and key events were searched through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-15 Mai He , Li Li , Louis P. Dehner

This study aims at modeling the universal failure in preventing the outbreak of COVID-19 via real-world data from the perspective of complexity and network science. Through formalizing information heterogeneity and government intervention…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-26 Xiaoqi Zhang , Jie Fu , Sheng Hua , Han Liang , Zi-Ke Zhang

We model the COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic in China. We use early reported case data to predict the cumulative number of reported cases to a final size. The key features of our model are the timing of implementation of major public policies…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-28 Zhihua Liu , Pierre Magal , Ousmane Seydi , Glenn Webb

The constrained outbreak of COVID-19 in Mainland China has recently been regarded as a successful example of fighting this highly contagious virus. Both the short period (in about three months) of transmission and the sub-exponential…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-22 Jizhou Huang , Haifeng Wang , Miao Fan , An Zhuo , Yibo Sun , Ying Li

The COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus 2019 (SARS-CoV-2), has caused graving woes across the globe since first reported in the epicenter Wuhan, Hubei, China, December 2019. The spread of COVID-19 in China has been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-27 Xingru Chen , Feng Fu

COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on March 11th, 2020. With half of the world's countries in lockdown as of April due to this pandemic, monitoring and understanding the spread of the virus and infection…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Kelvin K. F. Li , Stephen A. Jarvis , Fayyaz Minhas

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused tremendous amount of deaths and a devastating impact on the economic development all over the world. Thus, it is paramount to control its further transmission, for which purpose it…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-11 Quan-Lin Li , Chengliang Wang , Yiming Xu , Chi Zhang , Yanxia Chang , Xiaole Wu , Zhen-Ping Fan , Zhi-Guo Liu

The COVID-19 pandemic due to the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus has directly impacted the public health and economy worldwide. To overcome this problem, countries have adopted different policies and non-pharmaceutical interventions for controlling…

While many efforts are currently devoted to vaccines development and administration, social distancing measures, including severe restrictions such as lockdowns, remain fundamental tools to contain the spread of COVID-19. A crucial point…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-03 Mauro Bisiacco , Gianluigi Pillonetto

The Covid-19 outbreak of 2020 has required many governments to develop and adopt mathematical-statistical models of the pandemic for policy and planning purposes. To this end, this work provides a tutorial on building a compartmental model…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-13 Elizabeth B Amona , Ryad A Ghanam , Edward L Boone , Indranil Sahoo , Laith J Abu-Raddad

Background: By the beginning of December 2020, some vaccines against COVID-19 already presented efficacy and security, which qualify them to be used in mass vaccination campaigns. Thus, setting up strategies of vaccination became crucial to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-25 Vinicius V. L. Albani , Jennifer Loria , Eduardo Massad , Jorge P. Zubelli

The emergence of COVID-19 offered a unique opportunity to study chronic pain patients as they responded to sudden changes in social environments, increased community stress, and reduced access to care. We report findings from n=70 Spinal…

As a reaction to the high infectiousness and lethality of the COVID-19 virus, countries around the world have adopted drastic policy measures to contain the pandemic. However, it remains unclear which effect these measures, so-called…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-11 Lucas Baier , Niklas Kühl , Jakob Schöffer , Gerhard Satzger

During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments faced the challenge of managing population behavior to prevent their healthcare systems from collapsing. Sweden adopted a strategy centered on voluntary sanitary recommendations while Belgium…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-17 Tijs W. Alleman , Jan M. Baetens