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The sea-ice cover of the Arctic Ocean is an important element of the climate and ocean system in the Northern Hemisphere as it impacts albedo, atmospheric pressure regimes, CO2-exchange at the ocean/atmosphere interface as well as the North…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-09 Claude Hillaire-Marcel , Anne de Vernal , Michel Crucifix

This work is motivated by a desire to understand transitions between stable equilibria observed in Stommel's 1961 thermohaline circulation model. We adapt the model, including a forcing parameter as a dynamic slow variable. The resulting…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Andrew Roberts , Raj Saha

The spatiotemporal complexity induced by perturbed initial excitations through the development of modulational instability in nonlinear lattices with or without disorder, may lead to the formation of very high amplitude, localized transient…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-07-19 G. P. Tsironis , N. Lazarides , A Maluckov , Lj. Hadzievski

The energy-balance model of global climate, which is taking into account a nontrivial role of solar and galactic protons, is presented. The model is described by the equation of fold catastrophe relative to increment of temperature, where…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. D. Rusov , A. V. Glushkov , V. N. Vaschenko , V. N. Pavlovich , T. N. Zelentsova , O. T. Mihalus , V. A. Tarasov , D. N. Saranuk

Atmosphere and ocean are coupled via air-sea interactions. The atmospheric conditions fuel the ocean circulation and its variability, but the extent to which ocean processes can affect the atmosphere at decadal time scales remains unclear.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-08 Navid C. Constantinou , Andrew McC. Hogg

Palaeoclimate archives contain information on climate variability, trends and mechanisms. Models are developed to explain observations and predict the response of the climate system to perturbations, in particular perturbations associated…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-09-13 Michel Crucifix

In this work, we study a phase transition model in atmospheric dynamics, inspired by the works [6,14,15], which analyze the primitive equations governing the evolution of velocity, temperature, and specific humidity. The main difficulty…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Giada Cianfarani Carnevale , Donatella Donatelli , Stefano Spirito

We apply two independent data analysis methodologies to locate stable climate states in an intermediate complexity climate model and analyze their interplay. First, drawing from the theory of quasipotentials, and viewing the state space as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-07 Georgios Margazoglou , Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio , Valerio Lucarini

A single-column model is used to investigate regime transitions within the stable atmospheric boundary layer, focusing on the role of small-scale fluctuations in wind and temperature dynamics and of turbulence intermittency as triggers for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-13 Amandine Kaiser , Nikki Vercauteren , Sebastian Krumscheid

We propose a non-steady state model of the global temperature change. The model describes Earth's surface temperature dynamics under main climate forcing. The equations were derived from basic physical relationships and detailed assessment…

We use numerical climate simulations, paleoclimate data, and modern observations to study the effect of growing ice melt from Antarctica and Greenland. Meltwater tends to stabilize the ocean column, inducing amplifying feedbacks that…

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a crucial ocean current system, could transition to a weak state. Despite severe associated climate impacts, assessing the AMOC's response under global warming and its proximity to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-09 Reyk Börner , Oliver Mehling , Jost von Hardenberg , Valerio Lucarini

We present a simplified model of the atmosphere of a terrestrial planet as an open two-dimensional system described by an ideal gas with velocity $\vec{v}$, density $\rho$ and temperature $T$ fields. Starting with the Chern-Simons equations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-29 Martín Jacques-Coper , Valentina Ortiz , Jorge Zanelli

A presumed impact of global climate change is the increase in frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones. Due to the possible destruction that occurs when tropical cyclones make landfall, understanding their formation should be of mass…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-31 Katherine Slyman , John A. Gemmer , Nicholas K. Corak , Claire Kiers , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

Climate change has become a significant global concern due to its capacity to cause substantial disruption to daily life by increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Given the rising trend of human interventions in…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ritik Roshan Giri , Arnab Hazra

There is widespread agreement that ice sheets flowed into the ocean in tropical latitudes at sea level during the Earth's past. Whether these extreme ice ages were snowball Earth events, with the entire surface covered in ice, or whether…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-05-09 James A. Walsh

The physics of planetary climate features a variety of complex systems that are challenging to model as they feature turbulent flows. A key example is the heat flux from the upper ocean to the underside of sea ice which provides a key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-16 Srikanth Toppaladoddi , Andrew J. Wells

Atmospheric flows exhibit long-range spatiotemporal correlations manifested as the fractal geometry to the global cloud cover pattern concomitant with inverse power law form for power spectra of temporal fluctuations on all space-time…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 A. M. Selvam , S. Fadnavis

Many natural systems undergo critical transitions, i.e. sudden shifts from one dynamical regime to another. In the climate system, the atmospheric boundary layer can experience sudden transitions between fully turbulent states and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Amandine Kaiser , Davide Faranda , Sebastian Krumscheid , Danijel Belušić , Nikki Vercauteren

An abrupt climatic transition could be triggered by a single extreme event, an $\alpha$-stable non-Gaussian L\'evy noise is regarded as a type of noise to generate such extreme events. In contrast with the classic Gaussian noise, a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-20 Yayun Zheng , Fang Yang , Jinqiao Duan , Xu Sun , Ling Fu , Jürgen Kurths
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