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Uncertainty estimation in machine learning has traditionally focused on the prediction stage, aiming to quantify confidence in model outputs while treating learned representations as deterministic and reliable by default. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-20 Yiyao Yang

Matter, especially DNA, is now programmed to carry out useful processes at the nanoscale. As these programs and processes become more complex and their envisioned safety-critical applications approach deployment, it is essential to develop…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Jack H. Lutz , Neil Lutz , Robyn R. Lutz , Matthew R. Riley

Toward a multi-objective optimization robust problem, the variations in design variables and design environment pa-rameters include the small variations and the large varia-tions. The former have small effect on the performance func-tions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-04 Weijun Wang , Stéphane Caro , Fouad Bennis , Ricardo Soto , Broderick Crawford

Robust optimization provides a principled and unified framework to model many problems in modern operations research and computer science applications, such as risk measures minimization and adversarially robust machine learning. To use a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Hao Hao , Peter Zhang

Using mathematical models to assist in the interpretation of experiments is becoming increasingly important in research across applied mathematics, and in particular in biology and ecology. In this context, accurate parameter estimation is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Jie Qi , Ruth E. Baker

We consider Bayesian optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective function, where we also have access to cheaper approximations of the objective. In general, such approximations arise in applications such as reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Matthias Poloczek , Jialei Wang , Peter I. Frazier

This work deals with the design optimization of electrical machines under the consideration of manufacturing uncertainties. In order to efficiently quantify the uncertainty, blackbox machine learning methods are employed. A multi-objective…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Morten Huber , Mona Fuhrländer , Sebastian Schöps

Many sequential decision-making problems that are currently automated, such as those in manufacturing or recommender systems, operate in an environment where there is either little uncertainty, or zero risk of catastrophe. As companies and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Marc Rigter

Decision making needs to take an uncertain environment into account. Over the last decades, robust optimization has emerged as a preeminent method to produce solutions that are immunized against uncertainty. The main focus in robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Marc Goerigk , Michael Hartisch

Robust optimization (RO) is a common approach to tractably obtain safeguarding solutions for optimization problems with uncertain constraints. In this paper, we study a statistical framework to integrate data into RO, based on learning a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-03 L. Jeff Hong , Zhiyuan Huang , Henry Lam

As machine learning (ML) systems increasingly permeate high-stakes settings such as healthcare, transportation, military, and national security, concerns regarding their reliability have emerged. Despite notable progress, the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Anthony Corso , David Karamadian , Romeo Valentin , Mary Cooper , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Off-policy evaluation (OPE) is a critical challenge in robust decision-making that seeks to assess the performance of a new policy using data collected under a different policy. However, the existing OPE methodologies suffer from several…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Muhammad Faaiz Taufiq

We examine robust output feedback control of discrete-time nonlinear systems with bounded uncertainties affecting the dynamics and measurements. Specifically, we demonstrate how to construct semi-infinite programs that produce gains to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-16 Jad Wehbeh , Eric C. Kerrigan

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

We study a methodology to tackle the NASA Langley Uncertainty Quantification Challenge, a model calibration problem under both aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. Our methodology is based on an integration of robust optimization, more…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-18 Yuanlu Bai , Zhiyuan Huang , Henry Lam

Real-world scenarios frequently involve multi-objective data-driven optimization problems, characterized by unknown problem coefficients and multiple conflicting objectives. Traditional two-stage methods independently apply a machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Peng Li , Lixia Wu , Chaoqun Feng , Haoyuan Hu , Lei Fu , Jieping Ye

Robust optimization has been established as a leading methodology to approach decision problems under uncertainty. To derive a robust optimization model, a central ingredient is to identify a suitable model for uncertainty, which is called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

We propose a novel approach to design a robust Model Predictive Controller (MPC) for constrained uncertain linear systems. The uncertain system is modeled as linear parameter varying with additive disturbance. Set bounds for the system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-11 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Ugo Rosolia , Yvonne R Stürz , Xiaojing Zhang , Francesco Borrelli

Multicriteria adjustable robust optimization (MARO) problems arise in a wide variety of practical settings, for example, in the design of a building's energy supply. However, no general approaches, neither for the characterization of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-13 Elisabeth Halser , Elisabeth Finhold , Neele Leithäuser , Jan Schwientek , Katrin Teichert , Karl-Heinz Küfer

Data-driven, machine learning (ML) models of atomistic interactions are often based on flexible and non-physical functions that can relate nuanced aspects of atomic arrangements into predictions of energies and forces. As a result, these…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-05-15 Bartosz Barzdajn , Christopher P. Race