Related papers: Limit Profiles for Reversible Markov Chains
We establish spectral theorems for random walks on mapping class groups of connected, closed, oriented, hyperbolic surfaces, and on $\text{Out}(F_N)$. In both cases, we relate the asymptotics of the stretching factor of the…
This work introduces the minimax Laplace transform method, a modification of the cumulant-based matrix Laplace transform method developed in "User-friendly tail bounds for sums of random matrices" (arXiv:1004.4389v6) that yields both upper…
This article presents a new proof of the rate of convergence to the normal distribution of sums of independent, identically distributed random variables in chi-square distance, which was also recently studied in \cite{BobkovRenyi}. Our…
We study a new connection between a technical measure called $\mu$-conductance that arises in the study of Markov chains for sampling convex bodies and the network community profile that characterizes size-resolved properties of clusters…
We prove limit theorems for the number of fixed points, descents, and inversions of iterated random-to-top shuffles in two asymptotic regimes. Our proofs are analytic, and they utilize new combinatorial decompositions that represent each…
This paper studies quantitative deviation bounds for statistical ensembles evolving under the one-parameter flow of a nearly integrable Hamiltonian system. Combining Nekhoroshev-type stability estimates with phase-mixing arguments, we…
We give a local central limit theorem for simple random walks on Z^d, including Gaussian error estimates. The detailed proof combines standard large deviation techniques with Cramer-Edgeworth expansions for lattice distributions.
We consider the use of randomised forward models and log-likelihoods within the Bayesian approach to inverse problems. Such random approximations to the exact forward model or log-likelihood arise naturally when a computationally expensive…
We introduce the Space-Time Markov Chain Approximation (STMCA) for a general diffusion process on a finite metric graph $\Gamma$. The STMCA is a doubly asymmetric (in both time and space) random walk defined on a subdivisions of $\Gamma$,…
Let $G$ be a finitely generated group equipped with a finite symmetric generating set and the associated word length function $|\cdot |$. We study the behavior of the probability of return for random walks driven by symmetric measures $\mu$…
We consider nearest neighbour spatial random permutations on $\mathbb{Z}^d$. In this case, the energy of the system is proportional the sum of all cycle lengths, and the system can be interpreted as an ensemble of edge-weighted, mutually…
Mixture models are commonly used in applications with heterogeneity and overdispersion in the population, as they allow the identification of subpopulations. In the Bayesian framework, this entails the specification of suitable prior…
We consider the Random Walk Metropolis algorithm on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with Gaussian proposals, and when the target probability measure is the $n$-fold product of a one-dimensional law. It is well known (see Roberts et al. (Ann. Appl. Probab. 7…
We study existence of percolation in the hierarchical group of order $N$, which is an ultrametric space, and transience and recurrence of random walks on the percolation clusters. The connection probability on the hierarchical group for two…
A common tool in the practice of Markov Chain Monte Carlo is to use approximating transition kernels to speed up computation when the desired kernel is slow to evaluate or intractable. A limited set of quantitative tools exist to assess the…
Markov chain Monte Carlo methods such as Gibbs sampling and simple forms of the Metropolis algorithm typically move about the distribution being sampled via a random walk. For the complex, high-dimensional distributions commonly encountered…
Let $M_n$ be a simple triangulation of the sphere $S^2$, drawn uniformly at random from all such triangulations with n vertices. Endow $M_n$ with the uniform probability measure on its vertices. After rescaling graph distance on $V(M_n)$ by…
We study the length of short cycles on uniformly random metric maps (also known as ribbon graphs) of large genus using a Teichm\"uller theory approach. We establish that, as the genus tends to infinity, the length spectrum converges to a…
We consider the continuous-time random walk of a particle in a two-dimensional self-affine quenched random potential of Hurst exponent $H>0$. The corresponding master equation is studied via the strong disorder renormalization procedure…
We consider a transitive action of a finitely generated group $G$ and the Schreier graph $\Gamma$ defined by this action for some fixed generating set. For a probability measure $\mu$ on $G$ with a finite first moment we show that if the…