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The spectral gap $\gamma$ of an ergodic and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-19 David A. Levin , Yuval Peres

Let $G$ be a finite group and let $H$ be a subgroup of $G$. The left-invariant random walk driven by a probability measure $w$ on $G$ is the Markov chain in which from any state $x \in G$, the probability of stepping to $xg \in G$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Edward Crane , Álvaro Gutiérrez , Erin Russell , Mark Wildon

A random walk in a sparse random environment is a model introduced by Matzavinos et al. [Electron. J. Probab. 21, paper no. 72: 2016] as a generalization of both a simple symmetric random walk and a classical random walk in a random…

In this work, we study the normal approximation and almost sure central limit theorems for some functionals of an independent sequence of Rademacher random variables. In particular, we provide a new chain rule that improves the one derived…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Guangqu Zheng

We use tools from random matrix theory to study the multi-spiked tensor model, i.e., a rank-$r$ deformation of a symmetric random Gaussian tensor. In particular, thanks to the nature of local optimization methods used to find the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Yang Qi , Alexis Decurninge

We give a complete and unified description -- under some stability assumptions -- of the functional scaling limits associated with some persistent random walks for which the recurrent or transient type is studied in [1]. As a result, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-02 Peggy Cénac , Arnaud Le Ny , Basile De Loynes , Yoann Offret

We study random walks on the isometry group of a Gromov hyperbolic space or Teichm\"uller space. We prove that the translation lengths of random isometries satisfy a central limit theorem if and only if the random walk has finite second…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Inhyeok Choi

We derive a finite-sample probabilistic bound on the parameter estimation error of a system identification algorithm for Linear Switched Systems. The algorithm estimates Markov parameters from a single trajectory and applies a variant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Daniel Racz , Mihaly Petreczky , Balint Daroczy

Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

Improving Importance Sampling estimators for rare event probabilities requires sharp approx- imations of the optimal density leading to a nearly zero-variance estimator. This paper presents a new way to handle the estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Virgile Caron

We introduce a class of absorption mechanisms and study the behavior of real-valued centered random walks with finite variance that do not get absorbed. In particular, we prove persistence and scaling limit results, which, in many cases of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Micha Buck

The problem of estimating an unknown discrete distribution from its samples is a fundamental tenet of statistical learning. Over the past decade, it attracted significant research effort and has been solved for a variety of divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Yi Hao , Alon Orlitsky , Venkatadheeraj Pichapati

Consider a probability measure on a Hilbert space defined via its density with respect to a Gaussian. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate that an appropriately defined Markov chain, which is reversible with respect to the measure in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-21 Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew M. Stuart , Alexandre H. Thiery

We analyze a semi-infinite one-dimensional random walk process with a biased motion that is incremental in one direction and long-range in the other. On a network with a fixed hierarchy of long-range jumps, we find with exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-03 Lauren A. Ball , Alfred C. K. Farris , Stefan Boettcher

The recurrence features of persistent random walks built from variable length Markov chains are investigated. We observe that these stochastic processes can be seen as L{\'e}vy walks for which the persistence times depend on some internal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Peggy Cénac , Basile De Loynes , Yoann Offret , Arnaud Rousselle

Graph-limit theory focuses on the convergence of sequences of graphs when the number of nodes becomes arbitrarily large. This framework defines a continuous version of graphs allowing for the study of dynamical systems on very large graphs,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Julien Petit , Renaud Lambiotte , Timoteo Carletti

We study convergence to equilibrium for a large class of Markov chains in random environment. The chains are sparse in the sense that in every row of the transition matrix $P$ the mass is essentially concentrated on few entries. Moreover,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

We present a framework for obtaining explicit bounds on the rate of convergence to equilibrium of a Markov chain on a general state space, with respect to both total variation and Wasserstein distances. For Wasserstein bounds, our main tool…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Neal Madras , Deniz Sezer

We study the Bayesian inverse problem for inferring the log-normal slowness function of the eikonal equation given noisy observation data on its solution at a set of spatial points. We study approximation of the posterior probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Zhan Fei Yeo , Viet Ha Hoang

In this thesis, we study three physically relevant models of strongly correlated random variables: trapped fermions, random matrices and random walks. In the first part, we show several exact mappings between the ground state of a trapped…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-24 Bertrand Lacroix-A-Chez-Toine