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Nonresponse weighting adjustment using propensity score is a popular method for handling unit nonresponse. However, including all available auxiliary variables into the propensity model can lead to inefficient and inconsistent estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-31 Hejian Sang , Gyuhyeong Goh , Jae Kwang Kim

In many contemporary applications, large amounts of unlabeled data are readily available while labeled examples are limited. There has been substantial interest in semi-supervised learning (SSL) which aims to leverage unlabeled data to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-28 Jessica Gronsbell , Molei Liu , Lu Tian , Tianxi Cai

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We consider the problem of providing valid inference for a selected parameter in a sparse regression setting. It is well known that classical regression tools can be unreliable in this context due to the bias generated in the selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-07 Daniel G. Rasines , G. Alastair Young

Randomized trials balance all covariates on average and provide the gold standard for estimating treatment effects. Chance imbalances nevertheless exist more or less in realized treatment allocations and intrigue an important question: what…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

Background: It has long been advised to account for baseline covariates in the analysis of confirmatory randomised trials, with the main statistical justifications being that this increases power and, when a randomisation scheme balanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-09 Tim P. Morris , A. Sarah Walker , Elizabeth J. Williamson , Ian R. White

A major family of sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) methods, called inverse regression, commonly require the distribution of the predictor $X$ to have a linear $E(X|\beta^\mathsf{T}X)$ and a degenerate $\mathrm{var}(X|\beta^\mathsf{T}X)$…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-30 Wei Luo , Yan Guo

Estimating the uncertainty in deep neural network predictions is crucial for many real-world applications. A common approach to model uncertainty is to choose a parametric distribution and fit the data to it using maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Ali Harakeh , Jordan Hu , Naiqing Guan , Steven L. Waslander , Liam Paull

This paper proposes new estimators for the propensity score that aim to maximize the covariate distribution balance among different treatment groups. Heuristically, our proposed procedure attempts to estimate a propensity score model by…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-07 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song , Qi Xu

Covariate-adaptive randomization is widely employed to balance baseline covariates in interventional studies such as clinical trials and experiments in development economics. Recent years have witnessed substantial progress in inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-30 Jiahui Xin , Hanzhong Liu , Wei Ma

Recent works have proposed optimal subsampling algorithms to improve computational efficiency in large datasets and to design validation studies in the presence of measurement error. Existing approaches generally fall into two categories:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Jasper B. Yang , Thomas Lumley , Bryan E. Shepherd , Pamela A. Shaw

Simulation-based inference plays a major role in modern statistics, and often employs either reallocating (as in a randomization test) or resampling (as in bootstrapping). Reallocating mimics random allocation to treatment groups, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Kari Lock Morgan

This thesis presents Regenerative Rejection Sampling (RRS), a novel approximate sampling algorithm inspired by classical Rejection Sampling and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. The method constructs a continuous-time regenerative process…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-01 Tommaso Bozzi

Nonresponse is common in surveys. When the response probability of a survey variable $Y$ depends on $Y$ through an observed auxiliary categorical variable $Z$ (i.e., the response probability of $Y$ is conditionally independent of $Y$ given…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-04 Fang Fang , Quan Hong , Jun Shao

We consider statistical learning problems, when the distribution $P'$ of the training observations $Z'_1,\; \ldots,\; Z'_n$ differs from the distribution $P$ involved in the risk one seeks to minimize (referred to as the test distribution)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-20 Robin Vogel , Mastane Achab , Stéphan Clémençon , Charles Tillier

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) and distributionally robust optimization (DRO) are popular approaches for solving stochastic optimization problems that appear in operations management and machine learning. Existing generalization error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Garud Iyengar , Henry Lam , Tianyu Wang

We introduce a new sufficient statistic for the population parameter vector by allowing for the sampling design to first be selected at random amongst a set of candidate sampling designs. In contrast to the traditional approach in survey…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-11 Kyle Vincent , Christopher S. Henry

Classical randomized experiments, equipped with randomization-based inference, provide assumption-free inference for treatment effects. They have been the gold standard for drawing causal inference and provide excellent internal validity.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-22 Zihao Yang , Tianyi Qu , Xinran Li

Bias in causal comparisons has a direct correspondence with distributional imbalance of covariates between treatment groups. Weighting strategies such as inverse propensity score weighting attempt to mitigate bias by either modeling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-14 Jared D. Huling , Simon Mak

Expected shortfall is defined as the average over the tail below (or above) a certain quantile of a probability distribution. Expected shortfall regression provides powerful tools for learning the relationship between a response variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Shushu Zhang , Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou