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In the November 2016 U.S. presidential election, many state level public opinion polls, particularly in the Upper Midwest, incorrectly predicted the winning candidate. One leading explanation for this polling miss is that the precipitous…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-15 Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , Erin Hartman

Random-effects models are frequently used to synthesise information from different studies in meta-analysis. While likelihood-based inference is attractive both in terms of limiting properties and of implementation, its application in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis , Annamaria Guolo , Cristiano Varin

Standard nonlinear regression is commonly used when modeling indifference points due to its ability to closely follow observed data, resulting in a good model fit. However, standard nonlinear regression currently lacks a reasonable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Mingang Kim , Mikhail N. Koffarnus , Christopher T Franck

We propose a simple, statistically principled, and theoretically justified method to improve supervised learning when the training set is not representative, a situation known as covariate shift. We build upon a well-established methodology…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Maximilian Autenrieth , David A. van Dyk , Roberto Trotta , David C. Stenning

Rerandomization is a strategy of increasing efficiency as compared to complete randomization. The idea with rerandomization is that of removing allocations with imbalance in the observed covariates and then randomizing within the set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-07 Junni L. Zhang , Per Johansson

We present Expected Statistic Regularization (ESR), a novel regularization technique that utilizes low-order multi-task structural statistics to shape model distributions for semi-supervised learning on low-resource datasets. We study ESR…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Thomas Effland , Michael Collins

In this paper, the estimation problem for sparse reduced rank regression (SRRR) model is considered. The SRRR model is widely used for dimension reduction and variable selection with applications in signal processing, econometrics, etc. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-21 Ziping Zhao , Daniel P. Palomar

Big data presents potential but unresolved value as a source for analysis and inference. However,selection bias, present in many of these datasets, needs to be accounted for so that appropriate inferences can be made on the target…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-09 Lyndon Ang , Robert Clark , Bronwyn Loong , Anders Holmberg

Estimating nested expectations is an important task in computational mathematics and statistics. In this paper we propose a new Monte Carlo method using post-stratification to estimate nested expectations efficiently without taking samples…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-28 Tomohiko Hironaka , Takashi Goda

Social media is increasingly used for large-scale population predictions, such as estimating community health statistics. However, social media users are not typically a representative sample of the intended population -- a "selection…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Salvatore Giorgi , Veronica Lynn , Keshav Gupta , Farhan Ahmed , Sandra Matz , Lyle Ungar , H. Andrew Schwartz

For the nonparametric regression models with covariates contaminated with normal measurement errors, this paper proposes an extrapolation algorithm to estimate the nonparametric regression functions. By applying the conditional expectation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-28 Weixing Song , Kanwal Ayub , Jianhong Shi

Doubly robust (DR) estimation is a crucial technique in causal inference and missing data problems. We propose a novel Propensity score Augmentved Doubly robust (PAD) estimator to enhance the commonly used DR estimator for average treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Liangbo Lyu , Molei Liu

In observational studies, the recorded treatment assignment is not purely random, but it is influenced by external factors such as patient characteristics, reimbursement policies, and existing guidelines. Therefore, the treatment effect can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-02 Sara Poletto , Enrico Longato , Erica Tavazzi , Martina Vettoretti

When multiple investigators analyze a common dataset, the data reuse induces dependence across testing procedures, affecting the distribution of errors. Existing techniques of managing dependent tests require either cross-study coordination…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Reid Dale , Jordan Rodu , Maria E. Currie , Mike Baiocchi

In many statistical and econometric applications, we gather individual samples from various interconnected populations that undeniably exhibit common latent structures. Utilizing a model that incorporates these latent structures for such…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Archer Gong Zhang , Jiahua Chen

This work is about recovering an analysis-sparse vector, i.e. sparse vector in some transform domain, from under-sampled measurements. In real-world applications, there often exist random analysis-sparse vectors whose distribution in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Raziyeh Takbiri , Sajad Daei

Response-biased sampling, in which samples are drawn from a popula- tion according to the values of the response variable, is common in biomedical, epidemiological, economic and social studies. In particular, the complete obser- vations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Kani Chen , Yuanyuan Lin , Yuan Yao , Chaoxu Zhou

Weighted estimators are commonly used for estimating exposure effects in observational settings to establish causal relations. These estimators have a long history of development when the exposure of interest is binary and where the weights…

Common practice to address nonresponse in probability surveys in National Statistical Offices is to follow up every nonrespondent with a view to lifting response rates. As response rate is an insufficient indicator of data quality, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-08 Su-Ming Tam , Anders Holmberg , Summer Wang

Staggered treatment adoption arises in the evaluation of policy impact and implementation in many settings, including both randomized stepped-wedge trials and non-randomized quasi-experiments with panel data. In both settings, getting an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-14 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer
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