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Related papers: A model-free, data-based forecast for sunspot cycl…

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The Sun exhibits episodic surges of magnetic activity across a range of temporal and spatial scales, the most prominent of which is the 11-ish year modulation of sunspot production. Beside the ~170 (min to max) decadal variation in sunspot…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-08-21 Scott W. McIntosh , Robert J. Leamon

We present an alternate method of determining the progression of the solar cycle through an analysis of the solar X-ray background. Our results are based on the NOAA Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) X-ray data in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 L. M. Winter , K. S. Balasubramaniam

Solar activity seems quite understandable when considered on the scales comparable with a solar cycle, i.e. about 11 years, and on a short time scale of about a year. A solar cycle looks basically (anti)symmetric with respect to the solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-08 V. N. Obridko , A. S. Shibalova , D. D. Sokoloff , I. M. Livshits

The Sun's variability is controlled by the progression and interaction of the magnetized systems that form the 22-year magnetic activity cycle (the "Hale Cycle'') as they march from their origin at $\sim$55 degrees latitude to the equator,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-07 Robert Leamon , Scott McIntosh , Alan Title

The appearance of dark sunspots over the solar photosphere is not considered to be symmetric between the northern and southern hemispheres. Among the different conclusions obtained by several authors, we can point out that the North-South…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-19 Leonardo F. G. Batista , Thiago M. Santiago , Paulo C. F. da Silva Filho , Cleo V. Silva , Daniel B. de Freitas

A direct dynamical test of the sunspot-cycle is carried out which indicates that a stochastically forced non-linear oscillator characterizes its dynamics. The sunspot series is then decomposed into its eigen time-delay coordinates. The…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-12 Sumit Vashishtha , Katepalli R Sreenivasan

We study the occurrence of magnetic storms in space age (1957-2021) using Dst and Dxt indices. We find 2526/2743 magnetic storms in the Dxt/Dst index, out of which 45% are weak, 40% moderate, 12% intense and 3% major storms. Occurrence of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-02 Kalevi Mursula , Timo Qvick , Lauri Holappa , Timo Asikainen

We create a continuous series of daily and monthly hemispheric sunspot numbers (HSNs) from 1874 to 2020, which will be continuously expanded in the future with the HSNs provided by SILSO. Based on the available daily measurements of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Astrid M. Veronig , Shantanu Jain , Tatiana Podladchikova , Werner Poetzi , Frederic Clette

The short-term periodicities of the daily sunspot area fluctuations from August 1923 to October 1933 are discussed. For these data the correlative analysis indicates negative correlation for the periodicity of about 155 days, but the power…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-17 Ryszarda Getko

We analyzed the daily sunspot-group data reported by the Greenwich Photoheliographic Results (GPR) during the period 1874-1976 and Debrecen Photoheliographic Data (DPD) during the period 1977-2017 and studied North-South asymmetry in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-29 J. Javaraiah

When cloud layers cover photovoltaic (PV) panels, the amount of power the panels produce fluctuates rapidly. Therefore, to maintain enough energy on a power grid to match demand, utilities companies rely on reserve power sources that…

Inter-cycle variations in the series of 11-year solar activity cycles have a significant impact on both the space environment and climate. Whether solar cycle variability is dominated by deterministic chaos or stochastic perturbations…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-12 Zi-Fan Wang , Jie Jiang , Jing-Xiu Wang

We find that the mean meridional motion of the spot groups varies considerably on a time scale of about 5-20 years. The maximum amplitude of the variation is about 10-15 m/s in both the Sun's northern and the southern hemispheres. Variation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-26 J. Javaraiah

The calling card of solar magnetism is the sunspot cycle, during which sunspots regularly reverse their polarity sense every 11 years. However, a number of more complicated time-dependent behaviors have also been identified. In particular,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-06 Loren Matilsky , Juri Toomre

Prediction of solar activity cycles is challenging because physical processes inside the Sun involve a broad range of multiscale dynamics that no model can reproduce and because the available observations are highly limited and cover mostly…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-30 Irina N. Kitiashvili

The slopes of the linear relations between sunspot and white light (WL) facular areas at the onset of sunspot Cycles 12-21 correlate well with the amplitudes of those cycles between 1878-1980 (Brown and Evans, 1980). We use continuum images…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-10 Peter Foukal

Context. Solar activity, dominated by the 11-year cyclic evolution, has been observed directly since 1610. Before that, indirect cosmogenic proxy data are used to reconstruct it over millennia. Recently, the precision of radiocarbon…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ilya Usoskin , Sami K. Solanki , Natalie A. Krivova , Theodosis Chatzistergos

The so-called solar cycle is generally characterized by the quasi-periodic oscillatory evolution of the photospheric spots number. This quasi-periodic pattern has always been an intriguing question. Several physical models were proposed to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-14 Alexis Klutsch , Rubens Freire Ferrero

Geomagnetic activity has two main peaks in the 11-year sunspot cycle caused by two types of solar agents: coronal mass ejections and high speed solar wind streams, whose variations in number and intensity are related to the variations in…

Space Physics · Physics 2007-12-20 K. Georgieva , B. Kirov

Space weather, driven by solar flares and Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), poses significant risks to technological systems. Accurately forecasting these events and their impact on Earth's magnetosphere remains a challenge because of the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-27 Sabrina Guastavino , Edoardo Legnaro , Anna Maria Massone , Michele Piana