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The problem of urban event ranking aims at predicting the top-k most risky locations of future events such as traffic accidents and crimes. This problem is of fundamental importance to public safety and urban administration especially when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Bang An , Xun Zhou , Yongjian Zhong , Tianbao Yang

Traditional automated crash analysis systems heavily rely on static statistical models and historical data, requiring significant manual interpretation and lacking real-time predictive capabilities. This research presents an innovative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Karthik Sivakoti

Bayes additive regression trees(BART) is a nonparametric regression model which has gained wide -spread popularity in recent years due to its flexibility and high accuracy of estimation .In spatio-temporal related model,the spatio or…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-13 Hao Ran , Yang Bai

Urban anomaly predictions, such as traffic accident prediction and crime prediction, are of vital importance to smart city security and maintenance. Existing methods typically use deep learning to capture the intra-dependencies in spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Yao Lu , Pengyuan Zhou , Yong Liao , Haiyong Xie

In regression analysis of counts, a lack of simple and efficient algorithms for posterior computation has made Bayesian approaches appear unattractive and thus underdeveloped. We propose a lognormal and gamma mixed negative binomial (NB)…

Applications · Statistics 2012-07-03 Mingyuan Zhou , Lingbo Li , David Dunson , Lawrence Carin

This paper proposes a strategy for regularized estimation in multi-way contingency tables, which are common in meta-analyses and multi-center clinical trials. Our approach is based on data augmentation, and appeals heavily to a novel class…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-21 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott

Cluster randomized trials (CRTs) offer a practical alternative for addressing logistical challenges and ensuring feasibility in community health, education, and prevention studies, even though randomized controlled trials are considered the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Jooyeon Lee , M. S. , Evan Kwiatkowski , Ph. D

Public special events, like sports games, concerts and festivals are well known to create disruptions in transportation systems, often catching the operators by surprise. Although these are usually planned well in advance, their impact is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-21 Filipe Rodrigues , Stanislav S. Borysov , Bernardete Ribeiro , Francisco C. Pereira

The paper proposes a Bayesian multinomial logit model to analyse spatial patterns of urban expansion. The specification assumes that the log-odds of each class follow a spatial autoregressive process. Using recent advances in Bayesian…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-04 Tamás Krisztin , Philipp Piribauer , Michael Wögerer

Generative image models are increasingly being used for training data augmentation in vision tasks. In the context of automotive object detection, methods usually focus on producing augmented frames that look as realistic as possible, for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Jens Petersen , Davide Abati , Amirhossein Habibian , Auke Wiggers

In this paper, we present a semantic mapping approach with multiple hypothesis tracking for data association. As semantic information has the potential to overcome ambiguity in measurements and place recognition, it forms an eminent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Lukas Bernreiter , Abel Gawel , Hannes Sommer , Juan Nieto , Roland Siegwart , Cesar Cadena

Traffic accident data are usually noisy, contain missing values, and heterogeneous. How to select the most important variables to improve real-time traffic accident risk prediction has become a concern of many recent studies. This paper…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-01 Lei Lin , Qian Wang , Adel W. Sadek

Data and models of non-motorized traffic on multiuse urban trails are needed to improve planning and management of urban transportation systems. Negative binomial regression models are appropriate and useful when dependent variables are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-15 Xize Wanga , Greg Lindsey , Steve Hankey , Kris Hoff

This research is about studying and comparing two different ways of building complex networks. The main goal of our study is to find an effective way to build networks, particularly when we have fewer observations than variables. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-10 Lina D. Thomas , Victor Fossaluza , Anatoly Yambartsev

We propose a new method to estimate a root-directed spanning tree from extreme data. A prominent example is a river network, to be discovered from extreme flow measured at a set of stations. Our new algorithm utilizes qualitative aspects of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Ngoc Mai Tran , Johannes Buck , Claudia Klüppelberg

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a Bayesian approach to flexible non-linear regression which has been shown to be competitive with the best modern predictive methods such as those based on bagging and boosting. BART offers some…

Probabilistic modeling of multidimensional spatiotemporal data is critical to many real-world applications. As real-world spatiotemporal data often exhibits complex dependencies that are nonstationary and nonseparable, developing effective…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Mengying Lei , Aurelie Labbe , Lijun Sun

We give a new consistent scoring function for structure learning of Bayesian networks. In contrast to traditional approaches to scorebased structure learning, such as BDeu or MDL, the complexity penalty that we propose is data-dependent and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Eliot Brenner , David Sontag

Spatial connectivity is an important consideration when modelling infectious disease data across a geographical region. Connectivity can arise for many reasons, including shared characteristics between regions, and human or vector movement.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Sophie A Lee , Theodoros Economou , Rachel Lowe

In this dissertation, we develop nonparametric Bayesian models for biomedical data analysis. In particular, we focus on inference for tumor heterogeneity and inference for missing data. First, we present a Bayesian feature allocation model…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-23 Tianjian Zhou