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This paper presents an Improved Bayesian Optimization (IBO) algorithm to solve complex high-dimensional epidemic models' optimal control solution. Evaluating the total objective function value for disease control models with hundreds of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Yuyang Chen , Kaiming Bi , Chih-Hang J. Wu , David Ben-Arieh , Ashesh Sinha

In practice, the parameters of control policies are often tuned manually. This is time-consuming and frustrating. Reinforcement learning is a promising alternative that aims to automate this process, yet often requires too many experiments…

We have developed a globally applicable diagnostic Covid-19 model by augmenting the classical SIR epidemiological model with a neural network module. Our model does not rely upon previous epidemics like SARS/MERS and all parameters are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-24 Raj Dandekar , Chris Rackauckas , George Barbastathis

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has proven effective for enhancing the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, dominant approaches like Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) face critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Kevin Han , Yuhang Zhou , Mingze Gao , Gedi Zhou , Serena Li , Abhishek Kumar , Xiangjun Fan , Weiwei Li , Lizhu Zhang

This paper proposes an approach to mitigate epidemic spread in a population of strategic agents by encouraging safer behaviors through carefully designed rewards. These rewards, which adapt to the evolving state of the epidemic, are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-31 Shinkyu Park , Jair Certorio , Nuno C. Martins , Richard J. La

We study the relative importance of two key control measures for epidemic spreading: endogenous social self-distancing and exogenous imposed quarantine. We use the framework of adaptive networks, moment-closure, and ordinary differential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-22 Leonhard Horstmeyer , Christian Kuehn , Stefan Thurner

On-policy reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms are widely used for their strong asymptotic performance and training stability, but they struggle to scale with larger batch sizes, as additional parallel environments yield redundant data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Jianren Wang , Yifan Su , Abhinav Gupta , Deepak Pathak

Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-12 Afroza Shirin , Yen Ting Lin , Francesco Sorrentino

Safe reinforcement learning (safe RL) aims to respect safety requirements while optimizing long-term performance. In many practical applications, however, the problem involves an infinite number of constraints, known as semi-infinite safe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Jiaming Zhang , Yujie Yang , Haoning Wang , Liping Zhang , Shengbo Eben Li

Dynamic and evolving operational and economic environments present significant challenges for decision-making. We explore a simulation optimization problem characterized by non-stationary input distributions with regime-switching dynamics…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Jianglin Xia , Haowei Wang , Songhao Wang , Szu Hui Ng

Epidemiological models have tremendous potential to forecast disease burden and quantify the impact of interventions. Detailed models are increasingly popular, however these models tend to be stochastic and very costly to evaluate.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-04 Atiye Alaeddini , Daniel J. Klein

Pandemic influenza has the epidemic potential to kill millions of people. While various preventive measures exist (i.a., vaccination and school closures), deciding on strategies that lead to their most effective and efficient use remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-18 Pieter Libin , Timothy Verstraeten , Diederik M. Roijers , Jelena Grujic , Kristof Theys , Philippe Lemey , Ann Nowé

National responses to the Covid-19 pandemic varied markedly across countries, from business-as-usual to complete shutdowns. Policies aimed at disrupting the viral transmission cycle and preventing the healthcare system from being…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-27 Arash Saeidpour , Pejman Rohani

Epidemic outbreaks pose significant challenges to public health and socio-economic stability, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of disease transmission dynamics and effective control strategies. This article discusses the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-20 Sourin Chatterjee , Ahad N. Zehmakan , Sujay Rastogi

The paper presents an algorithm for syndromic surveillance of an epidemic outbreak formulated in the context of stochastic nonlinear filtering. The dynamics of the epidemic is modeled using a generalized compartmental epidemiological model…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-10-24 Alex Skvortsov , Branko Ristic

Contact-tracing is an essential tool in order to mitigate the impact of pandemic such as the COVID-19. In order to achieve efficient and scalable contact-tracing in real time, digital devices can play an important role. While a lot of…

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are crucial for controlling pandemics, but existing research often overlooks the heterogeneity of individual behavior, which can lead to inaccurate evaluations of the effectiveness of strategies. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-09 Xihan Zhang , Yuqing Liu , Chen Zhao , Guijun Li

National stay-at-home orders, or lockdowns, were imposed in several countries to drastically reduce the social interactions mainly responsible for the transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Despite being essential to slow down the COVID-19…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-03 Adrià Plazas , Irene Malvestio , Michele Starnini , Albert Díaz-Guilera

This work focuses on optimal controls of a class of stochastic SIS epidemic models under regime switching. By assuming that a decision maker can either influence the infectivity period or isolate infected individuals, our aim is to minimize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Ky Tran , George Yin

The quantum approximate optimization algorithm is commonly used to solve combinatorial optimization problems. While unconstrained problems map naturally into the algorithm, incorporating constraints typically requires penalizing constraint…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-01 Matthew Brunet , Shilpi Shah , Mostafa Atallah , Anthony Wilkie , Rebekah Herrman