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In this short lecture, we compute asymptotics of orthogonal polynomials, from a saddle point approximation. This is an example of a calculation which shows the link between integrability, algebraic geometry and random matrices.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Bertrand Eynard

This paper investigates the asymptotic distribution of the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE) in multinomial logistic models in the high-dimensional regime where dimension and sample size are of the same order. While classical large-sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Kai Tan , Pierre C. Bellec

Optimal transport (OT) and maximum mean discrepancies (MMD) are now routinely used in machine learning to compare probability measures. We focus in this paper on \emph{Sinkhorn divergences} (SDs), a regularized variant of OT distances which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Aude Genevay , Lénaic Chizat , Francis Bach , Marco Cuturi , Gabriel Peyré

The method of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a widely used statistical approach for estimating the values of one or more unknown parameters of a probabilistic model based on observed data. In this tutorial, I briefly review the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-03 Anthony Vella

Statistical inference may follow a frequentist approach or it may follow a Bayesian approach or it may use the minimum description length principle (MDL). Our goal is to identify situations in which these different approaches to statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-08 Peter Harremoës

In this paper, we present novel randomized algorithms for solving saddle point problems whose dual feasible region is given by the direct product of many convex sets. Our algorithms can achieve an ${\cal O}(1/N)$ and ${\cal O}(1/N^2)$ rate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-16 Cong Dang , Guanghui Lan

A key challenge of modern machine learning systems is to achieve Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization -- generalizing to target data whose distribution differs from that of source data. Despite its significant importance, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-28 Jiawei Ge , Shange Tang , Jianqing Fan , Cong Ma , Chi Jin

We advocate for a practical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) approach towards designing loss functions for regression and forecasting, as an alternative to the typical approach of direct empirical risk minimization on a specific target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Pranjal Awasthi , Abhimanyu Das , Rajat Sen , Ananda Theertha Suresh

\cite{HillMotegi2017} present a new general asymptotic theory for the maximum of a random array $\{\mathcal{X}_{n}(i)$ $:$ $1$ $\leq $ $i$ $\leq $ $\mathcal{L}\}_{n\geq 1}$, where each $\mathcal{X}_{n}(i)$ is assumed to converge in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Jonathan B. Hill

Approximations to the modified signed likelihood ratio statistic are asymptotically standard normal with error of order $n^{-1}$, where $n$ is the sample size. Proofs of this fact generally require that the sufficient statistic of the model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Heping He , Thomas A. Severini

We give an asymptotic development of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), or any other estimator defined implicitly, in a way which involves the limiting behavior of the score and its higher-order derivatives. This development, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

The large N limit of mean spectral density for the ensemble of NxN sub-unitary matrices derived by Wei and Fyodorov (J. Phys. A: Math. Theor. 41 (2008) 50201) is calculated by a modification of the saddle point method. It is shown that the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-14 E. Bogomolny

We revisit the classical problem of deriving convergence rates for the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in finite mixture models. The Wasserstein distance has become a standard loss function for the analysis of parameter estimation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Tudor Manole , Nhat Ho

In the Random Subset Sum Problem, given $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_1, ..., X_n$, we wish to approximate any point $z \in [-1,1]$ as the sum of a suitable subset $X_{i_1(z)}, ..., X_{i_s(z)}$ of them, up to error $\varepsilon$. Despite…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Luca Becchetti , Arthur Carvalho Walraven da Cunha , Andrea Clementi , Francesco d'Amore , Hicham Lesfari , Emanuele Natale , Luca Trevisan

The paper studies large sample asymptotic properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) for the parameter of a continuous time Markov chain, observed in white noise. Using the method of weak convergence of likelihoods due to…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Pavel Chigansky

We study the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic models, extending the recent results from Sur (2019) to the case where the Gaussian covariates may have an arbitrary covariance structure. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Qian Zhao , Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candès

We obtain explicit $p$-Wasserstein distance error bounds between the distribution of the multi-parameter MLE and the multivariate normal distribution. Our general bounds are given for possibly high-dimensional, independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Andreas Anastasiou , Robert E. Gaunt

We propose a numerically efficient method for evaluating the random-coding union bound with parameter $s$ on the error probability achievable in the finite-blocklength regime by a pilot-assisted transmission scheme employing Gaussian…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-21 A. Oguz Kislal , Alejandro Lancho , Giuseppe Durisi , Erik Ström

In this work, we revisit the estimation of the model parameters of a Weibull distribution based on iid observations, using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method which does not yield closed expressions of the estimators. Among other…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-22 Buu-Chau Truong , Peter Mphekgwana , Nabendu Pal

The average properties of the well-known Subset Sum Problem can be studied by the means of its randomised version, where we are given a target value $z$, random variables $X_1, \ldots, X_n$, and an error parameter $\varepsilon > 0$, and we…

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