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The saddlepoint approximation to the likelihood, and its corresponding maximum likelihood estimate (MLE), offer an alternative estimation method when the true likelihood is intractable or computationally expensive. However, maximizing this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Godrick Oketch , Rachel M. Fewster , Jesse Goodman

We examine the behaviour of the Laplace and saddlepoint approximations in the high-dimensional setting, where the dimension of the model is allowed to increase with the number of observations. Approximations to the joint density, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Yanbo Tang , Nancy Reid

Linear birth-and-death processes (LBDPs) are foundational stochastic models in population dynamics, evolutionary biology, and hematopoiesis. Estimating parameters from discretely observed data is computationally demanding due to irregular…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-26 Xiaochen Long , Marek Kimmel

We develop new higher-order asymptotic techniques for the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator in a spatial panel data model, with fixed effects, time-varying covariates, and spatially correlated errors. Our saddlepoint density and tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Chaonan Jiang , Davide La Vecchia , Elvezio Ronchetti , Olivier Scaillet

We study the saddlepoint approximation (SPA) for sums of $n$ i.i.d. random vectors $X_i\in\mathbb R^d$ in growing dimensions. SPA provides highly accurate approximations to probability densities and distribution functions via the moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Alexander Katsevich

The challenges posed by complex stochastic models used in computational ecology, biology and genetics have stimulated the development of approximate approaches to statistical inference. Here we focus on Synthetic Likelihood (SL), a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-09 Matteo Fasiolo , Simon N. Wood , Florian Hartig , Mark V. Bravington

We consider a one dimensional sub-ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric i.i.d. random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter based on a single observation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Arnaud Gloter

This paper presents a saddlepoint approximation of the random-coding union bound of Polyanskiy et al. for i.i.d. random coding over discrete memoryless channels. The approximation is single-letter, and can thus be computed efficiently.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-28 Jonathan Scarlett , Alfonso Martinez , Albert Guillén i Fàbregas

The transition density of a diffusion process does not admit an explicit expression in general, which prevents the full maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) based on discretely observed sample paths. A\"{\i}t-Sahalia [J. Finance 54 (1999)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-12 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen

We obtain two theorems extending the use of a saddlepoint approximation to multiparameter problems for likelihood ratio-like statistics which allow their use in permutation and rank tests and could be used in bootstrap approximations. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-15 John Kolassa , John Robinson

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

This work studies the properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a non-linear model with Gaussian errors and multidimensional parameter. The observations are collected in a two-stage experimental design and are dependent since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Nancy Flournoy , Caterina May , Chiara Tommasi

The asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under regularity conditions is a cornerstone of statistical theory. In this paper, we give explicit upper bounds on the distributional distance between the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-23 Andreas Anastasiou

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

This paper considers the problem of channel coding with a given (possibly suboptimal) maximum-metric decoding rule. A cost-constrained random-coding ensemble with multiple auxiliary costs is introduced, and is shown to achieve error…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-05 Jonathan Scarlett , Alfonso Martinez , Albert Guillén i Fàbregas

We study the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) in the multivariate deviated model where the data are generated from the density function $(1-\lambda^{\ast})h_{0}(x)+\lambda^{\ast}f(x|\mu^{\ast}, \Sigma^{\ast})$ in which $h_{0}$ is a known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Dat Do , Huy Nguyen , Khai Nguyen , Nhat Ho

We consider the problem of estimating functionals of discrete distributions, and focus on tight nonasymptotic analysis of the worst case squared error risk of widely used estimators. We apply concentration inequalities to analyze the random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-11 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

We study the problem of learning multivariate log-concave densities with respect to a global loss function. We obtain the first upper bound on the sample complexity of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for a log-concave density on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Timothy Carpenter , Ilias Diakonikolas , Anastasios Sidiropoulos , Alistair Stewart

This paper proposes a novel exact maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method for general Gaussian processes, where all parameters are estimated jointly. The exact ML estimator (MLE) is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Tetsuya Takabatake , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

Stochastic saddle point (SSP) problems are, in general, less studied compared to stochastic minimization problems. However, SSP problems emerge from machine learning (adversarial training, e.g., GAN, AUC maximization), statistics (robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-14 Vitali Pirau
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